*****OFFICIAL 2024 ELECTION DAY THREAD*****

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Barnyard96
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6:11p, 11/5/24
AG
Fox just said she's running 8 points less with black vote in GA.

13% less with men
7% less with women
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Ag87H2O
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6:11p, 11/5/24
AG
Trump at 25% of black male vote in Georgia. That puts Harris 13% behind where Biden was in 2020.

Black women in Georgia was at 95% in 2020. Harris is at 89%.

That's really good news for Trump.
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Saxsoon
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6:11p, 11/5/24
AG
Dana Bash on CNN is talking about how independents in Georgia are larger than last year and it has completely flipped for Trump
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Cromagnum
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In reply to RyanAg12 • 6:11p, 11/5/24
AG
RyanAg12 said:
How can it be 70% believing the country is going in the wrong direction…and the #1 and #2 issues are Economy and Border - and this thing is even close???

Help this non-political dude to understand


Dumb women voters.
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FireAg
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In reply to 94chem • 6:11p, 11/5/24
AG
94chem said:
FireAg said:
the most cool guy said:
BD88 said:
This seems like fan bait.
We've been discussing the shift in AZ for several hours on this page...

Guessing you're pro-Harris?

The data is real...AZ is likely going to Trump and Lake will win as well...


AZ was about 15% Lake probability, if that high. That would be massive.
If AZ goes Trump +5%, she'll ride his coattails...

Most think the cutoff for her is in the Trump +3-4 range...
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nortex97
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In reply to Teslag • 6:12p, 11/5/24
AG
Teslag said:
Wow Harris way down with blacks in Georgia
Not just in Georgia. The truth is she is way down in both turnout and share nationally, vs. biden (mostly men but also women).
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Who?mikejones!
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In reply to Zombie Jon Snow • 6:12p, 11/5/24
Zombie Jon Snow said:
Ghost of Bisbee said:
Zombie Jon Snow said:
20% of vote in FL

Trump ahead 52-47


Including Broward County?
Yes thats with 70% of Broward county in which is 61-39 Harris

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Zombie Jon Snow
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6:12p, 11/5/24
AG

CNN talking about Trump doing great with Independents compared to 2020... they cannot figure out why.

ECONOMY!!!!!
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Ghost of Bisbee
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6:12p, 11/5/24
AG
I'm thinking 80% chance Trump wins
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Psycho Bunny
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6:12p, 11/5/24
Opened a new bottle of whiskey.

The voices in my head are fighting, one of my imaginary friends is running with scissors and 2 of my personalities have escaped.

I enjoy nightmares, when I wake up, they leave deeply valuing my reality.
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Ghost of Bisbee
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In reply to Who?mikejones! • 6:12p, 11/5/24
AG
This is shockingly positive news
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aginlakeway
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In reply to Teslag • 6:12p, 11/5/24
AG
Teslag said:
Wow Harris way down with blacks in Georgia


Yep. Could matter in PA later.
"I'm sure that won't make a bit of difference for those of you who enjoy a baseless rage over the decisions of a few teenagers."
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whytho987654
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In reply to Barnyard96 • 6:12p, 11/5/24
Barnyard96 said:
Fox just said she's running 8 points less with black vote in GA.

13% less with men
7% less with women
maga
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the most cool guy
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In reply to FireAg • 6:12p, 11/5/24
FireAg said:
the most cool guy said:
BD88 said:
This seems like fan bait.
We've been discussing the shift in AZ for several hours on this page...

Guessing you're pro-Harris?

The data is real...AZ is likely going to Trump and Lake will win as well...

I'm a deep red conservative. I'm mostly talking about the idea that Republicans are going to overtake liberal strongholds in general, like New Jersey. That's just not going to happen. I realize Trump may win Arizona. I hope he does, but it's still extremely early.
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FireAg
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In reply to Quo Vadis? • 6:13p, 11/5/24
AG
Quo Vadis? said:
Trump winning independents in Georgia by 11 points vs Biden winning by 9 in 2020
If that trend is seen across the country...watch out...

