Brazil feels like the worst case scenario for 2024 here if things get crazy.
https://www.wsj.com/articles/brazils-presidential-election-season-is-marred-by-violence-11664632154
"President Jair Bolsonaro and his leftist rival, Luiz Incio Lula da Silva, a former president who polls show will likely win, have taken to wearing bulletproof vests. At least two dozen candidates on the political left and right said they have requested police protection after receiving death threats from the opposition.
About 40 mainly local politicians from the left and the right were killed in the first half of this year, while some 170 others were victims of attempted murders, beatings, kidnappings and verbal attacks such as death threats related to their roles in office, according to a report from the Observatory of Political and Electoral Violence at the Federal University of the State of Rio de Janeiro. The level of attacks is some 50% more than during the previous six months, and more than a fourfold increase compared with the first half of 2019, when the group started tracking the data.
Mr. Bolsonaro has frequently said he suspects there will be widespread fraud in the election, without providing evidence, vowing to recognize the result only if it is "clean." His stance has raised concern among his supporters, many of whom have said they believe the election is about to be stolen. If Mr. Bolsonaro loses, it would be the first time since the early 1990s that an elected president has failed to win a second term.
"The country is deeply polarized, and these elections have been marked by a profound intolerance of political adversaries," said Mr. Borba, adding that violent political disputes between voters themselves have surged in recent months.
About two-thirds of voters in Brazil said they fear being attacked because of their political preferences, according to a Datafolha poll conducted in August, raising concern that the threat of violence could reduce voter turnout in the world's fourth-largest democracy. While voting is obligatory in Brazil, the fine for not doing so is largely symbolic at the equivalent of around 65 U.S. cents."
https://www.wsj.com/articles/brazils-presidential-election-season-is-marred-by-violence-11664632154
"President Jair Bolsonaro and his leftist rival, Luiz Incio Lula da Silva, a former president who polls show will likely win, have taken to wearing bulletproof vests. At least two dozen candidates on the political left and right said they have requested police protection after receiving death threats from the opposition.
About 40 mainly local politicians from the left and the right were killed in the first half of this year, while some 170 others were victims of attempted murders, beatings, kidnappings and verbal attacks such as death threats related to their roles in office, according to a report from the Observatory of Political and Electoral Violence at the Federal University of the State of Rio de Janeiro. The level of attacks is some 50% more than during the previous six months, and more than a fourfold increase compared with the first half of 2019, when the group started tracking the data.
Mr. Bolsonaro has frequently said he suspects there will be widespread fraud in the election, without providing evidence, vowing to recognize the result only if it is "clean." His stance has raised concern among his supporters, many of whom have said they believe the election is about to be stolen. If Mr. Bolsonaro loses, it would be the first time since the early 1990s that an elected president has failed to win a second term.
"The country is deeply polarized, and these elections have been marked by a profound intolerance of political adversaries," said Mr. Borba, adding that violent political disputes between voters themselves have surged in recent months.
About two-thirds of voters in Brazil said they fear being attacked because of their political preferences, according to a Datafolha poll conducted in August, raising concern that the threat of violence could reduce voter turnout in the world's fourth-largest democracy. While voting is obligatory in Brazil, the fine for not doing so is largely symbolic at the equivalent of around 65 U.S. cents."
