Just a couple of comments...
quote:
Usually, though, truth is related to the likely.
Again, basically, this entire argument boils down to El Sid's entirely arbitrary, private assessment of the probability of something he doesn't favor much anyway. I have yet to see him move much beyond "It doesn't make sense to me therefore, it shouldn't make sense to anyone else." That's it.
quote:
Here is one analysis on the Hun thing...
Actually, that analysis, along with your post, completely misses the point. Of course the Huns existed, no one ever claimed they did not.
The argument is that we have had no direct evidence of the Huns use of horses even though we have corroborative evidence from other contemporary sources. Now imagine that we somehow don't have those other sources. We have to assess whether or not the people inhabiting what was once the Hunnic empire used horses purely from the archeological record. If we look at that record, there is little evidence of horses. So the argument is talking about the difficulty of establishing something which should be as apparently obvious as Huns using horses. It is an argument which goes directly to Sid's notion that one can just sort of figure out what "makes sense" and then go with that -- because if without all that other corroborating evidence, from the archeological record, it "doesn't make sense" that the Huns used horses. So this whole notion that all truth needs to be "apparently obvious" is a mistake.
The same thing goes for many events and things which are pretty much taken for granted. The Egyptians were meticulous record keepers, yet there is scant evidence at best of any sort of Israelite captivity or exodus.
Now I will also just say that in my reading of LDS archeologists who are familiar with these things, that these guys do not strike me as people who are tentatively putting out plausibilities and gaming scenarios. These guys are genuinely convinced and convinced by the evidence that the Book of Mormon is real. They are fairly convinced that we have already stumbled across many Book of Mormon locales in central America but haven't realized it yet due to the lack of toponyms. I recently found out that Dr. Alejandro Sarabia, the current site director of Teotihuacan (the largest archaeological zone in all of Mesoamerica) and his wife, Dr. Kim Goldsmith (PhD, UC Riverside Dept of Anthropology, dissertation on ceramics of Teotihuacan), both joined the LDS Church several years ago. This was well after earning their degrees. I'm not trying to say anything other than this idea that the Book of Mormon is this big bunch of simpleton nonsense that any kindergartener could dismiss is pretty bogus.
quote:
Some of the LDS defenses on these issues may be plausible (some less than others), but when "plausibles" start to add up, you can bet that truth is nowhere nearby.
You must mean all the "plausibles" about Joseph Smith just making up the language, story, geography, culture, textual consistency over a period of a couple of months and then duping all those witnesses and others ... right?