Will someone direct me to the Betting Forum please. Thank you in advance.

I found an interesting strategy. A couple times during the 8-team NCAA baseball tournament the heavy favorites fell behind early which changed the moneyline significantly. On one game, the favored team was down 4 runs early, so I wagered team would come back and win. The moneyline was +400 and put down $25 and the payout was $125!

I have done a little hedging as well. Yesterday I wagered A&M would win. When they built up the lead, I spent a few bucks to wager Florida to win. I had to outcomes. If A&M won, I would get a payout minus what I wagered on Florida. If A&M lost, then I would break even.

EastSideAg2002 said:

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No, it's more like here you go with your vacuous post.

Mike Elko said:

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With all of the money you've supposedly won, please buy a Premium subscription and exclusively post on that board. They anxiously await your various, random betting threads. TIA!

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Thanks. I have also lost money, thus it's a wash. lol

I found out that it's nearly impossible to win consistently wagering on college basketball and baseball. However, college football is different if you have the right paradigm.

I think I will hedge my bets with college football and execute parlays.

texasaggie2015 said:

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Tanker123 said:

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I think I will hedge my bets with college football and execute parlays.

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As someone who is very into sports handicapping and has treated it like a full time job over the last few years, you're either a bad troll or you've gotten some very bad advice.

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I have found a paradigm that predicted 99% of the college football games last season given certain criteria are met. I researched over 100 games to come up with that model. I will make a ton of money man. This will mean that I can make a lot of money on parlays as well. What anyone thinks is immaterial. lol

I screened out luck and randomness. Sometimes it is imperative to look at a complex environment and break it down to understandable variables, metrics, and correlations.

texasaggie2015 said:

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I can't stop laughing at the ridiculousness of this

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I will be laughing all the way to the bank buddy. lol

There is no way in hell I am sharing what I found researching over 100 games.

Okay buddy.

texasaggie2015 said:

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Tanker123 said:

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I think I will hedge my bets with college football and execute parlays.

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As someone who is very into sports handicapping and has treated it like a full time job over the last few years, you're either a bad troll or you've gotten some very bad advice.

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So, tell me, how do I win consistently at wagering in college football?

texasaggie2015 said:

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The best handicapper in the world wins about 55% of his wagers.

Your claim is insulting the intelligence of anyone who has even an elementary understanding of handicapping.

The only reason I'm calling you out on your BS is because I don't want someone to read your post and lose a lot of money. Gambling is dangerously addictive and I don't want someone to go down that road.

It's Friday night and I don't want to get into a meaningless piss match, so I'll end it here. Have a good night and go Ags.

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I never told anyone to replicate what I did. I also said I have lost bets wagering on college basketball and baseball.

In college football I will exceed 55% without a problem. It will be greater than 90%. The model or paradigm exists and it's under everyone's noses. You have no clue what I have researched and know. You can assume all you want. It's so freaking simple! lol

texasaggie2015 said:

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The best handicapper in the world wins about 55% of his wagers.

Your claim is insulting the intelligence of anyone who has even an elementary understanding of handicapping.

The only reason I'm calling you out on your BS is because I don't want someone to read your post and lose a lot of money. Gambling is dangerously addictive and I don't want someone to go down that road.

It's Friday night and I don't want to get into a meaningless piss match, so I'll end it here. Have a good night and go Ags.

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I hedged my bets twice in the 8-team tournament and won both bets. It also guaranteed I would not lose money. I also wagered on the heavily favored team that fell behind early in the game which dramatically changed the moneyline. A $25 wager gave me a payout of $125. I was willing to take that chance and was rewarded. However, I will caveat this and say I will not bet on college basketball nor baseball next year because there are many upsets.

texasaggie2015 said:

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I can't stop laughing at the ridiculousness of this

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If it's the same guy I remember from last football season, his "paradigm" is betting the money line on games with a massive favorite. I believe the scenario he initially used was Alabama vs Rice, and he asked how it's possible to lose money when betting on Alabama. That's why he says he's not betting on college basketball or baseball anymore…"too many upsets"…aka he put money on a top 5 team and got burned not knowing what he was doing.

The problem he's not considering is that many books won't even put a line on those types of games, and even if he can find one, it's a waste of time. For instance, week 1 Akron @ Ohio State is OSU -50,000. Highly doubt he's putting down $50k, so if he wants to bet $100 to win $0.02, more power to him.

HersheyMonroe said:

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texasaggie2015 said:

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I can't stop laughing at the ridiculousness of this

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If it's the same guy I remember from last football season, his "paradigm" is betting the money line on games with a massive favorite. I believe the scenario he initially used was Alabama vs Rice, and he asked how it's possible to lose money when betting on Alabama. That's why he says he's not betting on college basketball or baseball anymore…"too many upsets"…aka he put money on a top 5 team and got burned not knowing what he was doing.

