Question about wind farms

4,451 Views | 54 Replies | Last: 11 mo ago by Predmid
sleepybeagle
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If you've ever owned a windmill and I have (challenger 27) you know two things...

1) high winds are a worry and
2) maintenance is very very costly

sleepybeagle
Tony Franklins Other Shoe
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Same with the one closest to the road between Rockport and Sinton, lots of staining of hydraulic fluid all over the housing. Imagine most of them are pretty much similar.

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ktownag08
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The #1 reason wind turbines are offline when it's windy is called economic curtailment. All power plants in TX submit an offer curve to the market. A wind farm still within subsidy regime (mostly the Production Tax Credit aka PTC) is incentized to operate down to the negative value of said credit grossed up for taxes which equates to approx. negative $30 to keep the math easy. A facility out of subsidy regime (older than 10 years) is probably only offering around $0 as it wouldn't make sense for them or any power plant to produce when power prices are negative. Most wind farms don't choose the investment tax credit aka ITC which refunds a percentage of CAPEX for essentially existing so they want the production as subsidy is only granted when the produce.

Often when winds are high, demand is low causing the negative pricing and these economic curtailments. I can guarantee you absolutely no wind farm operator is toggling individual tubines on or off in response to market demand. It's all controlled automatically based of the facilities offer curve.

Other posters are correct that turbines are taken offline for planned and unplanned maintenance as well as shut down when winds are too high to operate, but most idle turbines you see on windy days are due to above.

Yes, I work in power gen industry...
Fightin_Aggie
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deadhead aggie said:

because too high of winds can damage the gears and generator in the nacelle…operators can feather the blades and lock the brakes to avoid the damage to the equipment…

very high winds doesn't equate to very high energy production…


Haven't read the whole thread but could be numerous reasons
1. Winds were too high for the turbines
2. Turbine was down for maintenance or broken
3. There was not adequate transmission available to dispatch all of the wind turbines
4. It was not economical to dispatch the wind turbines
5. Wind energy sucks even when the wind blows
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Jack Squat 83
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ktownag08 said:

The #1 reason wind turbines are offline when it's windy is called economic curtailment. All power plants in TX submit an offer curve to the market. A wind farm still within subsidy regime (mostly the Production Tax Credit aka PTC) is incentized to operate down to the negative value of said credit grossed up for taxes which equates to approx. negative $30 to keep the math easy. A facility out of subsidy regime (older than 10 years) is probably only offering around $0 as it wouldn't make sense for them or any power plant to produce when power prices are negative. Most wind farms don't choose the investment tax credit aka ITC which refunds a percentage of CAPEX for essentially existing so they want the production as subsidy is only granted when the produce.

Often when winds are high, demand is low causing the negative pricing and these economic curtailments. I can guarantee you absolutely no wind farm operator is toggling individual tubines on or off in response to market demand. It's all controlled automatically based of the facilities offer curve.

Other posters are correct that turbines are taken offline for planned and unplanned maintenance as well as shut down when winds are too high to operate, but most idle turbines you see on windy days are due to above.

Yes, I work in power gen industry...
All of this is correct, and at times they are also curtailed due to transmission constraints. (lines out, regional load differentials, etc)

Hell they built many farms out (in the West) before they had enough transmission (CREZ project) to bring the power east to the load centers. Oh dang, no where to go with this stuff!

IMO the shortage of natural gas and/or on-demand generators is a direct result of the low prices that were introduced into the Ercot market via all the subsidies. It's not feasible to build new gas plants, if they can't at least pay for themselves much less have a decent return. The Climate Change fanatics can proudly claim to be super Green, while we're all in the dark. Hopefully, smarter heads will prevail before we're REALLY in a bind. Better be ASAP.
Ag with kids
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Tramp96 said:

Last Saturday I drove from Dallas to Lubbock on what was perhaps one of the windiest days of the year. For those who don't know, there are hundreds of wind generators along that route around the Seymour area.

I drove back to Dallas on Wednesday, which may have been even more windy than Saturday was.

On both days, when the winds were very high and steady, I would estimate at least half if not more of the wind generators I saw were not moving.

We often joke about wind energy being dependent on the wind, but I believe the sadder joke is that even when it is windy, they aren't generating any electricity.

Can somebody explain why 50% or more of the wind generators aren't operating on the windiest of days? I could understand a handful being offline for maintenance, but not over half.
The winds may have been above the limits.

Winds TOO high could potentially cause damage to the turbines....
Gunny456
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Top
Smeghead4761
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CanyonAg77 said:

Demand.

Some might be down for maintenance, some might be down for high winds, but demand is 90% of the equation.

When it's 100 degrees in Dallas, and everyone has their home and office ACs set to 55 degrees, the demand is there, and the turbines are running.

When electric demand is low, they aren't.
I recall driving from Roswell to Bryan via Abilene during the summer of 2023. Car said the temp was well north of 100. So power demand should have been through the roof.

By my count, roughly 1/3 of the windmills I could see weren't turning.

Now, I also recall that the general rule of thumb for wind power is that normal operating output is roughly 25% of install capacity.

So building 40 MW of wind mills gets you about 10 MW of power on a consistent basis.

So having ~2/3 actually operating was probably doing pretty good.
birdman
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Because they already hit their numbers. To earn the subsidy, the turbine has to produce a certain amount of electricity per month. After that plateau, they shut it down to lessen the wear and tear.
91AggieLawyer
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jrdaustin said:

I do know that if wind gusts greater than some amount (I've read 50-55 mph), the turbines have an auto shutoff feature that will turn off the turbine. The higher speed can result in damage to the turbine itself.

