When do the shenanigans start?
*****OFFICIAL 2024 ELECTION DAY THREAD*****
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Last: 6 hrs ago by AtticusMatlock
Today, you are about to complete the greatest story in American presidential history pic.twitter.com/Dl2gE8qJom
— Jack Poso 🇺🇸 (@JackPosobiec) November 5, 2024
2 am
Votes by party affiliation. Republican Party Affiliation ballots are 1+ million ballots ahead of Democrat Party Affiliation ballots. No way of knowing who actually got the votes until they are sent to SOS after polls close.Yukon Cornelius said:
Is that counting votes or voting registered voters? I assume there's a higher percent of Dems voting Trump than vice versa
No Party Affiliation is currently at 1,993,634. Which we also won't know how they vote until after reporting to SOS.
Exit polling suggests GOP has flipped the Guam legislature for the first time in nearly 2 decades.
— Matthew Boyle (@mboyle1) November 5, 2024
If they declare a winner late tonight it will be Trump. If it goes past that special k wins. No state reporting late will come out as say Trump won.
You can tell they're not Dudes for Harris because none of them is wearing a dress...Who?mikejones! said:HUGE line at Biglerville PA near Gettysburg. Rural. Solid red. Almost all male
— Jack Poso 🇺🇸 (@JackPosobiec) November 5, 2024
Men are showing up pic.twitter.com/WOcPhVvJbm
I believe what they are talking about are the local GOP groups that create "voter guides" for their supporters to take into the booth..
this is a great sign of large GOP voting in the suburbs around Philly and Butler County around Pitt:
At the Cranberry Township polling location.
Republicans have already run out of sample ballots.
Butler County, PA
this is a great sign of large GOP voting in the suburbs around Philly and Butler County around Pitt:
At the Cranberry Township polling location.
Republicans have already run out of sample ballots.
Butler County, PA
I thought R's outvoted Dems in early votingoh no said:I believe FL has already counted early votes and mail, which favor dems so if R has that big of a lead this early in the day on election day, it's huge. ..and if you want to try to extrapolate this to the rest of the country, where mail in ballots were also way down from four years ago, it could be an indicator of a Trump landslide later tonight.Barnyard96 said:will25u said:
Republicans now have a 1 million vote lead over Democrats in FL.
Is that substantial?
🚨 BREAKING - FINAL FLORIDA early voting update
— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) November 5, 2024
🔴 REP: 43.07% (+10.11) [3,572,206]
🔵 DEM: 32.96% [2,733,488]
🟡 NPA: 21.56% [1,788,161]
Democrats led in 2020 early voting by 1.3 points. This is a shift for Republicans of 11.4 points.
Total votes: 8,293,650
Notable… pic.twitter.com/jM8YV6XL8g
Too big too steal
TAKE NOTHING FOR GRANTED! GET OUT AND VOTE!
"unaffiliated" party I believeRed Pear Felipe said:So is the YELLOW, 3rd Party votes?Captn_Ag05 said:Arizona Maricopa County Election Day Update:
— OSZ (@OpenSourceZone) November 5, 2024
🔴 16,358
🔵 7, 387
🟡 13,806
Total: 37,551
Total EV favored the Republicans by R +834,801oh no said:I believe FL has already counted early votes and mail, which favor dems so if R has that big of a lead this early in the day on election day, it's huge. ..and if you want to try to extrapolate this to the rest of the country, where mail in ballots were also way down from four years ago, it could be an indicator of a Trump landslide later tonight.Barnyard96 said:will25u said:
Republicans now have a 1 million vote lead over Democrats in FL.
Is that substantial?
Mail in - D +203,602
IPEV - R +1,038,403
ED - R +182,221
Total - R +1,017,022 @ 10:50am ET
Yukon Cornelius said:
Is that counting votes or voting registered voters? I assume there's a higher percent of Dems voting Trump than vice versa
What you are into is my biggest hypothesis that the polls are going to be very off. So many are inflicted if not driven by the registration and/or prior voting history of those responding.
However - I believe there are many more historical Dem voters voting for Trump than there are historic Rep voters voting for Harris.
