M1 money supply went from 5 to 20 trillion in less than two years

3,050 Views | 29 Replies | Last: 2 yr ago by BQ78
ElKabong
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So MMT not working? I think it is just Coward-Piven at work.

M1 money supply went from 5 to 20 trillion in less than two years

eric76
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AG
Dang.

It started ramping up more with Obama, then a giant rise under Trump in 2020, and a lot more climbing under Biden.

Three peas in a pod.
mickeyrig06sq3
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Not sure why they changed the definition in 2020, but that's the reason for the giant spike.

Quote:

Before May 2020, M1 consists of (1) currency outside the U.S. Treasury, Federal Reserve Banks, and the vaults of depository institutions; (2) demand deposits at commercial banks (excluding those amounts held by depository institutions, the U.S. government, and foreign banks and official institutions) less cash items in the process of collection and Federal Reserve float; and (3) other checkable deposits (OCDs), consisting of negotiable order of withdrawal, or NOW, and automatic transfer service, or ATS, accounts at depository institutions, share draft accounts at credit unions, and demand deposits at thrift institutions.


Quote:

Beginning May 2020, M1 consists of (1) currency outside the U.S. Treasury, Federal Reserve Banks, and the vaults of depository institutions; (2) demand deposits at commercial banks (excluding those amounts held by depository institutions, the U.S. government, and foreign banks and official institutions) less cash items in the process of collection and Federal Reserve float; and (3) other liquid deposits, consisting of OCDs and savings deposits (including money market deposit accounts). Seasonally adjusted M1 is constructed by summing currency, demand deposits, and OCDs (before May 2020) or other liquid deposits (beginning May 2020), each seasonally adjusted separately.
baseballaficionado
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gonemaroon
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AG
When they say they will end up with everything - they mean it.

This fake economy needs to stop it's gross
MouthBQ98
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As it turns out, you get to the long run rather quickly if you engage in absolutely reckless fiscal and monetary behavior.
Kozmozag
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Debt doesn't matter...lol, inflation isn't a worry deflation is...lol, our government is the problem. They are not honorable.
Not Coach Jimbo
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eric76 said:



Three peas in a pod.


Troll troll troll your boat.
P.H. Dexippus
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Not Coach Jimbo said:

eric76 said:



Three peas in a pod.


Troll troll troll your boat.

Well, fiscally speaking…
Marcus Brutus
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eric76 said:

Dang.

It started ramping up more with Obama, then a giant rise under Trump in 2020, and a lot more climbing under Biden.

Three peas in a pod.

Nonsense. It went down $1 trillion during Trump, 25%. Then covid hit and state governments started shutting down businesses.
ElKabong
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eric76 said:

Dang.

It started ramping up more with Obama, then a giant rise under Trump in 2020, and a lot more climbing under Biden.

Three peas in a pod.
The Federal Reserve is the real issue. Globalist to the core.

spacemanspiff
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ElKabong said:

So MMT not working? I think it is just Coward-Piven at work.

M1 money supply went from 5 to 20 trillion in less than two years


Is this the cause of inflation?
YouBet
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Goldman Sachs: "We were surprised by inflation in 2021."

LOL.
ThreatLevel: Midnight
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Corruption via obfuscation and CYA
Thanks & Gig 'Em
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Central banks in general are a globalist power structure. World bank is the grand daddy of Fed
Thanks & Gig 'Em
eric76
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Marcus Brutus said:

eric76 said:

Dang.

It started ramping up more with Obama, then a giant rise under Trump in 2020, and a lot more climbing under Biden.

Three peas in a pod.

Nonsense. It went down $1 trillion during Trump, 25%. Then covid hit and state governments started shutting down businesses.
Having trouble reading graphs? It didn't go down at all during Trump.

From the chart on the link, it was 3,398.2 billion in January 2017 and was up to 4,020.1 by January 2020. In what magical universe is that a 25% decrease?
jrdaustin
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spacemanspiff said:

ElKabong said:

So MMT not working? I think it is just Coward-Piven at work.

M1 money supply went from 5 to 20 trillion in less than two years


Is this the cause of inflation?
Uhhhh, YEAH!
Who we are is God's gift to us. What we become is our gift to God.
BigRobSA
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Marcus Brutus said:

eric76 said:

Dang.

It started ramping up more with Obama, then a giant rise under Trump in 2020, and a lot more climbing under Biden.

Three peas in a pod.

Nonsense. It went down $1 trillion during Trump, 25%. Then covid hit and state governments started shutting down businesses.


