When the mornin' sun Streaks across my room And I'm wakin' up From another dream of you Yes, you know I'm on the road Once again it seems All that's left behind Is a chain of broken dreams
Up at 4:30am. Something I ate was not a good choice
Heading to see the boy later and sell the car he's been driving. And then put that towards the car he's buying tomorrow. He wants to own a car with a manual transmission at least once in his life before fun cars get outlawed and we are all riding in Johnny Cabs.
Then I get to remove a car and a driver from our insurance! Woohoo for kids that take another step into adult world!
Time to see about tacos and gas up the car for later.
I had the chicken and waffle thing from CFA and it was DELISH. I normally don't care for their chicken as not a fan of the breading. But dang I liked this thing.
Beautiful sunny summer morning here in west GA/east AL! I slept like a pig last night in my recliner (thank you, Lazy Boy!) so as to not make Mrs. UTExan ill with the Whatzit respiratory virus. BTW, taking Paxlovid to shorten the duration of the virus leaves a slight metallic taste which goes away with mouthwash---Here's the explanatory breakdown of both Covid and how Paxlovid disrupts the viral hijacking of the body in a very short video: (1:43)
Meanwhile, critters are fed and coffee is made and I am drinking it. Because a good day starts with good coffee. Make it good one in spite of what humankind and your taste buds are up to.
“If you’re going to have crime it should at least be organized crime”
-Havelock Vetinari
I owned a car with a manual transmission from 1989 to 2021. They're wonderful until you're stuck in city traffic. Then your left foot gets to spend the duration putting the clutch to the floor.
I really do miss it zooming up and down hills and curves though.
I owned a car with a manual transmission from 1989 to 2021. They're wonderful until you're stuck in city traffic. Then your left foot gets to spend the duration putting the clutch to the floor.
I really do miss it zooming up and down hills and curves though.
He's been warned. And he knows the downsides. But he wants to own one once.
Working on an NFL prediction model. This is much more difficult than my MLB or NCAA football models were. I'm on my 5th iteration of a model, and I'm something like 48.6% against the spread. I have all NFL games between 2010 and 2025 recorded, and my models make bets on those games against the spread at the time and then learn week to week from the results. That's where I'm 48.6% against the spread.
Getting the idea that sportsbooks put a *lot* more effort into their NFL lines than they do other sports.
Working on an NFL prediction model. This is much more difficult than my MLB or NCAA football models were. I'm on my 5th iteration of a model, and I'm something like 48.6% against the spread. I have all NFL games between 2010 and 2025 recorded, and my models make bets on those games against the spread at the time and then learn week to week from the results. That's where I'm 48.6% against the spread.
Getting the idea that sportsbooks put a *lot* more effort into their NFL lines than they do other sports.
Those casinos didn't get built by paying out a lot of money
Today is my 11th day of placing hypothetical $100 bets (against real sportsbook lines) on MLB games using a freely-distributable Python prediction model that I found online. This free software package is (barely) ahead of Vegas. I check 8 lines for each game and then use the one most advantageous to my position.
Working on an NFL prediction model. This is much more difficult than my MLB or NCAA football models were. I'm on my 5th iteration of a model, and I'm something like 48.6% against the spread. I have all NFL games between 2010 and 2025 recorded, and my models make bets on those games against the spread at the time and then learn week to week from the results. That's where I'm 48.6% against the spread.
Getting the idea that sportsbooks put a *lot* more effort into their NFL lines than they do other sports.
you are totally gonna beat the book I just know! lmao