The problem he's not considering is that many books won't even put a line on those types of games, and even if he can find one, it's a waste of time. For instance, week 1 Akron @ Ohio State is OSU -50,000. Highly doubt he's putting down $50k, so if he wants to bet $100 to win $0.02, more power to him.

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Ok. When Alabama played A&M last year, how much was Alabama favored by? Come on man, not all games are as you describe them. lol

Need some help?

HersheyMonroe said:

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texasaggie2015 said:

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I can't stop laughing at the ridiculousness of this

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If it's the same guy I remember from last football season, his "paradigm" is betting the money line on games with a massive favorite. I believe the scenario he initially used was Alabama vs Rice, and he asked how it's possible to lose money when betting on Alabama. That's why he says he's not betting on college basketball or baseball anymore…"too many upsets"…aka he put money on a top 5 team and got burned not knowing what he was doing.

The problem he's not considering is that many books won't even put a line on those types of games, and even if he can find one, it's a waste of time. For instance, week 1 Akron @ Ohio State is OSU -50,000. Highly doubt he's putting down $50k, so if he wants to bet $100 to win $0.02, more power to him.

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You need help. Alabama was favored by 3 points. A $100 wager would have had around a $170 payout. Your view is myopic.

ac04 said:

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lots of betting forums here:

https://www.covers.com/forum

you should definitely post your ideas there, they will appreciate them way more than texags.

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Thanks. I use the site for Converting Odds and Payout Calculator. It seems like 90% of the posts here are combative. I really don't get it. Do you wager on college football?

I won't share what I gleamed from my research. This college football season I will start with $2,000 and fully expect to have $20,000 upon conclusion of the season. If I accomplish this goal, I will make the big bucks the following season. Ultimately, I want to have a total income of $365,000/year and I have the means to achieve that objective. It's all good.

What's the advice? You can't make money doing what you did to win wagers? You can't make money because the payouts will be too small? You don't know what you are talking about? That kind of beautiful advice? hahahaha

ac04 said:

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let's start with the low hanging fruit from this thread, parlays are for casuals who bet as a hobby and nobody who is legitimately trying to make a living gambling on sports would ever say they plan to hedge their bets by executing parlays. that is laughable. they are entertaining, but statistically the odds work against you.

i will bet my $2k to your $1k that you can't turn $2k into $20k next season while documenting your progress on this board. we can use a third party escrow service. i'll even pay the fees.

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I am not going to assume that risk with you. I can do parlays because of the paradigm I found which successfully predicted the outcome of over 100 college football games last year with an accuracy of 99%. I am willing to show screen shots of my account(s) balance over the season.

ac04 said:

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parlays are negative expected value no matter how accurate you are. this is a perfect example of what i'm talking about. you don't know the basics and refuse to listen to people who do.

don't bother posting account balances, that is completely meaningless. any idiot who can figure out how to click the deposit button can make it say whatever they want. not interested.

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Dude I have made some good money on parlays, and will make a lot more when college football starts. What is the probability of winning a 3-leg parlay? .99x.99x.99 = .97 lol

I am on a roll! The over and under was 11.5 and took the over for $5 and got a payout of $11!

Aschenbeck the closer!!!!!!!!!!!

Tanker123 said:

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Ok. When Alabama played A&M last year, how much was Alabama favored by? Come on man, not all games are as you describe them. lol

Need some help?

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LOL...so I use your example of Alabama vs Rice and you switch it to Alabama vs Texas A&M, inferring that it was a guaranteed win?

Did you forget this? I know you tried to delete it, so sorry in advance. "My model in betting is picking the team with the advantage and will win".

Tanker123 said:

College football is the only sport that I bet on. I like college football because the disparity of talent between two teams can be significant. I don't bet on the spread nor the over/under. I pick which team will win the game. Let's say Alabama plays Rice. Which team will win? The team loaded with 4 and 5 stars or the team with lots of 3 stars? I also like the fact that I can compound my money every weekend should my methodology of picking winning teams is proper.

Spread …. %Gain
-3 points . 74%
-7 … ……… 42%
-10 … .. … 29%
-14 ….. .…. 20%
-17 …… . … 9%

I listed the point spread. I listed the corresponding % gain if you win the bet. Like I said, my model to betting is picking the team that has a huge advantage in talent and will win the game. I think this is a rational approach and eliminates the general need for luck.

For example. I believe last season Alabama was favored to win by 3 points over the Ags. If I placed a $100 bet on Alabama winning, then my payout would have been $174.

The delusion causes you to confuse yourself on your own argument and you end up replying to the same post multiple times trying to cover.

Assume teams are favored to win by 14 points. Two-way parlay will turn a $100 wager into a payout of $138. Three-way will result in a payout of $162. I have a beautiful paradigm that is 99% correct that none of you know and will make a ton of money. lol

Honest question, I thought you were quitting TA for good?

I feel like we're all getting PTSD from these threads.