BREAKING: With the latest Maricopa County ballots, Kari Lake must win 52.66% of the remaining ballots to win the Arizona Senate race. pic.twitter.com/IIB9TjCI0v
— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) November 9, 2024
That percentage keeps going down every time Eric posts.TAMUallen said:BREAKING: With the latest Maricopa County ballots, Kari Lake must win 52.66% of the remaining ballots to win the Arizona Senate race. pic.twitter.com/IIB9TjCI0v
— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) November 9, 2024
Holy shlit.
— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) November 9, 2024
Republican Gabe Evans just overtook the Democratic incumbent in Colorado's 8th district.
This could end up being a flip for the House GOP.
Trifecta for Trump imminent! pic.twitter.com/WSX3jxxdpH
TexAgsSean said:Maricopa County posted 96,707 votes to the U.S. Senate contest.
— The AZ - abc15 - Data Guru (@Garrett_Archer) November 9, 2024
How it broke:
Lake: 49.9
Gallego 47.7
Lake net 2,141
Gallego leads Lake by 33,676 statewide.
Maricopa estimates 351,000 ballots are left for tabulation.
Bad drop for Lake in Maricopa, but it's probably going to be close.rgag12 said:TexAgsSean said:Maricopa County posted 96,707 votes to the U.S. Senate contest.
— The AZ - abc15 - Data Guru (@Garrett_Archer) November 9, 2024
How it broke:
Lake: 49.9
Gallego 47.7
Lake net 2,141
Gallego leads Lake by 33,676 statewide.
Maricopa estimates 351,000 ballots are left for tabulation.
That wasn't good enough. Red counties going to need to break heavily for Lake
Coconino just posted 3,354 ballots to the US Senate.
— The AZ - abc15 - Data Guru (@Garrett_Archer) November 9, 2024
Here is how they broke:
Gallego 57.1
Lake 38.6
Gallego nets 620 from this batch and now leads Lake 33,983.
There are 2,836 ballots remaining in Coconino including 275 provisionals.
That 100k Maricopa batch that just dropped.
— The AZ - abc15 - Data Guru (@Garrett_Archer) November 9, 2024
Trump +11
Lake +2
rocky the dog said:
Liberal, white woman before and after November 5...This is “political analyst” & former poly-sci professor Dr. Arlene who brainwashed hundreds of thousands of people on TT into thinking Harris would win.
— Collin Rugg (@CollinRugg) November 7, 2024
On Nov 5th, she told a story about how she taunted a grocery store worker about how Harris was 100% going to win
On Nov 6th,… pic.twitter.com/NbVhQ6uftx
...blaming the loss on racism and misogyny. Doesn't have a clue.
#BREAKING: Donald Trump has now surpassed his 2020 vote total with ballots still counting
— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) November 9, 2024
Captn_Ag05 said:
The last Maricopa makes the math a lot harder. It also shows how much she is lagging behind Trump.That 100k Maricopa batch that just dropped.
— The AZ - abc15 - Data Guru (@Garrett_Archer) November 9, 2024
Trump +11
Lake +2
aezmvp said:
Yeah Mitch ignoring Lake and Brown was a huge error.
Not giving her any money, while supporting the loser Hogan in Maryland is also a big factor. McConnell is thankfully getting replaced.Ag06Law said:Captn_Ag05 said:
The last Maricopa makes the math a lot harder. It also shows how much she is lagging behind Trump.That 100k Maricopa batch that just dropped.
— The AZ - abc15 - Data Guru (@Garrett_Archer) November 9, 2024
Trump +11
Lake +2
Really highlights what a bad candidate she was. She'll go down in the long history of senate seats republicans have lost by running terrible candidates.
While I was driving...
— The AZ - abc15 - Data Guru (@Garrett_Archer) November 9, 2024
Pinal posted 19,563 votes in the US Senate race.
Batch breakdown:
Lake 51
Gallego 45
Gallego leads Lake by 33,332.
Pina has 4,032 ballots remaining, 3,732 of which are provisionals.
This happens every cycle. A few candidates beat out the establishment's favored candidate in the primary and the establishment says "Oh no! now we are going to lose because X is a terrible candidate". Then they refuse to give any resources or support to help the candidates. When they lose a very close race, then everybody says "That is because they were a terrible candidate.", when the reality is that if the establishment had supported them with cash and resources like they do any other candidate, they would have likely won easily.aezmvp said:
Yeah Mitch ignoring Lake and Brown was a huge error.
txags92 said:This happens every cycle. A few candidates beat out the establishment's favored candidate in the primary and the establishment says "Oh no! now we are going to lose because X is a terrible candidate". Then they refuse to give any resources or support to help the candidates. When they lose a very close race, then everybody says "That is because they were a terrible candidate.", when the reality is that if the establishment had supported them with cash and resources like they do any other candidate, they would have likely won easily.aezmvp said:
Yeah Mitch ignoring Lake and Brown was a huge error.
