Is China Bluffing or

7,982 Views | 81 Replies | Last: 3 yr ago by The Kraken
HumpitPuryear
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It's a joint operation between our socialists and theirs to distract the peons in both countries. Nothing is going to happen that both sides haven't pre-approved.
Owlagdad
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aggiehawg said:

Send the Nancy look-a-like. That'll get them.


Ruth Buzzi been dead for years.
Jock 07
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LegalDrugPusher said:

Serious that they will blow up plane that Nancy Pelosi is on if she enters Taiwan airspace?

Bluffing on the kinetic threats but will most likely be moderate non-kinetic responses in the cyber and/or space domains in my opinion.
aggiehawg
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Owlagdad said:

aggiehawg said:

Send the Nancy look-a-like. That'll get them.


Ruth Buzzi been dead for years.
That is an insult to Buzzi. She was funny.



EX TEXASEX
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LegalDrugPusher said:

Serious that they will blow up plane that Nancy Pelosi is on if she enters Taiwan airspace?
There is NO WAY they will do this. But knowing Beijing Biden little Xiden will back down to Big
Xiden and wreck our credibility in S.E. Asia
Agsuffering@bulaw
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Xi is about:

1. His power
2. His place in Chinese history

If either is sufficiently threatened all bets are off. Could be that the party is about to make him walk the plank for their cratering economy. Going to war forces them to get behind.

Of course, it is a hell of a gamble. The Ukrainians with our tactics and mostly hand me downs have stood up to Russia. The PLA has no active leaders with combat experience and Russian knockoff gear.
APHIS AG
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If Biden had any balls, he would tell the Chinese that they did not have the guts or the fortitude to blow up Pelosi's plane and that they are just a bunch of ******* and blowhards and their threats mean nothing and that they are a paper tiger.
RedHand
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Ag_B_10 said:

Would that be an act of war or a favor?


Maybe. They are having some serious trouble back home with their housing and now banks. If China thinks its about to go off the deep end a war is a great thing to get everything back on track.

However, picking a fight with the baddest dude on the block doesn't seem smart.

I think they are bluffing. Testing a weak administration to cause more strife at home.
cbr
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Pelosi is a valuable chinese asset, or used to be. Maybe she answers to the european elites now or maybe she's gotten too big of a head. Who knows. One thing is for sure, if they kill her it wont have anything to do with hEr doing anything in your or my best interests.
Whirligigs
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APHIS AG said:

If Biden had any balls, he would tell the Chinese that they did not have the guts or the fortitude to blow up Pelosi's plane and that they are just a bunch of ******* and blowhards and their threats mean nothing and that they are a paper tiger.


Biden got 'COVID' again right before all this went down. Biden is hiding again - dude is a total beach.
AzAg80
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Xi appears unhinged, like NK's little dictator. You can bet the US is positioning assets, some of which aren't publicly disclosed, to ensure China doesn't do anything rash. The only fly in the ointment is FJB, if he cancels Pelosi's Taiwan visit or interferes with our defensive posture, on behalf of China. Does Xi know something we don't? Because he would look very weak if the trip happens now, and he absolutely cannot afford to look weak.

angus55
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Owlagdad said:

aggiehawg said:

Send the Nancy look-a-like. That'll get them.


Ruth Buzzi been dead for years.


Ummm. She's not dead.
We'll win this war, but we'll win it only by fighting and by showing the Germans that we've got more guts than they have, or ever will have. We're not going to just shoot the sons-of-b******, were going to rip out their living G*******d guts and use them to grease the treads of our tanks. We're going to murder those lousy Hun c********** by the bushel-f****** basket. War is a bloody killing business. You've got to spill their blood or they will spill yours. Rip them up the belly. Shot them in the guts.
CSTXAg92
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Ag_B_10 said:

Would that be an act of war or a favor?
Yes
Deputy Travis Junior
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Ag_B_10 said:

Would that be an act of war or a favor?


Man, you do not want to challenge the state of California to a game of "can you produce a worse politician than Nancy Pelosi?" They are abso-fuggin-lutely up to the challenge.
MouthBQ98
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China doesn't have the military yet to really start anything. We could declare a naval blockade and they'd be starved into internal revolution within 6 weeks.
TyHolden
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don't everybody get up at once....
Clown Baby
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No, they wouldn't. They are currently winning the long-game, at least as things stand now. Why f*** that up?

Probably just puffing their chest.
Stat Monitor Repairman
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MouthBQ98 said:

China doesn't have the military yet to really start anything. We could declare a naval blockade and they'd be starved into internal revolution within 6 weeks.
Seapower is absolutely essential for survival as a nation.

Any superpower must dominate the sea.

You got to be able to secure a port.

You got to secure your merchant fleet.

And you also got to be able to project force.

And in order to do that, you need a huge supply and logistics fleet.

You don't have that and you back to life in the mid 1800s
ABATTBQ11
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MouthBQ98 said:

China doesn't have the military yet to really start anything. We could declare a naval blockade and they'd be starved into internal revolution within 6 weeks.


No. They have long range, land based missiles that would make enforcing a blockade very difficult, if not impossible.
akaggie05
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That's all well and good until they're backed into a corner and they decide to send an ICBM or two. Yes, we would in turn annihilate them. But yikes.
Jock 07
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ABATTBQ11 said:

MouthBQ98 said:

China doesn't have the military yet to really start anything. We could declare a naval blockade and they'd be starved into internal revolution within 6 weeks.


