Not an economist, but here is how I sum up the trends I see.
0) Texas is in a bubble of economic growth that will last for 10-20 years. We have it going on in every area as businesses flee anti-growth (socialist) states, we are blessed with cheap fossil and green energy, have a huge natural port, nicely distributed workforce along the skilled unskilled spectrum, and have best geographic access to our corporations' subcontracted factories in Mexico.
Nationally,
1) lack of job loss is due to massive boomer retirement. Any inflation in wages has been because of reduced workforce not growth or reshoring. (We have never been in this environment post Industrial Revolution so most previous trends/markers may not be reliable.)
2) inflation is killing the middle and lower class workers in America and it's not helping the savings of the non investor class.
3) GDP growth is debt fueled govt spending. Personal anecdote: 1Q info: A huge (40k+ employees) financial services company serving banks and credit unions as well as govt did not meet any sales goals except for government sector in 2023. Government numbers blew up and saved massive losses. First time since 2008 that company's growth of non-government areas did not meet expectations. This company handles a huge amount of the countries financial transactions so I think this is very indicative of overall spending/growth.
4) rest of country feeling pinch of illegals on social services is in its infancy but having a big impact on strained infrastructure on local populations psyche.
It will become bigger issue over next few years because,
5) Even with the boomer retirement, the illegals getting spread around the country will suppress wages for those blue collar workers in blue areas with low growth for the first time ever. If it is in enough numbers to affect the macro situation it will be a big big issue for those workers whose wages stagnate even when they should be growing in a labor shortage.
All that adds up to some pissed off people as they lose more and more wealth or go further in debt. May not be enough this go round to swing the vote.