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My guess is the denominator is changing and they are estimating more votes, hence the changing %s

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Dedicated people put men into orbit, landed on the moon using sliderules and less computing power than we have on our phones but this can't be done?

ETA: That confirms that third parties are sending out phony ballots, BTW.

Lake08 said:

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Again, why are republicans always complaining about cheating?? Either cheat right back or make sure you are on top of how the dems are doing it. This narrative is getting tired…

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Not following Arizona threads...I see... And this is not a narrative. It's real, tracked info right before our eyes. Narratives = a story told.

Agthatbuilds said:

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Cnn updated. Boebert lead up over 1200 votes now at 98% reporting

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Why won't that race be called?

Still too close

numetalbizkitaggie said:

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I kind of think the opposite of the first tweet. Boebert's district doesn't include Denver or Boulder, so that's a pretty big confounding variable there. It is a bigger story that she did not win that district on election night when it includes many pro-Republican rural mountain towns.

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Could be.

aggiehawg said:

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Agthatbuilds said:

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Cnn updated. Boebert lead up over 1200 votes now at 98% reporting

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Why won't that race be called?

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Still in auto recount range

Teslag said:

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aggiehawg said:

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Agthatbuilds said:

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Cnn updated. Boebert lead up over 1200 votes now at 98% reporting

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Why won't that race be called?

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Still in auto recount range

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Thought that was 800 ?

aggiehawg said:

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Agthatbuilds said:

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Cnn updated. Boebert lead up over 1200 votes now at 98% reporting

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Why won't that race be called?

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Don't know if this random Twitterer is accurate here but might mean it won't get called for a while.

Heads up on CO results—we need to walk away until 11/16—the overseas and military ballots have 8 days to arrive post Election Day.

I refuse to have a stroke from watching this everyday; and then miss celebrating Boebert’s Retirement!!😂🤣😂 https://t.co/qf9PIPp91q

— Debra Mitchell - @ddmocca@mstdn.social (@ddmocca) November 10, 2022

I can't imagine there'd be enough ballots from oversees to make much a difference

Teslag said:

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aggiehawg said:

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Agthatbuilds said:

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Cnn updated. Boebert lead up over 1200 votes now at 98% reporting

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Why won't that race be called?

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Still in auto recount range

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Auto recount is 0.5% of the top vote getter...

That'd be about 802 votes right now

Because it takes them longer to get there?

Down 1200 votes with not much left, I think she has this one. The remaining votes would have to be really heavy Blue and there just aren't many Blue areas in that District much less heavy Blue. Military ballots almost never change anything, those folks tend to vote and mail it in by now anyway, it's not like tons of folks vote overseas and decide to mail on Election Day. Recounts are also false hope and rarely change more than a handful of votes in an area this small.

It's not over but this is like scoring a TD to go up by 14 with 1:20 left on the clock.

flakrat said:

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Why don't over seas and military ballots have a deadline that allows them to arrive before election day?

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Because that would require government competence.

Hubert J. Farnsworth said:

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flakrat said:

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Why don't over seas and military ballots have a deadline that allows them to arrive before election day?

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Because that would require government competence.

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I doubt there are that many military people overseas from
Denver.

It's not even Denver.

Don't forget the Secretary of State is Jena Griswold who is a self serving B so this isn't over until it's over.

Boebert up 1,122 votes. Kirkmeyer behind 1,862 votes.

numetalbizkitaggie said:

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Boebert up 1,122 votes. Kirkmeyer behind 1,862 votes.

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Don't think there's much left to count in the boebert race. Some curing and overseas/military. Not going to be enough to make up 1122 votes

I posted the math on the other thread. It's basically impossible for the D to come back. There is one county with about 7% of the estimated vote not counted. D is dominating that county. However, that's only going to net him about 500 or so votes. There's not enough outstanding ballots in the rest of the district to net him 600 more votes on top of that.

IDaggie06 said:

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Hate to sound pessimistic but I'm going to be a little surprised if Lauren holds onto this lead if what the New York Times is showing to be accurate. The only areas with less than 95% reporting are democrat areas with one of them at 80% reporting and extremely democratic. That county is Pitkin which is currently 7,364 vs only 1933 Boerbert. So 20% additional votes at that same rate would put Frisch back in the lead and he has two other counties that he would gain votes in too.

Time after time after time after time it is the strong democrat areas that report very last. Here we have a county of roughly 11k votes that can't report on time.

I have no clue if the remaining votes are election day, mail in, etc.

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Well looks like I was wrong and Lauren should be able to win this unless dems pull off some BS. However my numbers above were from NYT and it is interesting how Pitkin just went from 80% reporting to 95% but zero vote changes there, identical vote numbers. Every single county now shows greater than 95% reporting so just don't see how she can lose, but weirder things have happened to republicans.

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However my numbers above were from NYT and it is interesting how Pitkin just went from 80% reporting to 95% but zero vote changes there, identical vote numbers.

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Good grief! This is counting, not rocket science. How can percentages change without the denominator changing?

(Prior post I was responding too was apparently deleted.)

Me too.

I hope she goes full Yosemite Sam.

Faustus said:

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I hope she goes full Yosemite Sam.

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AggieT said:

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Because it takes them longer to get there?

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Slow down, think *REAL* hard then come back and try again.

I'd assume the military votes will be heavily in her favor. The gap will widen

oh no said:

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a white liberal dem sits high on his elitist sanctimonious perch and belittles someone who is successful with a GED? no way!

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Dems are gonna dem. They can't help themselves. They have to put people down that they disagree with.

dreyOO said:

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I'd assume the military votes will be heavily in her favor. The gap will widen

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How many total military votes do you think her district has? 200?