Not a Bot said:

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He is telling the truth. Lebanon is a hell of a complicated place. The majority of the people do not support Hezbollah and are Sunni or Christian. Hezbollah was allowed to get that powerful because Iran convinced the local Shia population that the Sunnis and Christians were keeping them poor on purpose and manipulated them into joining their cause. Their militia element was supposed to disband and never did, and the Lebanese government in general is not strong enough to reign them in.

Lebanon's shared power structure is supposed to provide equal power among Christians, Sunnis, and Shias but Hezbollah has gained outsized power. Hezbollah is a political party within Lebanon as well as the militia.

The Christian President (the President always has to be a Christian in Lebanon) has traded away a lot of his power to Hezbollah in exchange for money and security of the Christian population. Hezbollah runs Lebanon like the cartels.

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UNRWA deleted this tweet thread, but UN sources and Israeli officials tell me the incident did happen pic.twitter.com/U130PAWZWp

— Barak Ravid (@BarakRavid) October 16, 2023

CDUB98 said:

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What ia the UNRWA?

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2023NCAggies said:

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Not a Bot said:

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He is telling the truth. Lebanon is a hell of a complicated place. The majority of the people do not support Hezbollah and are Sunni or Christian. Hezbollah was allowed to get that powerful because Iran convinced the local Shia population that the Sunnis and Christians were keeping them poor on purpose and manipulated them into joining their cause. Their militia element was supposed to disband and never did, and the Lebanese government in general is not strong enough to reign them in.

Lebanon's shared power structure is supposed to provide equal power among Christians, Sunnis, and Shias but Hezbollah has gained outsized power. Hezbollah is a political party within Lebanon as well as the militia.

The Christian President (the President always has to be a Christian in Lebanon) has traded away a lot of his power to Hezbollah in exchange for money and security of the Christian population. Hezbollah runs Lebanon like the cartels.

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So if they are a ally to us without Hezbollah, maybe we should take of them for them and train a loyal army and supply them with quipment over time.

You have to have more than Israel over there

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Quote:

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So if they are a ally to us without Hezbollah, maybe we should take of them for them and train a loyal army and supply them with quipment over time.

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jlAG97 said:

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Rumors are the Israel might now be waiting for Biden to arrive sometime later this week before the ground invasion? Worst massacre since Holocaust and the Israeli govt seems more beholden to what world thinks or wants with each passing day

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Waffledynamics said:

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JobSecurity said:

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Lebanese army has found and dismantled 20 rocket launchers in southern Lebanon which were probably intended for northern Israel https://t.co/zbVYYbMwuJ

— Faytuks News Δ (@Faytuks) October 16, 2023

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Do I understand this correctly? Is the Lebanese military in part or in whole at odds with Hezbollah? That could spell problems for Hez if they get involved and suddenly have a massive thorn in their side from Lebanon while trying to contend with Israel.

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2023NCAggies said:

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Not a Bot said:

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He is telling the truth. Lebanon is a hell of a complicated place. The majority of the people do not support Hezbollah and are Sunni or Christian. Hezbollah was allowed to get that powerful because Iran convinced the local Shia population that the Sunnis and Christians were keeping them poor on purpose and manipulated them into joining their cause. Their militia element was supposed to disband and never did, and the Lebanese government in general is not strong enough to reign them in.

Lebanon's shared power structure is supposed to provide equal power among Christians, Sunnis, and Shias but Hezbollah has gained outsized power. Hezbollah is a political party within Lebanon as well as the militia.

The Christian President (the President always has to be a Christian in Lebanon) has traded away a lot of his power to Hezbollah in exchange for money and security of the Christian population. Hezbollah runs Lebanon like the cartels.

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So if they are a ally to us without Hezbollah, maybe we should take of them for them and train a loyal army and supply them with quipment over time.

You have to have more than Israel over there

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Not a Bot said:

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It was a well-planned operation by a very small group of people. Most of the fighters likely did not find out until day of which is why they were handed their instructions in a packet.

Zeihan's theory is that Israel was possibly hyperfocused on Hezbollah and didn't view Hamas as big of a threat. Just like 9/11, they will likely be able to put the pieces together after the fact and realized they should have known what was coming.

They had a lot of automated systems that either failed or were taken out, including their warning alert systems. They may have been physically unable to actually call for the response due to hacking or communication jamming. The attack first took out the wall sensors and then the guard towers and automated turrets. It's possible they were relying on those systems more than they should have been. They were also likely a bit understaffed due to the holiday.

They were responding to a lot of different attacks in a lot of different areas simultaneously so there was likely a lot of confusion and fog.

Whatever happens in the next few weeks, I'm pretty convinced the Netanyahu government is done once the emergency is over. He was already hanging on by a thread. This failure will absolutely lead to a new government in israel.

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Evidence demonstrating how Hamas-led terrorists destroyed a part of the barrier to gain access to one of the communities in southern Israel. The video is published by South Responders. pic.twitter.com/ngyMi3wkdS

— Joe Truzman (@JoeTruzman) October 16, 2023

Not a Bot said:

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It was a well-planned operation by a very small group of people. Most of the fighters likely did not find out until day of which is why they were handed their instructions in a packet.