No. They have long range, land based missiles that would make enforcing a blockade very difficult, if not impossible.


Yup, a very robust ASBM capability
I Sold DeSantis Lifts
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And don't we have some sort of leftist revolt in Panama? Who do you think would like to help them out and gain control of the canal?
lotoarmy
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aggiehawg said:

Send the Nancy look-a-like. That'll get them.
Where in the L are you going to get someone that ugly?
Last of the Old Army
Whirligigs
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Xi is freaking out - the entire CCP is freaking out. They have done a pretty good job of suppressing media - but China is in a **** show right now. People are refusing to pay mortgages on property that hasn't even been built yet - imagine that, pouring your life savings on a future promise. Good god. The entire country has based the economy on infinite leverage in 2008 real estate lunacy.

Chinese people (in china), as a collective, are stupid. I don't know why westerns exalt that culture.
Stat Monitor Repairman
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Who knows on this.

Anything could happen.

I wouldn't be surprised to wake up and see some crazy **** happened.
kb2001
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MouthBQ98 said:

China doesn't have the military yet to really start anything. We could declare a naval blockade and they'd be starved into internal revolution within 6 weeks.
I don't think the US has the capacity to blockade Chinese access to the oceans. Realistically, you're talking about blockading China, Vietnam, North Korea, and Myanmar. Add Russia into the mix because they would certainly help China out if it were in opposition to a US blockade.
Stat Monitor Repairman
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Who even knows what kind of weapons we got now that can take out a surface ship.

You got to remember that the F-117 was just a myth until Gulf War 1.

Maybe we got rods from god that can f-up a whole fleet at once.

Who knows what the deal is.
Ags4DaWin
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RedHand said:

Ag_B_10 said:

Would that be an act of war or a favor?



However, picking a fight with the baddest dude on the block doesn't seem smart.




The saddest thing is that we are the baddest dude on the block even as weakened as our military has become.

Russia and China were thought to be 2 and 3.

And we can see how strong Russia has been in Ukraine.

China has been strategically positioning itself to win a confrontation with the US for 20 years.

They have close to a monopoly (85% control) of a crucial irreplaceable component to rocket fuel. Meaning in a confrontation once we use up our supply we are ****ed.

They have slowly been buying up our food processing centers and farms, meaning that if they anticipate a war, all they need to do first to starve us is burn down/poison all the farm and food related things they own before hitting us.

The penetration they have into our telecomm is huge as is their penetration into our electrical grid and water supply infrastructure.

If it comes to a conflict they will undoubtedly unleash all of the civilian penetration they have achieved in order to cripple the populace indirectly without having to even put troops on the ground or fire a missile at the mainland.
Stat Monitor Repairman
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CM Trump Voter said:

And don't we have some sort of leftist revolt in Panama? Who do you think would like to help them out and gain control of the canal?
They already do.

Look up Hutchison Whampoa Ltd.
MouthBQ98
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ABATTBQ11 said:

MouthBQ98 said:

China doesn't have the military yet to really start anything. We could declare a naval blockade and they'd be starved into internal revolution within 6 weeks.


No. They have long range, land based missiles that would make enforcing a blockade very difficult, if not impossible.


We still have air power and submarines, even if their missiles would work as advertised. Nobody else would want their merchant ships at risk, so food imports into China largely would be halted. They could try to invade Vietnam or some neighbor overland to get more, but they'd do more harm than good.

You don't even have to be completely successful, just largely so. They import a substantial majority of their food. They could never get enough over land routes alone. They know it with certainty. Even the threat to them would be dire. That is why they keep trying to claim a large ocean exclusion zone and build artificial islands. Without ocean transportation they are doomed to internal chaos in short order.
zephyr88
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Quote:

FYI It was the white house who "leaked" Nancy's itinerary
The whitehouse never wanted to go. This was false diplomacy. This alleged trip did nothing more/nothing less than moving the news reel from other current events like inflation, recession, 10% to the big guy, etc. to a trip that they really didn't want to take.
TRADUCTOR
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We have plasma tic tacs which can be weaponized.
YouBet
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Whirligigs said:

Xi is freaking out - the entire CCP is freaking out. They have done a pretty good job of suppressing media - but China is in a **** show right now. People are refusing to pay mortgages on property that hasn't even been built yet - imagine that, pouring your life savings on a future promise. Good god. The entire country has based the economy on infinite leverage in 2008 real estate lunacy.

Chinese people (in china), as a collective, are stupid. I don't know why westerns exalt that culture.
WSJ Headline this morning: July homes sales down a whopping 40% in China.
notex
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You hate to see it, but more than that…
tremble
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kb2001 said:

MouthBQ98 said:

China doesn't have the military yet to really start anything. We could declare a naval blockade and they'd be starved into internal revolution within 6 weeks.
I don't think the US has the capacity to blockade Chinese access to the oceans. Realistically, you're talking about blockading China, Vietnam, North Korea, and Myanmar. Add Russia into the mix because they would certainly help China out if it were in opposition to a US blockade.


The US doesn't need to post up in the South China Sea to collapse China. They post up in the Indian Ocean and outside the Straight of Hormuz. Same result, no capable Chinese defense.
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