Is Oregon Governor's Race Really Going To....Go Red?!

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Irish 2.0
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11:14a, 10/20/22
Poll: Oregon Could Elect Its First Republican Governor Since 1982

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Oregon voters could be ready to elect their first Republican governor since the 1980s, according to a poll released this week.

Thirty-two percent of Oregon voters say they would vote for Republican candidate Christine Drazan, according to an independent poll published by the Oregonian on Wednesday. Democratic candidate Tina Kotek is neck and neck with Drazan at 31 percentthe second time this year a poll has shown Kotek trailing behind. Independent candidate Betsy Johnson sits at 18 percent.

If she wins, Drazan would be the first Republican governor elected in Oregon since 1982, when GOP incumbent Victor Atiyeh won reelection.

The news comes as Democrats mount a massive campaign to keep Oregon blue. The Democratic Governors Association this year has donated more than $3 million to Kotek, including $1.25 million in September. The Cook Political Report and the University of Virginia's Center for Politics have both moved the race to a "tossup" since August.
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Clob94
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11:15a, 10/20/22
This is me not holding my breath.
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DrEvazanPhD
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11:17a, 10/20/22
Until the ballot printers kick in
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sam callahan
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11:19a, 10/20/22
No.

But I wish it would just so we could see the meltdown
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Eso si, Que es
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11:21a, 10/20/22
predict it has R - 59 cents, Dem 43 cents. This says that right now people are putting more money on R than D.

A month ago it was trading at R 27 cents, Dem 73 cents.

https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7590/Which-party-will-win-the-2022-Oregon-gubernatorial-election
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Fightin2010
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11:21a, 10/20/22
Is Betsy a lib independent? That would explain it.
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Bird Poo
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11:27a, 10/20/22
I hope not. If another commie is elected, then Eastern Oregon will secede, which is needed. It will be a framework on how counties/states can move away from communism in the future.

Electing a Republican might be intentional by the establishment. They don't want anyone off the reservation.
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Tramp96
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11:51a, 10/20/22
Getting my popcorn ready for the Antifa and Portland Mayor's collective meltdowns should that happen.
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SwigAg11
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In reply to Fightin2010 • 11:52a, 10/20/22
Fightin2010 said:
Is Betsy a lib independent? That would explain it.

I believe so.
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valvemonkey91
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12:25p, 10/20/22
Convention of States!
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fullback44
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In reply to Irish 2.0 • 12:30p, 10/20/22
Irish 2.0 said:
Poll: Oregon Could Elect Its First Republican Governor Since 1982

Quote:
Oregon voters could be ready to elect their first Republican governor since the 1980s, according to a poll released this week.

Thirty-two percent of Oregon voters say they would vote for Republican candidate Christine Drazan, according to an independent poll published by the Oregonian on Wednesday. Democratic candidate Tina Kotek is neck and neck with Drazan at 31 percentthe second time this year a poll has shown Kotek trailing behind. Independent candidate Betsy Johnson sits at 18 percent.

If she wins, Drazan would be the first Republican governor elected in Oregon since 1982, when GOP incumbent Victor Atiyeh won reelection.

The news comes as Democrats mount a massive campaign to keep Oregon blue. The Democratic Governors Association this year has donated more than $3 million to Kotek, including $1.25 million in September. The Cook Political Report and the University of Virginia's Center for Politics have both moved the race to a "tossup" since August.
1982, the last time the establishment pushed through massive massive amounts of inflation under Jimmy Carter... I guess they were fed up with everything back then also!
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98Ag99Grad
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In reply to Fightin2010 • 12:32p, 10/20/22
Fightin2010 said:
Is Betsy a lib independent? That would explain it.
yes. she is syphoning a large chunk of votes from the D candidate.
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nortex97
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12:35p, 10/20/22
A lot of dumbasses in Oregon, especially close to the ocean (the pacific seems to draw them to it). I'm skeptical even Phil Knight money can overcome the communists there.
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Agz_2003
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12:36p, 10/20/22
Everything like highest inflation, highest interest rates in 40 years is happening, so why not the first GOP Oregon governor in 40 years?
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NoahAg
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12:42p, 10/20/22
Do they have a runoff if none of the candidates get over 50%? If so, the D would certainly win.
Let's go, Brandon!
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pagerman @ work
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12:45p, 10/20/22
While a republican governor would be a hopeful sign, that is about all it would be.

With out a legislature that will assist them in passing legislation, he/she is a show dog.
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aggiehawg
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In reply to DrEvazanPhD • 12:46p, 10/20/22
DrEvazanPhD said:
Until the ballot printers kick in
Oregon is all mail in voting. In person voting is not allowed by state law.
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Fightin2010
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In reply to aggiehawg • 1:04p, 10/20/22
For real?
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AGHouston11
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In reply to aggiehawg • 1:05p, 10/20/22
aggiehawg said:
DrEvazanPhD said:
Until the ballot printers kick in
Oregon is all mail in voting. In person voting is not allowed by state law.