They are showing up BIGLY in BiglervilleWho?mikejones! said:HUGE line at Biglerville PA near Gettysburg. Rural. Solid red. Almost all male
— Jack Poso 🇺🇸 (@JackPosobiec) November 5, 2024
Men are showing up pic.twitter.com/WOcPhVvJbm
I believe he's saying that Early Votes and Mail-in votes generally favor Dems unspecific to what's going on in Florida right now.KTAG05 said:I thought R's outvoted Dems in early votingoh no said:I believe FL has already counted early votes and mail, which favor dems so if R has that big of a lead this early in the day on election day, it's huge. ..and if you want to try to extrapolate this to the rest of the country, where mail in ballots were also way down from four years ago, it could be an indicator of a Trump landslide later tonight.Barnyard96 said:will25u said:
Republicans now have a 1 million vote lead over Democrats in FL.
Is that substantial?🚨 BREAKING - FINAL FLORIDA early voting update
— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) November 5, 2024
🔴 REP: 43.07% (+10.11) [3,572,206]
🔵 DEM: 32.96% [2,733,488]
🟡 NPA: 21.56% [1,788,161]
Democrats led in 2020 early voting by 1.3 points. This is a shift for Republicans of 11.4 points.
Total votes: 8,293,650
Notable… pic.twitter.com/jM8YV6XL8g
oh. I see. ...so is the 1m lead currently no big deal then?will25u said:Total EV favored the Republicans by 834,801oh no said:I believe FL has already counted early votes and mail, which favor dems so if R has that big of a lead this early in the day on election day, it's huge. ..and if you want to try to extrapolate this to the rest of the country, where mail in ballots were also way down from four years ago, it could be an indicator of a Trump landslide later tonight.Barnyard96 said:will25u said:
Republicans now have a 1 million vote lead over Democrats in FL.
Is that substantial?
Mail in - D +203,602
IPEV - R +1,038,403
ED - R +182,221
Total - R +1,017,022 @ 10:50am ET
Actually, if I am calculating the EV numbers in FL correctly from this site:oh no said:I believe FL has already counted early votes and mail, which favor dems so if R has that big of a lead this early in the day on election day, it's huge. ..and if you want to try to extrapolate this to the rest of the country, where mail in ballots were also way down from four years ago, it could be an indicator of a Trump landslide later tonight.Barnyard96 said:will25u said:
Republicans now have a 1 million vote lead over Democrats in FL.
Is that substantial?
https://joeisdone.github.io/florida/
Rs led Ds by just over 178K EVs going into ED...
That's why folks interested in the potential for R vote cannibalization possibilities are interested in FL in particular...if Rs turnout out today in FL and EXPAND their EV lead...the Ds are more likely than not in serious trouble nationally as, the trend usually is...Rs turn out much better on ED than they show up to early vote...
I was up in Gettysburg the last several weekends with my Trump posters and stickers in the carAg with kids said:You can tell they're not Dudes for Harris because none of them is wearing a dress...Who?mikejones! said:HUGE line at Biglerville PA near Gettysburg. Rural. Solid red. Almost all male
— Jack Poso 🇺🇸 (@JackPosobiec) November 5, 2024
Men are showing up pic.twitter.com/WOcPhVvJbm
Adams County is very mixed-
the Gettysburg College is located there which is a ton of coeds and their professors and their administrators
add in the very rich that live in Gettysburg
but we need a massive amount of men voting from that area through York, Lancaster, Chester and into Bucks County and Montgomery County to the northeast of Philly
See my post above. Your numbers are wrong.
Trump will win by double digits as long as we don't see a huge difference in voting patterns in the second 1/2 of voting today.oh no said:oh. I see. ...so is the 1m lead currently no big deal then?will25u said:Total EV favored the Republicans by 834,801oh no said:I believe FL has already counted early votes and mail, which favor dems so if R has that big of a lead this early in the day on election day, it's huge. ..and if you want to try to extrapolate this to the rest of the country, where mail in ballots were also way down from four years ago, it could be an indicator of a Trump landslide later tonight.Barnyard96 said:will25u said:
Republicans now have a 1 million vote lead over Democrats in FL.
Is that substantial?
Mail in - D +203,602
IPEV - R +1,038,403
ED - R +182,221
Total - R +1,017,022 @ 10:50am ET
FLORIDA IS RED!
