214 and four to go...

What do you think... AK, AZ,CA(central),WA(central) and IA and Co in reserve

Central CA should lean red. FWIW

https://texags.com/forums/16/topics/3506025

Philip J Fry said:

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Co-8 is already done and the democrat conceded. No idea why this hasn't been called already

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Its the AP map... Always "Prudent"

doubledog said:

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214 and four to go...

What do you think... AK, AZ,CA(central),WA(central) and IA and Co in reserve

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Decision Desk HQ has it as 216 currently...

https://decisiondeskhq.com/results/2024/General/US-House/



But AP and NYT have 214. Here is the other ones of which Rs lead in 8 and need 4.....

Those that show 214 do not have the two in bold here that Decision HQ has called:

COL 8 - has been conceded the lead is 2600 with almost all counted
IOWA 1 - the lead is only 800 but it has basically all been counted, not conceded and Iowa does not have automatic recounts but candidate can ask for it when it is < 1%

That would make 216 and need 2 of the remaining 6 that Rs lead in:

CAL 22 - lead is 9500 with 39K votes to go
ALASKA 1 - the lead is 10K with 63K voted to go
CAL 41 - the lead is 7800 with 70k votes to go
ARI 6 - 2600 lead with 75K votes to go
CAL 45 - lead is 6K with 67K votes to go
CAL 13 - lead is 3200 with 83K voted to go

Updating

The ones in bold below are already being counted for R in Decision Desk HQ count of 219.

Our holdouts (AP/NYT/CNN) that do not want to concede the House show 216 with Rs needing 2 of the following:

IOWA 1 - R lead is 800 with all votes counted and a likely recount, not automatic has to be requested (by Friday or Monday for different counties)
ALASKA 1 - R lead is 9,500 with 28,500 votes to go
CAL 41 - R lead is 8100 with 83k votes to go
ARI 6 - R lead is 6900 with 44K votes to go
CAL 45 - R lead is 2200 with 32K votes to go
CAL 13 - R lead is 3100 with 64K voted to go

Likely to end up between 220 and 222.

CNN and others now calling it at 218 except NYT holding out at 217.