Bull***** The man even said, while campaigning for 16, that we could just print more money. It's not odd that someone not fiscally conservative, Trump, would act non-conservatively.
"The Declaration of Independence and the US Constitution was never designed to restrain the people. It was designed to restrain the government."
Marcus Brutus
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eric76 said:

Marcus Brutus said:

eric76 said:

Dang.

It started ramping up more with Obama, then a giant rise under Trump in 2020, and a lot more climbing under Biden.

Three peas in a pod.

Nonsense. It went down $1 trillion during Trump, 25%. Then covid hit and state governments started shutting down businesses.
Having trouble reading graphs? It didn't go down at all during Trump.

From the chart on the link, it 3,398.2 billion in January 2017 and was up to 4,020.1 by January 2020. In what magical universe is that a 25% decrease? And covid hitting is no excuse to pull out the stops and increase it to 18,093.7 by January 2021.


Yes it did. Powell sold almost $1 trillion in treasuries back to the banks during Trump's tenure pre covid. It's called quantitative tightening. Google it.

Yes, covid was real. State governments closed businesses. States can't print money to give out so people don't starve. So Powell reversed and started printing again.

You don't know you are talking about.
eric76
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Marcus Brutus said:

eric76 said:

Marcus Brutus said:

eric76 said:

Dang.

It started ramping up more with Obama, then a giant rise under Trump in 2020, and a lot more climbing under Biden.

Three peas in a pod.

Nonsense. It went down $1 trillion during Trump, 25%. Then covid hit and state governments started shutting down businesses.
Having trouble reading graphs? It didn't go down at all during Trump.

From the chart on the link, it 3,398.2 billion in January 2017 and was up to 4,020.1 by January 2020. In what magical universe is that a 25% decrease? And covid hitting is no excuse to pull out the stops and increase it to 18,093.7 by January 2021.


Yes it did. Powell sold almost $1 trillion in treasuries back to the banks during Trump's tenure pre covid. It's called quantitative tightening. Google it.

Yes, covid was real. State governments closed businesses. States can't print money to give out so people don't starve. So Powell reversed and started printing again.

You don't know you are talking about.
According to https://www.cnbc.com/2019/06/28/trump-keeps-talking-about-quantitative-tightening-but-hes-overstating-its-impact.html Trump was furious about the quantitative tightening. And clearly, from the chart, it did not cause a 25% decrease in M1.

Quote:

President Donald Trump has railed repeatedly about the Federal Reserve's "quantitative tightening" and the impact it has had on economic growth during his administration. The program will be over soon, which may not bring as much relief as Trump thinks.
PCC_80
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mickeyrig06sq3 said:

Not sure why they changed the definition in 2020, but that's the reason for the giant spike.

Quote:

Before May 2020, M1 consists of (1) currency outside the U.S. Treasury, Federal Reserve Banks, and the vaults of depository institutions; (2) demand deposits at commercial banks (excluding those amounts held by depository institutions, the U.S. government, and foreign banks and official institutions) less cash items in the process of collection and Federal Reserve float; and (3) other checkable deposits (OCDs), consisting of negotiable order of withdrawal, or NOW, and automatic transfer service, or ATS, accounts at depository institutions, share draft accounts at credit unions, and demand deposits at thrift institutions.
Quote:

Beginning May 2020, M1 consists of (1) currency outside the U.S. Treasury, Federal Reserve Banks, and the vaults of depository institutions; (2) demand deposits at commercial banks (excluding those amounts held by depository institutions, the U.S. government, and foreign banks and official institutions) less cash items in the process of collection and Federal Reserve float; and (3) other liquid deposits, consisting of OCDs and savings deposits (including money market deposit accounts). Seasonally adjusted M1 is constructed by summing currency, demand deposits, and OCDs (before May 2020) or other liquid deposits (beginning May 2020), each seasonally adjusted separately.

I wish that when they make changes like this that they would publish both the old metric beside the new metric for at least a year so that we can see how the new numbers compare to the old numbers.

Obama changed a lot of metrics to conceal things about economic growth, inflation and the economy in general. It was frustrating and hard to even remember what was changed 6 months or a year ago.
jrdaustin
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eric76 said:

Marcus Brutus said:

eric76 said:

Marcus Brutus said:

eric76 said:

Dang.

It started ramping up more with Obama, then a giant rise under Trump in 2020, and a lot more climbing under Biden.

Three peas in a pod.

Nonsense. It went down $1 trillion during Trump, 25%. Then covid hit and state governments started shutting down businesses.
Having trouble reading graphs? It didn't go down at all during Trump.

From the chart on the link, it 3,398.2 billion in January 2017 and was up to 4,020.1 by January 2020. In what magical universe is that a 25% decrease? And covid hitting is no excuse to pull out the stops and increase it to 18,093.7 by January 2021.