Arizona Early Vote Update
— Caroline Wren (@CarolineWren) November 5, 2024
🔴: 1,015,409 (R+218,311!)
🔵: 797,098
⚫: 685,803
Total: 2.5M
VOTE VOTE VOTE ‼️‼️ https://t.co/CyE7loUH2a
FrioAg 00 said:Yukon Cornelius said:
Is that counting votes or voting registered voters? I assume there's a higher percent of Dems voting Trump than vice versa
What you are into is my biggest hypothesis that the polls are going to be very off. So many are inflicted if not driven by the registration and/or prior voting history of those responding.
However - I believe there are many more historical Dem voters voting for Trump than there are historic Rep voters voting for Harris.
come on man- there are so many "Liz Cheney Republicans" and "Adam Kinzinger Republicans" just raring to vote for Kamala!!
much more than "Robert Kennedy and Tulsi Gabbard and Elon Musk and Joe Rogan and Nicole Shanahan and Danica Patrick" Trump voters!
How's that compare to 2020
Just happened https://t.co/D0fo9X3Vjf
— Rich Baris The People's Pundit (@Peoples_Pundit) November 5, 2024
Let the winning begin:
In the U.S. territory of the Northern Mariana Islands, Republican Kimberlyn King-Hinds is poised to be the first congressional winner of 2024, beating Democrat Edwin Propst 37.74%-34.06%.
— Dennis Lennox (@dennislennox) November 5, 2024
This will be a GOP gain. pic.twitter.com/Eyb6GKo89J
will25u said:
See my post above. Your numbers are wrong.
This is that site's EV Mail In and Mail IPEV counts respectively:
When I do that math, I get an R net advantage of 178K in EV...
Hearing Democrats are super nervous. The Trump surge is real. Smart Democrats are doing the math and very concerned.
— Charlie Kirk (@charliekirk11) November 5, 2024
Go vote!!
Any info or reports coming out of NH or VA?
Be on the lookout for Broward and Palm Beach reporting very late. They are heavily populated and vote heavily Blue. This will coincide with the later closure and very Red rural Panhandle counties in the central time zone.
Low turnout in Fairfax this morning. I’ve been to three polling places and a new voter comes in every 3 minutes. Any updates from around the state? @ChristianHeiens @JackCollinsVA
— John Jennings (@John_Jennings03) November 5, 2024
Waffledynamics said:
TAKE NOTHING FOR GRANTED! GET OUT AND VOTE!
Corporal Punishment said:
Be on the lookout for Broward and Palm Beach reporting very late. They are heavily populated and vote heavily Blue. This will coincide with the later closure and very rural Panhandle counties in the central time zone.
2022 showed a massive shift even in these area towards Republican. Still blue, but not nearly as deep and bright blue as before.
Palm Beach is reporting ED voting favors Rs by +8.24% currently...Corporal Punishment said:
Be on the lookout for Broward and Palm Beach reporting very late. They are heavily populated and vote heavily Blue. This will coincide with the later closure and very Red rural Panhandle counties in the central time zone.
I wasn't nearly as involved in following this thread specifically in 2020.
I do remember it being very positive until late night hit and the miraculous vote dumps happened.
My question is does this feel different than 2020? Is the current data giving you posters who were heavily involved in both elections more comfort than in 2020?
Just want to prepare myself for when **** hits the fan and things go from great to 'uh-oh' if this mirrors 2020.
I do remember it being very positive until late night hit and the miraculous vote dumps happened.
My question is does this feel different than 2020? Is the current data giving you posters who were heavily involved in both elections more comfort than in 2020?
Just want to prepare myself for when **** hits the fan and things go from great to 'uh-oh' if this mirrors 2020.
I don't know why they are not doing the same thing in Georgia and Penn and Michigan and North Carolina!!
IT’S GO TIME!
— Turning Point Action (@TPAction_) November 5, 2024
The TPAction team hit the ground running this morning preparing for the big day ahead.
-TPAction deployed buses to polling locations across Maricopa County, offering rides to shorter polling locations to voters who are stuck in long lines
-Our Chase the Vote team… pic.twitter.com/USxaoqZJpF
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