Here is who is voting by county. Overall, the R turnout percentage is showing more enthusiasm. This is especially true down on the border. Look at Cameron (Brownsville), Hildalgo (McAllen), Webb (Laredo), Maverick (Eagle Pass), and Val Verde (Del Rio).

The big blue cities have higher D enthusiasm vs more rural counties, which isn't surprising.

The Magnificent 7 cities of Midland County (Midland), Ector (Odessa), Lubbock Co, [Armstrong, Carson, Potter, and Randall counties (Amarillo area)], Taylor/Nolan (Abilene), Wichita County (Wichita Falls), and Tom Green (San Angelo) are supposed to offset the D votes in Harris/Fort Bend and north/south counties adjacent to Austin.

What do you see?

Got a link for a version I can put in a spreadsheet and run analytics on?

duffelpud said:

---

Got a link for a version I can put in a spreadsheet and run analytics on?

---

I wish I did. This was given to us in PDF.

why is this info available before polls close? dumb.

760k voted early in harris county in 2018. 640k this year is significant drop.

hoping that means beto mania was not a thing this year.

LSCSN said:

---

why is this info available before polls close? dumb.

---

Don't a lot of states release info on the break-down of early voting by party?

Looks to me like there may be some heavy Republican areas waiting for Election Day to vote.

Which makes sense, Ds stole votes knowing what they needed going "into Election Day" at least now they won't know until polls close at the end of the day how many ballots to fill out and shove in a box for counting at 3am.

Will be interesting to watch the vote totals through the night and next day. My guess is an +90% swing from 3am to 5pm the next day from Rs up +10 on updated vote counts to +80% Ds in the weeh hours of the mornin' to the next afternoon.

We shall see. Just watch the numbers and we can see if Republican state legislators and courts were able to fix the voting issues from 2020. My guess is in some places yes, and in many others, no.

I just converted to XLSX using my Ninja *pdf skillz. This should be open access: https://drive.google.com/drive/folders/1wUkbZPWwg1KbHJADImJo8QbOd0abEYNi?usp=sharing

No more drive thru voting. No more mail in balloting. That bs was put to bed.

Tibbers said:

---

No more drive thru voting. No more mail in balloting. That bs was put to bed.

---

what does that have to do with 2018?

LSCSN said:

---

why is this info available before polls close? dumb.

---

shhhh!

What do the no-history percentages look like normally? Seems there is not a huge number of those coming in, but I don't know how they stack up compared to previous cycles.

AgBQ-00 said:

---

What do the no-history percentages look like normally? Seems there is not a huge number of those coming in, but I don't know how they stack up compared to previous cycles.

---

Look at the higher percentage of no history voters in urban areas.

Where is turnout up and where is it down? Early turnout in Franklin County in 2018 was 3.9%. This year, early turnout is at 31.1% (+27.2%). Hudspeth County was 20.8% in 18 and 8.8% this year (-12%). #txvoterdata #txlege

Congressional District 28. 👀 pic.twitter.com/bEyImw1DKE

— Derek Ryan ❌ (@longhornderek) November 7, 2022

sanangelo said:

---

I just converted to XLSX using my Ninja *pdf skillz. This should be open access: https://drive.google.com/drive/folders/1wUkbZPWwg1KbHJADImJo8QbOd0abEYNi?usp=sharing

---

It looks like you missed some data in your conversion. The county list starts with Crane County. Other than that it looks good.

Fort Bend County had more Republican votes than Democrat votes in early voting and we all know Republicans always win election day voting because Republicans are more likely to vote on election day. Maybe Asian Americans have had enough of the Democrats.

The only concern the GOP should have at this point is if people think they are way up in the polls and don't show up on election day to vote because they view the result as a foregone conclusion.

2012heisman said:

---

Fort Bend County had more Republican votes than Democrat votes in early voting and we all know Republicans always win election day voting because Republicans are more likely to vote on election day. Maybe Asian Americans have had enough of the Democrats.

---

maybe generally, but in Fort Bend County on election day it was:

2018:
early: Beto 54.9% Cruz 44.5%
election day: Beto 58.4% Cruz 40.5%

When looking at increased early voting numbers, I've always had concerns that you are simply seeing people vote early that typically may vote on election day. Do we think that's the issue this year or there is just greater turnout overall?

Texags taught me that early voting is for Satan.

spicyitalian said:

---

sanangelo said:

---

I just converted to XLSX using my Ninja *pdf skillz. This should be open access: https://drive.google.com/drive/folders/1wUkbZPWwg1KbHJADImJo8QbOd0abEYNi?usp=sharing

---

It looks like you missed some data in your conversion. The county list starts with Crane County. Other than that it looks good.

---

Looks like the first page is mumbo-jumbo'ed after exporting from Acrobat to text. Gonna have to fat finger those in. I added the pdf to the shared folder. https://drive.google.com/drive/folders/1wUkbZPWwg1KbHJADImJo8QbOd0abEYNi?usp=share_link

Red wave, incoming!

2012heisman said:

---

Fort Bend County had more Republican votes than Democrat votes in early voting and we all know Republicans always win election day voting because Republicans are more likely to vote on election day. Maybe Asian Americans have had enough of the Democrats.

---

The last two numbers are of a "percentage of suspected Rs" and "percentage of suspected Ds" based on lots of data I don't have. So it's not a measure of Rs vs Ds except that a higher R turnout means a higher % of likely Rs voted early when compared to the % of likely Ds (and vis versa).

The lady at the polling location I voted at in Harris County on Thursday told me they have been super busy since the start of early voting.

Also didn't appear to be that many Beto votes in line when I was there. I left feeling encouraged.

Sounds like a lot of guesswork.

Expecting the worst. Always. This is my new default.

RED TSUNAMI.

Would be great if it overwhelmed Bexar and Harris Counties due to Hispanic shifts.

WTH is wrong with the big cities? Are the people there that dumb?

Seriously wouldn't mind all this being banned. No info till the last polls close. Blackout till then rivalling the days when there was no Internet and they made sure tickets at the bowls were sold first.

cevans_40 said:

---

WTH is wrong with the big cities? Are the people there that dumb?

---

Yes

It tells me to watch out for election day red tsunami not just in Texas but all over the US

Some of the blue counties have very high R early voting turnout. After all they have to work for a living and votes when they get an opportunity.

CoachO_08 said:

---

The lady at the polling location I voted at in Harris County on Thursday told me they have been super busy since the start of early voting.

Also didn't appear to be that many Beto votes in line when I was there. I left feeling encouraged.

---

How so, no drooling idiots standing around with their thumbs in their butts? Then in their mouths? Then in their butts again?

Tony Franklins Other Shoe said:

---

CoachO_08 said:

---

The lady at the polling location I voted at in Harris County on Thursday told me they have been super busy since the start of early voting.

Also didn't appear to be that many Beto votes in line when I was there. I left feeling encouraged.

---

How so, no drooling idiots standing around with their thumbs in their butts? Then in their mouths? Then in their butts again?

---

Captn_Ag05 said:

---

Where is turnout up and where is it down? Early turnout in Franklin County in 2018 was 3.9%. This year, early turnout is at 31.1% (+27.2%). Hudspeth County was 20.8% in 18 and 8.8% this year (-12%). #txvoterdata #txlege

Congressional District 28. 👀 pic.twitter.com/bEyImw1DKE

— Derek Ryan ❌ (@longhornderek) November 7, 2022

---

Interesting that overall turnout is down by over 5% in ALL of the big cities.
Democrat voter depression/apathy?