http://sonnymoorepowerratings.com/cbase.htm

Interesting to see Wake Forest in at 34 after being pre-season darlings. Early in the season I know, but worth sharing.

Awesome
We punched our ticket to Omaha…
Wait…1989 Aggies

Early season polls/rankings are all but meaningless. Hard to determine anything based upon a week of ball with teams playing different levels of competition. My guess is Wake will be just fine.

I'm in...hotel booked

Will be worth keeping an eye on.

Statistics only become truly meaningful once the amount of data has increased by quite a bit.

We know that A&M's strength of schedule will improve - there are some harder non-conference games coming up and then virtually every SEC game will be helping the strength of schedule numbers. It is baseball, so there are going to be some losses on there no matter how good this team is. On any given day a pitcher can really be on and quell your hitters, especially if the wind is blowing in toward home plate. On any given day, you can have an umpire that is inconsistent and squeezes your pitcher just a bit more than the other team's pitcher. A freak hop here, a slightly bad throw there. And every loss will change your numbers.

Ratings are an imaginary game. What counts is getting in the playoffs, hosting a regional, then a super, and then going to Omaha and winning. I think this team has the ability to get there - but they are still rounding in to shape and figuring roles and rotations and who are the best potential guys for things like pinch hitting, defensive replacements, and what arms to be used in what situations.

jkag89 said:

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Early season polls/rankings are all but meaningless. Hard to determine anything based upon a week of ball with teams playing different levels of competition. My guess is Wake will be just fine.

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Absolutely. But it's fun to watch evolve as the season goes on. That's the fun part of having a season. Especially with a a quick start like this.

RevrndAg79 said:

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Statistics only become truly meaningful once the amount of data has increased by quite a bit.

We know that A&M's strength of schedule will improve - there are some harder non-conference games coming up and then virtually every SEC game will be helping the strength of schedule numbers. It is baseball, so there are going to be some losses on there no matter how good this team is. On any given day a pitcher can really be on and quell your hitters, especially if the wind is blowing in toward home plate. On any given day, you can have an umpire that is inconsistent and squeezes your pitcher just a bit more than the other team's pitcher. A freak hop here, a slightly bad throw there. And every loss will change your numbers.

Ratings are an imaginary game. What counts is getting in the playoffs, hosting a regional, then a super, and then going to Omaha and winning. I think this team has the ability to get there - but they are still rounding in to shape and figuring roles and rotations and who are the best potential guys for things like pinch hitting, defensive replacements, and what arms to be used in what situations.

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Sure. But you can also over think it and miss the opportunity to say, hey, we're playing really well so far which is reflected in the (subjective numbers). Its okay to enjoy and have fun rather than scoff at statistically significant data, laplace transforms, blah blah blah. As I said, its a long season, much will change, but this is fun so far….

In baseball, need at least 20 games IMHO.

So Cal is 0-5.

What kind of POS teams have you played if you're 6-0 and ranked 140th?

cough cough La Tech

StinkyPinky said:

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jkag89 said:

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Early season polls/rankings are all but meaningless. Hard to determine anything based upon a week of ball with teams playing different levels of competition. My guess is Wake will be just fine.

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Absolutely. But it's fun to watch evolve as the season goes on. That's the fun part of having a season. Especially with a a quick start like this.

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My response was directed more at this part of your OP

Quote:

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Interesting to see Wake Forest in at 34 after being pre-season darlings.

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There is likely some very good reasons why Wake was the consensus preseason favorite.

RevrndAg79 said:

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Statistics only become truly meaningful once the amount of data has increased by quite a bit.

We know that A&M's strength of schedule will improve - there are some harder non-conference games coming up and then virtually every SEC game will be helping the strength of schedule numbers. It is baseball, so there are going to be some losses on there no matter how good this team is. On any given day a pitcher can really be on and quell your hitters, especially if the wind is blowing in toward home plate. On any given day, you can have an umpire that is inconsistent and squeezes your pitcher just a bit more than the other team's pitcher. A freak hop here, a slightly bad throw there. And every loss will change your numbers.

Ratings are an imaginary game. What counts is getting in the playoffs, hosting a regional, then a super, and then going to Omaha and winning. I think this team has the ability to get there - but they are still rounding in to shape and figuring roles and rotations and who are the best potential guys for things like pinch hitting, defensive replacements, and what arms to be used in what situations.

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Easy now, it's not his fault yet.

Corporal Punishment said:

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What kind of POS teams have you played if you're 6-0 and ranked 140th?

cough cough La Tech

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I don't know what algorithm he's using but at an initial glance, it doesn't make much sense. Perhaps it is too early to draw any real conclusions, but consider:

DBU (22) is 6-0 on here (actually 7-0) including a win over OU, yet is lower than OU (6). OK, that could hold true, but...

OU has a couple of decent wins, over Tennessee and Nebraska (according to his ratings), but they've also lost to Wright State. DBU has swept SE Mizzou, a team right around Wright St.'s rating.

Which begs the question: why does OU get credit for their "good" wins but DBU doesn't? And then head to head is ignored, especially this early?

I agree with Aggie Lawyer above that it doesn't make a ton of sense, but going to follow it for ****s and giggles to see how it lays out. We dropped to #2 behind Coastal Carolina who have lost two games but to Duke and Indiana. But they also have a hefty offense and have put up 92 runs over 7 games!!!

https://sonnymoorepowerratings.com/cbase.htm