Zeihan's theory is that Israel was possibly hyperfocused on Hezbollah and didn't view Hamas as big of a threat. Just like 9/11, they will likely be able to put the pieces together after the fact and realized they should have known what was coming.

They had a lot of automated systems that either failed or were taken out, including their warning alert systems. They may have been physically unable to actually call for the response due to hacking or communication jamming. The attack first took out the wall sensors and then the guard towers and automated turrets. It's possible they were relying on those systems more than they should have been. They were also likely a bit understaffed due to the holiday.

They were responding to a lot of different attacks in a lot of different areas simultaneously so there was likely a lot of confusion and fog.

Whatever happens in the next few weeks, I'm pretty convinced the Netanyahu government is done once the emergency is over. He was already hanging on by a thread. This failure will absolutely lead to a new government in israel.

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Furlock Bones said:

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10s to 100s of thousands are at the Rafah Gate. Egypt won't open it. There is a massive convoy of trucks filled with food, water, and aid. Egypt won't open the gate.

Why isn't the world media calling out Egypt? Why are there no protests against Egypt not helping? Why is there a border in the first place? It's inhumane to keep a border closed.

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Quote:

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Iran tried to pressure Israel into ending its revenge airstrikes on Gaza by claiming Monday that the Hamas terrorists long sponsored by Tehran would be willing to free the 199 hostages now known to have been taken during the slaughter of more than 1,400 people.

Iranian Foreign Ministry Nasser Kanaani claimed that Hamas is "ready" to release the hostages, but doing so would be "impossible" under Israeli airstrikes in the region.

He reckoned that the terror group "stated that they are ready to take necessary measures to release the citizens and civilians held by resistant groups, but their point was that such measures require preparations that are impossible under daily bombardment by the Zionists against various parts of Gaza," Kanaani said.

Despite this, Hamas has yet to make such an offer publicly.

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CDUB98 said:

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Just checking to be sure.

Is everyone else's liveatream dead quiet and two of the cams filled with a random assortment of news agency images?

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Furlock Bones said:

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i've been told this the "world's largest open air prison" that Israel controls. a term repeated by the UN, governments, lefties, etc. yet, there is another country with a key to that "prison". so, again, why is Egypt keeping the "prison door" locked?

you are correct. it's all very confusing.

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aggiehawg said:

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Quote:

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Iran tried to pressure Israel into ending its revenge airstrikes on Gaza by claiming Monday that the Hamas terrorists long sponsored by Tehran would be willing to free the 199 hostages now known to have been taken during the slaughter of more than 1,400 people.

Iranian Foreign Ministry Nasser Kanaani claimed that Hamas is "ready" to release the hostages, but doing so would be "impossible" under Israeli airstrikes in the region.

He reckoned that the terror group "stated that they are ready to take necessary measures to release the citizens and civilians held by resistant groups, but their point was that such measures require preparations that are impossible under daily bombardment by the Zionists against various parts of Gaza," Kanaani said.

Despite this, Hamas has yet to make such an offer publicly.

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So does Iran control Hamas or not?LINK

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torrid said:

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aggiehawg said:

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Quote:

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Iran tried to pressure Israel into ending its revenge airstrikes on Gaza by claiming Monday that the Hamas terrorists long sponsored by Tehran would be willing to free the 199 hostages now known to have been taken during the slaughter of more than 1,400 people.

Iranian Foreign Ministry Nasser Kanaani claimed that Hamas is "ready" to release the hostages, but doing so would be "impossible" under Israeli airstrikes in the region.

He reckoned that the terror group "stated that they are ready to take necessary measures to release the citizens and civilians held by resistant groups, but their point was that such measures require preparations that are impossible under daily bombardment by the Zionists against various parts of Gaza," Kanaani said.

Despite this, Hamas has yet to make such an offer publicly.

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So does Iran control Hamas or not?LINK

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Created a monster they can no longer control.

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Not a Bot said:

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Correct.

Disagree with prior poster about them being a vassal state of Russia. Their goal is to be the dominant player in the ME and they aligned with whomever would deal with them. They aren't friends and really don't gave much strategic to offer each other except cooperation in annoying the US. Iran isn't taking orders from them.

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• while the government of the Islamic Republic was massacring its opponents and members of the opposition in prison, many children were given arms and sent to the slaughter houses of the war for the "love of country" or the "love of martyrdom".
• As a result, hundreds of young students and adults have been killed in their quest to visit the "light"
• a 13-year-old boy who, on October 30, 1980, pulled the pin out of a grenade in his hand and leaped under an advancing Iraqi tank, killing himself and disabling the tank. Now, through an act of parliament, October 30 is celebrated as the Student Basij Day.
• during the eight-year war with Iraq, more than 33,000 high school students were killed, 2,853 were injured and 2,433 were taken prisoner. According to a report by human rights organization Child Soldiers International, "boys as young as nine were reportedly used in human wave attacks and to serve as mine sweepers in the war with Iraq."
• children's lack of military training: They were used as cannon fodder in human-wave attacks launched by the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps against the Iraqi forces."