Man, last week at halftime, I was thinking to myself... "HOLY CRAP! I can't believe my prediction is actually coming true!" and by the end of the game, I was thinking to myself, "Oh man, what are they going to say on TexAgs... "

Well, here is week 4's statistics and prediction.

Enjoy, but remember there is a reason the games are settled on the field and not on paper...

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Note: Formula's based on Neutral Site

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[This message has been edited by SpreadsheetAg (edited 9/29/2011 10:00a).]

Ags Win 32 - 24 based off logistic regression. I'm glad we both have the Ags winning...

Thanks, Spreadsheet.

Your disclaimer...

quote:

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Enjoy, but remember there is a reason the games are settled on the field and not on paper...

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...was never more true that last weekend.


We’re the Fightin’ TEXAS AGGIES dammit!

How did you have this game playing out last year? I had us losing 29-26

the saddest part of this was looking at OSU's defensive ranking

FML

Love these things, thanks spreadsheet!

I still think you should of been right. Couple bad choices and game went down the crapper

AggieBob08 - I had us as winning 26-25: so definitely within the margin of error - oh well...

Good job.


Just at a glance, it looks like one of the biggest factors is going to be their passing game and how we defend it.

Wonder how many Bubble Screens they are going to throw.

your spreadsheet would have been correct had our coaches made the logical decisions to use the strengths of our team...when coaches throw logic out the window...these kind of predictions mean nothing.

I just hope I am not yelling "will someone tackle Joe Adams", throughout the game. Alabama did a good job of preventing a 5 yard crossing route from turning into a 10-15 yard gain, but they have multiple fast, hard hitting defensive backs. T-Fred and Hunter can only cover half the field.

Thanks, Spreadsheet!

The one variable missing from your chart is that Alabama's defense is basically an NFL defense.



[This message has been edited by wmr (edited 9/29/2011 10:34a).]

Still voting SpreadsheetAg for president (despite last week)...

quote:

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The one variable missing from your chart is that Alabama's defense is basically an NFL defense.

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So true... The LSU v Bama game is going to be awesome

wmr!

Will you be gracing Lot 11 this weekend?

Spreadsheet: thanks for all you do. Still encouraging to see. If anyone gives you crap about last week tell them to do there own dang analysis.

Nice work. You have your tfl/sacks backwards for the Porkulus playmakers.

thanks so much! 2 comments:

1) wow arkie is worse in TO margin than we are!!!

2) where's the "run. the. ball." stat?

Spreadsheet's spreadsheets.

Regardless of outcome.

Thanks for the heads up hogminer, it's fixed

I would like to see our runs per game and pass per game numbers switched...

Hey Spreadsheet, how does your regression figure in turnovers?

It's an exponential function of TOs Gained versus TOs Lost

109th pass defense.

Yes, but 48th in yards per pass... not that bad

why does the yelling guy have no shirt on?

Seriously, I think your prediction for last week is what SHOULD have happened. We had the players, the talent...

Will someone bump the spreadsheet prediction pick thread?

Nvm got it.