To me, this is like a restaurant that opens for lunch at 11 and closes at 12:15, or one that doesn't order enough food to feed its customers. What's the freakin' point?

Or a shoe store that only carries 2-3 sizes of each shoe.

Both of those are examples of businesses that would cease to operate VERY quickly. What hasn't this wind scam? High winds isn't something that started happening when these things were built.
ktownag08
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birdman said:

Because they already hit their numbers. To earn the subsidy, the turbine has to produce a certain amount of electricity per month. After that plateau, they shut it down to lessen the wear and tear.


PTC doesn't work like that. You get 1 PTC for each and every MWh produced. No minimums and no caps...
eric76
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riverrataggie said:

Tramp96 said:

Last Saturday I drove from Dallas to Lubbock on what was perhaps one of the windiest days of the year. For those who don't know, there are hundreds of wind generators along that route around the Seymour area.

I drove back to Dallas on Wednesday, which may have been even more windy than Saturday was.

On both days, when the winds were very high and steady, I would estimate at least half if not more of the wind generators I saw were not moving.

We often joke about wind energy being dependent on the wind, but I believe the sadder joke is that even when it is windy, they aren't generating any electricity.

Can somebody explain why 50% or more of the wind generators aren't operating on the windiest of days? I could understand a handful being offline for maintenance, but not over half.


Bc the objective of wind farms isn't to help solve grid problems. Wind farms are stood up to launder money to those who passed the bills that gave the projects money.
More importantly, for the tax deductions. Take away the tax deductions and the wind farms do not make any sense at all.
eric76
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jrdaustin said:

I do know that if wind gusts greater than some amount (I've read 50-55 mph), the turbines have an auto shutoff feature that will turn off the turbine. The higher speed can result in damage to the turbine itself.

The anemometer is located at the top of the turbine, so wind gusts are likely higher than they would be at ground level.

If half of the farm is down when it's normally running, that's my guess as to what happened.
Also, some turbines may not have been in working order. It's not unusual around here to see wind turbines at rest.
eric76
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Hagen95 said:

I know plenty of land owners in West Texas that are happy to put the turbines on their land. Easy money.
I asked one farmer who has had wind turbines on his property for quite a while about whether they pay that well.

His answer was that they pay okay but much less than was promised.

I know another farmer and rancher who was really pushing them. He finally got some and there is speculation about whether or not he has made anything on them. They seem to be broken down far more than they spend running.
ts5641
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Because they suck and don't do what they're supposed to do in an efficient manner.
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Artimus Gordon
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Whole train load of rotor blades heading west on Hwy 36 just yesterday. Don't know if they were for new builds (probably) or replacements the dead birds tore up?
eric76
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Artimus Gordon said:

Whole train load of rotor blades heading west on Hwy 36 just yesterday. Don't know if they were for new builds (probably) or replacements the dead birds tore up?
In one wind farm around here, I've been told that they went through three sets of rotor blades in a big hurry. I'm not positive, but I think that the second set was immediately after they certified the wind farm as ready.
Tailgate88
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Artimus Gordon said:

Whole train load of rotor blades heading west on Hwy 36 just yesterday. Don't know if they were for new builds (probably) or replacements the dead birds tore up?
Have you by chance gone across the Port Aransas ferry lately? There are dozens - hundreds probably of blades lined up on the side of the road there. They bring them in by ship and load them on trains to ship out. I bet that's where your trainload came from.
Animal Eight 84
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ERCOT has two electricity markets. The largest is "day ahead" which is traded in one hour increments. Customers have to put in buy orders 24 hours in advance, market closes at 1000 AM. Then supply orders are bid in and " stacked" in price.
If tomorrows demand for 0700-0800 is 76,543 megawatts then the last order in the price stack to meet the 76,543 demand sets the price for all bids.

When demand is low such as calm April mornings, renewables often fill the majority of the demand thus setting low prices.

The other market is a real time spot market in 15 minute increments. Volatile but needed when generating units break.

Large consumers typically buy the bulk of their power in purchased power agreements (PPA) from generating companies or brokers.PPA contracts are separate from day ahead and real time markets. As an example Bryan Texas Utilities has a PPA from a solar company to replace their share of the former Gibbons Creek coal plant.

Most of Texas bulk power transmission 345KV has about a 200 mile range. So a wind farm in the High Plains supplies DFW market not Houston. Transmission has heating constrains so any issues with the wires between the wind turbines and the load may cause the turbines to stay offline when the wind blows.

Large thermal units have to ramp online controlling expansion of metal components. So a very large coal or NG generating unit will be ramping up in power at 0400 to meet power sold for the daytime contract four hours later . Thus causing cheaper wind units to shut down to keep the grid balanced. The wind units are compensated.

The biggest issue is the ERCOT market does not guarantee capacity!
All other regional power authorities like ERCOT forecast future need years in advance then have auctions to guarantee that generators contractually agree to supply that demand - if needed. Renewables are not allowed to bid since they are so unpredictable.

So if the PJM market in the Mid-Atlantic states forecasts 115,000 megawatt demand in August 2026 then there are contracts in place guaranteeing the supply, with substantial penalties if the don't comply with the contract. The generators get paid for the guarantee contract.

Texas Legislators still resist changing the market model thus allowing an unreliable supply system in order for slightly cheaper power prices.


Predmid
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our grid peak demand yesterday was 81k MW.

What numbers are you looking at?
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