Poll Accuracy Question?

623 Views | 2 Replies | Last: 15 days ago by UntoldSpirit
Bulldog73
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AG
Anyone see a recap of which polls were most accurate for the Presidential or Senate races?

My feel is that Atlas Intel, Rasmussen and Trafalgar were the best but have no real evidence. Anyone see an analysis of this?
Bulldog73
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AG
Found it-
Quote:

https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris

Most accurate nationally in final poll- Wall Street Journal, Rasmussen, CNBC(!) and Fox News
Honorable mention- Atlas Intel

Least accurate- NPR/PBS/Marist
Others in Hall of Shame- Ipsos, Forbes/Harris X, and Morning Consult
UntoldSpirit
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AG
Bulldog73 said:

Found it-
Quote:

https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris

Most accurate nationally in final poll- Wall Street Journal, Rasmussen, CNBC(!) and Fox News
Honorable mention- Atlas Intel

Least accurate- NPR/PBS/Marist
Others in Hall of Shame- Ipsos, Forbes/Harris X, and Morning Consult
If you include the state polls and Senate races, Atlas Intel was nails. Rasmussen and Atlas Intel were consistent, while most of the other polls became "push polls" for a while when they were trying to push Harris after she took over. Then they went back closer to Atlas Intel and Rasmussen at the end so they wouldn't look so far off.
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