What could go wrong ……
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AgBQ-00
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In reply to aggiehawg • 1:05p, 10/20/22
aggiehawg said:
DrEvazanPhD said:
Until the ballot printers kick in
Oregon is all mail in voting. In person voting is not allowed by state law.
Wait what??!!??
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annie88
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In reply to Irish 2.0 • 1:06p, 10/20/22
Would be a good thing since their current Governor is BAT**** INSANE!!
Currently a happy listless vessel and deplorable. #FDEMS TRUMP 2024.
Fight Fight Fight.
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aggiehawg
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In reply to AgBQ-00 • 1:08p, 10/20/22
AgBQ-00 said:
aggiehawg said:
DrEvazanPhD said:
Until the ballot printers kick in
Oregon is all mail in voting. In person voting is not allowed by state law.
Wait what??!!??
They went to mail in only several years back. They worked out the early kinks and it was functioning okay from all appearances. (That may not actually be true, of course.)

In any event, those are their laws.
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Houston Lee
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1:09p, 10/20/22
To me, saying Oregon may turn Red for Governor is almost the same as folks claiming Texas would go Blue.

It could happen, but I doubt it.
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Irish 2.0
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In reply to Houston Lee • 1:16p, 10/20/22
David Wallace said:
To me, saying Oregon may turn Red for Governor is almost the same as folks claiming Texas would go Blue.

It could happen, but I doubt it.
But the polls are supporting one and not the other. It is simply due to the fact that conservatives have rallied around one candidate while the liberals have two candidates that are fighting each other. If it was just a one-on-one with a R v. D it would be D in a landslide. The 'independent' is siphoning D votes
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akm91
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1:20p, 10/20/22
Biden actually went to campaign for the dem candidate. When was the last time a Dem POTUS campaigned in Oregon for governon?
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YouBet
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1:24p, 10/20/22
It's good to see the Democrat Gov association having to spend money in one of the bluest states in the country. Doubt that was in the budget.
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policywonk98
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1:34p, 10/20/22
Oregon residents can correct me if I'm wrong.

Pretty sure if this happened, it would be the first newly elected GOP office holder to win a statewide election since Oregon implemented universal mail in voting after 1998.

Gordon Smith won his Senate seat before universal mail in voting in 1996. He did win one more time as an incumbent in 2002. Two years after universal mail in balloting. He lost in 2008.

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Not Coach Jimbo
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In reply to policywonk98 • 2:57p, 10/20/22
policywonk98 said:
Oregon residents can correct me if I'm wrong.

Pretty sure if this happened, it would be the first newly elected GOP office holder to win a statewide election since Oregon implemented universal mail in voting after 1998.

Gordon Smith won his Senate seat before universal mail in voting in 1996. He did win one more time as an incumbent in 2002. Two years after universal mail in balloting. He lost in 2008.



I think this has more to do with the jerrymandering the dems did than anything to do with mail in voting.

Also Gordon Smith is interesting name to drop. Lived in po dunk pendleton, believe he is mormon, and drove around eastern Oregon in a Ferrari.

Even the Rs in oregon are a little off.
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TheEternalPessimist
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In reply to DrEvazanPhD • 2:59p, 10/20/22
DrEvazanPhD said:
Until the ballot printers kick in
printers printing pre-filled out ballots for (D) make this sound suddenly in Portland:

BRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRR.
--

"The Kingdom is for HE that can TAKE IT!" - Alexander
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Not Coach Jimbo
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In reply to SwigAg11 • 3:08p, 10/20/22
SwigAg11 said:
Fightin2010 said:
Is Betsy a lib independent? That would explain it.

I believe so.


She is a former dem, believe the dem party decided to endorse a crazy communist instead of her because johnson endorsed a republican in some smaller race. She decided to run anyways.
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policywonk98
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In reply to Not Coach Jimbo • 9:19a, 10/21/22
Not Coach Jimbo said:
policywonk98 said:
Oregon residents can correct me if I'm wrong.

Pretty sure if this happened, it would be the first newly elected GOP office holder to win a statewide election since Oregon implemented universal mail in voting after 1998.

Gordon Smith won his Senate seat before universal mail in voting in 1996. He did win one more time as an incumbent in 2002. Two years after universal mail in balloting. He lost in 2008.



I think this has more to do with the jerrymandering the dems did than anything to do with mail in voting.

Also Gordon Smith is interesting name to drop. Lived in po dunk pendleton, believe he is mormon, and drove around eastern Oregon in a Ferrari.

Even the Rs in oregon are a little off.


Gerrymandering doesn't come into play with offices voted on by the entire state. I noted that I was talking about statewide offices in the post. But yes of course in district level races that's a factor. But I was mentioning the factoid more for fun than anything.
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BigHitterDaLama
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9:46a, 10/21/22
Operation "5AM ballot drop-off" incoming
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Ag CPA
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1:44p, 10/21/22
Oregon potentially going R and Oklahoma potentially going D, crazy times.
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hbtheduce
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In reply to TheEternalPessimist • 1:52p, 10/21/22
TheEternalPessimist said:
DrEvazanPhD said:
Until the ballot printers kick in
printers printing pre-filled out ballots for (D) make this sound suddenly in Portland:

BRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRR.

True I just think the billionaires in Oregon losing huge $$$ control the presses with their $$$. Their broke ass crazy communists can't do *****
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YouBet
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In reply to aggiehawg • 1:55p, 10/21/22
aggiehawg said:
DrEvazanPhD said:
Until the ballot printers kick in
Oregon is all mail in voting. In person voting is not allowed by state law.
Pumping your own gas not allowed either. Weird place.
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