TAMUallen said:
Might be a House seat flip in Colorado?!?Holy shlit.
— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) November 9, 2024
Republican Gabe Evans just overtook the Democratic incumbent in Colorado's 8th district.
This could end up being a flip for the House GOP.
Trifecta for Trump imminent! pic.twitter.com/WSX3jxxdpH
TAMUallen said:#BREAKING: Donald Trump has now surpassed his 2020 vote total with ballots still counting
— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) November 9, 2024
Ag06Law said:txags92 said:This happens every cycle. A few candidates beat out the establishment's favored candidate in the primary and the establishment says "Oh no! now we are going to lose because X is a terrible candidate". Then they refuse to give any resources or support to help the candidates. When they lose a very close race, then everybody says "That is because they were a terrible candidate.", when the reality is that if the establishment had supported them with cash and resources like they do any other candidate, they would have likely won easily.aezmvp said:
Yeah Mitch ignoring Lake and Brown was a huge error.
Ignoring the race plays a role, but you're downplaying the terrible candidate angle way too much. Roy Moore? Todd Akin? Christine O'Donnell? Richard Mourdock? All terrible candidates who cost the GOP seats.
The problem I have with it is they use the fact that the candidate lost as their main evidence that they were "terrible", when if they would have given them the normal level of support they would give any candidate, they likely would have won. Some I will agree with you on, like Moore. But when the margin comes down to a few hundred or even a few thousand votes, and leadership ignored the race when handing out money, that loss is on the leadership, not the candidate.Ag06Law said:txags92 said:This happens every cycle. A few candidates beat out the establishment's favored candidate in the primary and the establishment says "Oh no! now we are going to lose because X is a terrible candidate". Then they refuse to give any resources or support to help the candidates. When they lose a very close race, then everybody says "That is because they were a terrible candidate.", when the reality is that if the establishment had supported them with cash and resources like they do any other candidate, they would have likely won easily.aezmvp said:
Yeah Mitch ignoring Lake and Brown was a huge error.
Ignoring the race plays a role, but you're downplaying the terrible candidate angle way too much. Roy Moore? Todd Akin? Christine O'Donnell? Richard Mourdock? All terrible candidates who cost the GOP seats.
We’re hoping Pima county can give us a final number of ballots left to be counted rather than a fluctuating number.
— Kari Lake (@KariLake) November 9, 2024
We know Pima County is a very liberal county, but every Democrat, Independent and Republican there wants to know how many votes are left to be counted. We want…
This will be going on until next week at least.TAMUallen said:We’re hoping Pima county can give us a final number of ballots left to be counted rather than a fluctuating number.
— Kari Lake (@KariLake) November 9, 2024
We know Pima County is a very liberal county, but every Democrat, Independent and Republican there wants to know how many votes are left to be counted. We want…
They have until Sunday to cure ballots.
At this point, they might not even be finished counting ballots then
UntoldSpirit said:This will be going on until next week at least.TAMUallen said:We’re hoping Pima county can give us a final number of ballots left to be counted rather than a fluctuating number.
— Kari Lake (@KariLake) November 9, 2024
We know Pima County is a very liberal county, but every Democrat, Independent and Republican there wants to know how many votes are left to be counted. We want…
They have until Sunday to cure ballots.
At this point, they might not even be finished counting ballots then
If I was Cochise county, I'd slow down the counting and wait for Pima to get down into 4 digits remaining ballots to be counted before submitting any more counts. Pima seems to be playing games with the outstanding ballots.
🚨NEW🚨
— Kari Lake War Room (@KariLakeWarRoom) November 9, 2024
We just sent a letter to Pima County seeking clarification regarding their fluctuating ballot counts.
We should know what the static number of ballots to count is. Instead, it's like an accordion.
We are seeking complete transparency as to the ballots that are… pic.twitter.com/yET0gKpb3p
Something big just happened. Pacific County just flipped to Donald Trump.
— Rich Baris The People's Pundit (@Peoples_Pundit) November 9, 2024
That's big because it means Harris took ZERO counties that backed Trump in 2020.
As of now, looks like zero.
Ranked choice went down to defeat in AZ, SC, and . . . ALASKA where it was repealed!
— Larry Schweikart (@LarrySchwe94560) November 8, 2024
This would be an example of a good county that gives lake hope. Still lots of votes here to catch up…but still needs to win maricopa votes from here on out. https://t.co/9LOyRPImBf
— CA ET Nerd (@earlyvotedata) November 9, 2024
Quote:
Murkowski won't be able to run for/win re-election now, in Alaska (her term expires in 2028). It will be fun to see who Trump endorses there in late 2026 or so to primary her.