Yes it did. Powell sold almost $1 trillion in treasuries back to the banks during Trump's tenure pre covid. It's called quantitative tightening. Google it.

Yes, covid was real. State governments closed businesses. States can't print money to give out so people don't starve. So Powell reversed and started printing again.

You don't know you are talking about.
According to https://www.cnbc.com/2019/06/28/trump-keeps-talking-about-quantitative-tightening-but-hes-overstating-its-impact.html Trump was furious about the quantitative tightening. And clearly, from the chart, it did not cause a 25% decrease in M1.

Quote:

President Donald Trump has railed repeatedly about the Federal Reserve's "quantitative tightening" and the impact it has had on economic growth during his administration. The program will be over soon, which may not bring as much relief as Trump thinks.

That's still irrelevant, and you're splitting hairs. The massive vertical increase in the M1 in 2020 was a direct result of the COVID stimulus supported by BOTH parties. It wasn't a Trump policy issue - it was a reaction. Arguments can be made that the amount of stimulus was unwarranted, but that's not on Trump alone, but on DC in general.

Biden's recent attempts at Build Back Better have nothing to do with COVID response, and is a continuation of the spending sprees begun under Obama.

In short, this administration is doing NOTHING to address the massive increase in the money supply that is the driving force behind the inflation we are seeing today.

THAT is the takeaway from this chart. Everything else is noise.

Edit: I wasn't aware of the redefining of M1 in 2020 as referenced in the post above. That would definitely impact the chart as well.
Who we are is God's gift to us. What we become is our gift to God.
Trucker 96
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Y'all are wasting your time. eric trayvon skittles is the hardest workin TDSer out here. Point, laugh, move on with your life.
Yukon Cornelius
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It makes me sad when people don't understand how our government works. Trump nor Biden printed the money.

The FED went to House of Representatives and said if you don't buy more federal notes from us the economy will crash and you get blamed.

So the House of Representatives made a bill to go into more debt buying federal reserve notes.

That bill went to senate. It further passed with over a 2/3rds in favor and thus essentially being protected from a Veto.

So then Trump signed it.

Then with Biden they did it again for even more.
jrdaustin
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Another point I will make....

Government spending does not necessarily equal stimulus, which is a direct insertion of cash - printed or otherwise - into the economy with zero tied benefit or offsetting revenue.

It is a small point, but a significant one.
Who we are is God's gift to us. What we become is our gift to God.
eric76
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PaulC_80 said:

mickeyrig06sq3 said:

Not sure why they changed the definition in 2020, but that's the reason for the giant spike.

Quote:

Before May 2020, M1 consists of (1) currency outside the U.S. Treasury, Federal Reserve Banks, and the vaults of depository institutions; (2) demand deposits at commercial banks (excluding those amounts held by depository institutions, the U.S. government, and foreign banks and official institutions) less cash items in the process of collection and Federal Reserve float; and (3) other checkable deposits (OCDs), consisting of negotiable order of withdrawal, or NOW, and automatic transfer service, or ATS, accounts at depository institutions, share draft accounts at credit unions, and demand deposits at thrift institutions.
Quote:

Beginning May 2020, M1 consists of (1) currency outside the U.S. Treasury, Federal Reserve Banks, and the vaults of depository institutions; (2) demand deposits at commercial banks (excluding those amounts held by depository institutions, the U.S. government, and foreign banks and official institutions) less cash items in the process of collection and Federal Reserve float; and (3) other liquid deposits, consisting of OCDs and savings deposits (including money market deposit accounts). Seasonally adjusted M1 is constructed by summing currency, demand deposits, and OCDs (before May 2020) or other liquid deposits (beginning May 2020), each seasonally adjusted separately.

I wish that when they make changes like this that they would publish both the old metric beside the new metric for at least a year so that we can see how the new numbers compare to the old numbers.

Obama changed a lot of metrics to conceal things about economic growth, inflation and the economy in general. It was frustrating and hard to even remember what was changed 6 months or a year ago.
There actually is a site that analyzes the data to come up with direct a comparison of the data before a change with the data after the change.

I've posted links to it on occasions in the past 20 years but it isn't always the easiest thing to find. If I find it, I'll post it.

It's very common for the government to change the "basket" used to calculate inflation in order to make it seem like the inflation is minimal.
eric76
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Found it.

The link is http://www.shadowstats.com

Here's their M1 chart:

jagvocate
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Buy commodities and tangible items. Hold on to your butts.

Fireman
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Bitcoin is the solution.

RIP AE. Gone but not forgotten.
BQ78
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Raise interest rates and the manufactured catastrophe will be complete. Then the liberals hit the great rest button and they win.
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