Weather nerds - SPC issues High Risk for OK and Moderate Risk for N Texas

717 Views | 18 Replies | Last: 15 yr ago by WC87
WC87
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quote:
...THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PARTS OF CNTRL OK...

...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS SURROUNDING THE HIGH RISK AREA
OVER A LARGE PART OF OK AND N TX...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS SURROUNDING THE MDT RISK
AREA...FROM SW KS INTO THE LWR MS VLY...

...SIGNIFICANT SVR TSTM OUTBREAK EXPECTED THIS AFTN THROUGH TONIGHT
FOR A LARGE PART OF OK AND ADJACENT N TX...



Better watch the skies this afternoon...

[This message has been edited by WC87 (edited 5/21/2010 8:32a).]
splits
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more importantly, is it going to rain tonight in arlington? i need a pretty definite answer please.
Big Tuna
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Yay. Could really use another weather event this week.
rhomulus bonham
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It'll be another long night for us.
spadilly
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tornado watch now out
spadilly
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spadilly
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OKC NWS:

Important mesoscale information -- FIRST ECHOES BEING OBSERVED WITH TOWERING CUMULUS IN WESTERN OKLAHOMA NORTHWEST OF ELK CITY. THESE ECHOES WERE JUST EAST OF SURFACE LOW AND ALONG SLOWLY LIFTING WARM FRONT NEAR CHEYENNE...WEATHERFORD...MOORE...ADA LINE. HIGH RESOLUTION NUMERICAL MODELS DEVELOP STORMS ALONG THE BOUNDARY IN WESTCENTRAL OKLAHOMA AND TRACK THEM EAST ALONG FRONT. FORECAST UPDRAFT HELICITIES AND REFLECTIVITIES POINT TOWARD DISCRETE TORNADIC SUPERCELLS AS CONVECTIVE MODE. EXPECTED CELL MOTIONS WILL BRING THE HIGHEST THREAT INTO OKLAHOMA CITY METRO AREA/I-35 CORRIDOR BETWEEN 5 PM AND 7 PM THIS EVENING. VEERED FLOW AT LOW LEVELS AND SOMEWHAT HIGHER LIFTED CONDENSATION LEVELS MAY KEEP TORNADOGENESIS ON HOLD UNTIL THEY REACH AN AXIS ALONG AND JUST WEST OF HIGHWAY 81. EXCEPTION COULD OCCUR IF STORM IS VERY NEAR OR JUST NORTH OF FRONT WHERE SHEAR WILL MAXIMIZE.
rhomulus bonham
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Hey big tuna, you need to play the gary england drinking game. It helps ease the pain.

http://www.facebook.com/group.php?gid=2248725925&ref=ts
ENG
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i'm going home
sts7049
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oklahoma is gonna get effed up.


hopefully not, family lives in norman.
spadilly
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big tornado on the ground near hennessy (sp?)

http://www.kfor.com/news/livestreaming/
WC87
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http://www.news9.com/Global/category.asp?C=184600
superspeck
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Pink on SPC site = someone's gonna have a tornado shoot a corncob straight up their bumhole.
SPSAg05
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*yawn*.......
spadilly
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Squilliam Fancyson
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Impressive hook on that Vance RADAR. Though doing the surveys can make you sick to your stomach.
WC87
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Good looking storm near Marlin...

Goodfield Nohit
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Is there any chance that a 'nado will hit Jerry World?


That would be freakin awesome. Roy Williams would probably be the only survivor.
superspeck
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Not a tornader, but they did include CS in WW 197.

quote:
DISCUSSION...LINE OF INTENSE THUNDERSTORMS OVER CENTRAL TX WILL
CONTINUE TO DRIFT SLOWLY SOUTHEASTWARD FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.
ORGANIZED MULTICELL AND SUPERCELL STORMS IN THIS AREA WILL POSE A
THREAT OF LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

WC87
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Yeah, all these storms to our west have broad circulation, but probably not going to produce tornadoes. Possible, however.

Green and red indicate opposing winds (towards and away from Doppler radar), so you can see there is circulation associated with this storm.

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