It may not be as close as we think...
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SanDiegoAg12
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6:13p, 11/5/24
AG
CNN just showed a double digit improvement for Trump with independents in Georgia. If I remember correctly, he was behind by 9% last election and up by 11% this time…

CNN couldn't guess why that happened… no mention of RFK joining the campaign which obviously brought a ton of independent support.
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Who?mikejones!
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6:13p, 11/5/24
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AggieUSMC
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6:13p, 11/5/24
AG
Geez, Kamala doing atrocious with black voters in GA.
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MAROON
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In reply to SanDiegoAg12 • 6:13p, 11/5/24
AG
Ya their panelists looked like their dog died.
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Quo Vadis?
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6:14p, 11/5/24
Trump also up 4% higher with white non college in Georgia than in 2020. If it holds in PA that would be huge
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Aggie_2463
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6:14p, 11/5/24
AG
CNN said Kamala was like 84% with black in Georgia

What's the real number?
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RED AG 98
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6:14p, 11/5/24
AG
Rove: even a 1% decrease in black turnout vs Biden is greater than the '20 margin of victory
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pattymelt
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In reply to SanDiegoAg12 • 6:14p, 11/5/24
AG
Yes. 20 point swing to the right from the same exit poll from 2020. The independent vote share also rose from 28% to 31%.
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Gigem314
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In reply to FireAg • 6:14p, 11/5/24
AG
FireAg said:
Quo Vadis? said:
Trump winning independents in Georgia by 11 points vs Biden winning by 9 in 2020
If that trend is seen across the country...watch out...

It may not be as close as we think...
Yeah that would really be interesting
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Aglaw97
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In reply to Ag87H2O • 6:14p, 11/5/24
AG
Ag87H2O said:
Trump at 25% of black male vote in Georgia. That puts Harris 13% behind where Biden was in 2020.

Black women in Georgia was at 95% in 2020. Harris is at 89%.

That's really good news for Trump.
If any Republican gets anywhere near 25% of the black vote across the country, it's a landslide. Not saying I predict that to happen but it would be a massive issue for Democrats
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BadMoonRisin
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In reply to Teslag • 6:14p, 11/5/24
AG
Teslag said:
Wow Harris way down with blacks in Georgia
Voters or....?
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policywonk98
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In reply to FireAg • 6:15p, 11/5/24
AG
FireAg said:
94chem said:
FireAg said:
the most cool guy said:
BD88 said:
This seems like fan bait.
We've been discussing the shift in AZ for several hours on this page...

Guessing you're pro-Harris?

The data is real...AZ is likely going to Trump and Lake will win as well...


AZ was about 15% Lake probability, if that high. That would be massive.
If AZ goes Trump +5%, she'll ride his coattails...

Most think the cutoff for her is in the Trump +3-4 range...


Absolutely.+ 5% is easy win for Lake. 3-4 is fighting chance.
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btk55
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6:15p, 11/5/24
AG
20% swing in independent voters towards Trump compared to 2020 in Georgia… that is unspeakably HUGE if that holds true.
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backintexas2013
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In reply to FireAg • 6:15p, 11/5/24
AG
Guessing some bettor saw that. Went from -140 to -160 in a blink.
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RED AG 98
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In reply to Aggie_2463 • 6:15p, 11/5/24
AG
Aggie_2463 said:
CNN said Kamala was like 84% with black in Georgia

What's the real number?
That's similar to the Fox data, and approx 8% behind Biden
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fightingfarmer09
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In reply to policywonk98 • 6:15p, 11/5/24
policywonk98 said:
FireAg said:
94chem said:
FireAg said:
the most cool guy said:
BD88 said:
This seems like fan bait.
We've been discussing the shift in AZ for several hours on this page...

Guessing you're pro-Harris?

The data is real...AZ is likely going to Trump and Lake will win as well...


AZ was about 15% Lake probability, if that high. That would be massive.
If AZ goes Trump +5%, she'll ride his coattails...

Most think the cutoff for her is in the Trump +3-4 range...


Absolutely.+ 5% is easy win for Lake. 3-4 is fighting chance.


If she wins she better fix that crap voting system.
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6
FatZilla
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6:16p, 11/5/24
AG
Fox showing GA performance of black and also female votes. Commiela is way underperforming. 6 to 13% behind Biden at same timeframe. Massive vote swing for Trump.
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Ghost of Bisbee
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6:16p, 11/5/24
AG
So far, Kamala is ****ed.

Keep on Trump
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BD88
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6:17p, 11/5/24
AG
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Sid Farkas
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In reply to FatZilla • 6:17p, 11/5/24
AG
FatZilla said:
Fox showing GA performance of black and also female votes. Commiela is way underperforming. 6 to 13% behind Biden at same timeframe. Massive vote swing for Trump.


Percent <> number of votes
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