Blue State Emigration - Actual Data

1,038 Views | 4 Replies | Last: 1 yr ago by YouBet
YouBet
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Frequent topic on here on who is actually leaving blue states. Found this article on WSJ focused on South Carolina immigration and the political ideologies of people arriving there. Could serve as a proxy for Texas.

https://www.wsj.com/politics/elections/blue-state-residents-streamed-into-south-carolina-heres-why-it-stayed-ruby-red-a049c74c?st=u56u4e9e5aelak2&reflink=desktopwebshare_permalink

Quote:

The Zals are part of a migration wave that has kept South Carolina ruby red despite an influx of newcomers from blue states.
Quote:

Yet the new arrivals are disproportionately Republican. Estimates from the nonpartisan voter file vendor L2 suggest about 57% of voters who moved to South Carolina during that time are Republicans, while about 36% are Democrats and 7% are independents. That places them roughly in line with recent statewide votes in South Carolina.

The Palmetto State is a prime example of why a yearslong wave of migration to the South has largely failed to change its partisan tint. Many people who leave blue states are Republicans gravitating toward a more politically favorable new home.
Got excited about following but then, naturally, no specific examples for us, but we can probably assume similar trends as SC and Florida:

Quote:

In Florida, for instance, 48% of people who moved there between 2017 and 2021 came from blue states while 29% came from red states, Census figures show. Among those who registered to vote, 44% are Republicans, 25% are Democrats and 28% are nonpartisan, according to L2 data. Texas also has a heavier flow of newcomers from blue states but a greater share who L2 data estimates are Republican.
Quote:

"People do look for their own cohorts," said Paul Westcott, L2's executive vice president. In South Carolina, he said, "People see a lower cost of living, lower taxes, and are looking for that cohort that matches their own. Maybe they're not thinking about it consciously, but they are finding themselves among other conservatives there."
And I thought this was amusing. He can no longer afford to virtue signal.

Quote:

John Lush, a retired carpenter, was a Democrat in New York but felt the state's Democratic leadership was getting too aggressivehe cited environmental restrictions, including a gas stove ban, and higher taxesand recently registered as a Republican.

"When you're younger you can afford to be a liberalnow you can't," he said.
And there is still validity to the thought that a blue state conservative is a red state liberal. That's hard to quantify.
Old McDonald
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not super surprising, states like california and new york might have reputations for being super blue, but they're very populous. california alone has more registered republicans than half the other states have people. doesn't take a significant exodus from these high population states to bolster republican ranks in smaller states.
YouBet
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Old McDonald said:

not super surprising, states like california and new york might have reputations for being super blue, but they're very populous. california alone has more registered republicans than half the other states have people. doesn't take a significant exodus from these high population states to bolster republican ranks in smaller states.
Yes, I think people forget that California has 10M more people than Texas and has more Republicans than Texas.

It's a massive state.
BCSWguru
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we dont forget California sucks
YouBet
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BCSWguru said:

we dont forget California sucks
That's understood.
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