Final 4 game stretch

7,071 Views | 65 Replies | Last: 4 days ago by halfastros81
agspirit_09
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1. What do we need to be a lock?

2. What are your predictions for how these last 4 games go?

3. If we don't hit that "lock" status, will anything short of winning the SEC tourney get us in the big dance?
cutter
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agspirit_09 said:

1. What do we need to be a lock?

2. What are your predictions for how these last 4 games go?

3. If we don't hit that "lock" status, will anything short of winning the SEC tourney get us in the big dance?

1. 2-2 with a win over Arkansas
2. 2-2 without a win over Arkansas
3. If we get to 11-7 we should be feeling pretty good selection Sunday. 10-8 we still have a decent chance but depending on other results will be sweating it out.
Emilio Fantastico
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Knowing the committee's hate for A&M, I would say either 3-1 with the loss to Arky or 2-2 with a win over Arky is the only way we are a 'lock'
bobinator
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It's hard to guess how much the tournament is going to matter without knowing how all of the tournaments are going to line up. What I like to call the "high bubble" (teams that right now would be fairly safely in but are in the zone of falling to the bubble with a bad performance or two) is just incredibly tightly bunched.

But any two wins and we should be breathing pretty easy.

Matsui
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1. 2-2
2. 2-2
Matsui
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11 wins is in. 10 is sweating.
bobinator
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I think we go 3-1 though.
AggieEP
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Committee might have hated Buzz. Bucky is a fresh slate and a good story, I would bet that in a comparison with other teams we get a really long look because of the appeal of Bucky Ball and the fact that the committee likes to create compelling matchups.
Zachary Klement
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They won't have to worry about ol Buzzard this year!
LincolnBorglum79
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Win all 4 and we can be the 2 seed behind Florida. That would give us a 4-5 seed in March Madness. Go 3-1 and we are probably 3-6 range for the SEC tourney but clearly in the NCAA. 2-2 I think is enough but it would help to get a few wins in the SEC tourney.
LouisvilleAg
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LincolnBorglum79 said:

Win all 4 and we can be the 2 seed behind Florida. That would give us a 4-5 seed in March Madness. Go 3-1 and we are probably 3-6 range for the SEC tourney but clearly in the NCAA. 2-2 I think is enough but it would help to get a few wins in the SEC tourney.


Absolutely zero chance we are a 4 or 5 seed in the Big Dance. Our ceiling is a 7, maybe a 6 if all those teams in front of us **** the bed. And a 7 seed is really pushing it. Our floor is first four out.

Our goal should be a top 4 seed in the SEC so we can get as much rest as possible. After that, all gravy.
True Texan
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BTHO t.u.
MidlandOil$
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2-2 I think. But agree with the post about the committee and Buzz. They had a massive dislike for him. Now that he is gone maybe we don't have that hanging around our neck and get fairer consideration.
Luke The Drifter
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AggieEP said:

Committee might have hated Buzz. Bucky is a fresh slate and a good story, I would bet that in a comparison with other teams we get a really long look because of the appeal of Bucky Ball and the fact that the committee likes to create compelling matchups.


This. I don't think the committee typically cares one bit one way or the other about A&M or any other school. I do think they overly favor or hold a grudge regarding some coaches and/or athletic directors.
But those who hope in the LORD will renew their strength. They will soar on wings like eagles; they will run and not grow weary, they will walk and not be faint. Isaiah 40:31 (NIV)
Hill08
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Emilio Fantastico said:

Knowing the committee's hate for A&M, I would say either 3-1 with the loss to Arky or 2-2 with a win over Arky is the only way we are a 'lock'


Don't people get tired of thinking everyone hates us? Such a boring, weak and dumb narrative
NyAggie
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Win at least 2 more and we're in

Win 0 a d we are out
Win 1 and we are sweating it out and I'm
Leaning towards out unless that 1 win is over Arkansas

Mr.Milkshake
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Any 2 and we are in.

I think we sneak in with only 1 win as well.
halfastros81
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3 W's for a lock.
2 W's for high probability of a bid
1 W and we are sweating it out and hoping the committee values the SEC top to bottom more than I suspect they do.
AgLA06
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Hill08 said:

Emilio Fantastico said:

Knowing the committee's hate for A&M, I would say either 3-1 with the loss to Arky or 2-2 with a win over Arky is the only way we are a 'lock'


Don't people get tired of thinking everyone hates us? Such a boring, weak and dumb narrative


I'm normally 100% of the same mindset.

A&M basketball is historically the exception. That's really not up for debate.
bobinator
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Nobody cares enough about Texas A&M basketball to have any kind of bias against us. There MAY have been some risidual saltiness against Buzz a few years ago but that's it.

Would be like Missouri claiming some kind of systemic football bias against them.
Gil Renard
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Emilio Fantastico said:

Knowing the committee's hate for A&M, I would say either 3-1 with the loss to Arky or 2-2 with a win over Arky is the only way we are a 'lock'


Hard to argue. Double digit wins was the goal now it keeps moving
Gil Renard
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Matsui said:

11 wins is in. 10 is sweating.
Ag1188
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cutter said:

agspirit_09 said:

1. What do we need to be a lock?

2. What are your predictions for how these last 4 games go?

3. If we don't hit that "lock" status, will anything short of winning the SEC tourney get us in the big dance?

1. 2-2 with a win over Arkansas
2. 2-2 without a win over Arkansas
3. If we get to 11-7 we should be feeling pretty good selection Sunday. 10-8 we still have a decent chance but depending on other results will be sweating it out.
Oh ,11-7 we should feel good? LMAO No sh*t, Sherlock. jkjk forgive my sarcasm.

10-8 should be fine, surely. ffs
LB12Diamond
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We need to win both home games.

Not just to secure a bid but I like beating both of these teams.
Gig ‘Em Baby!
Ag1188
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Sips made the tournament last year with a 6-12 SEC record and 19-16 record overall. How? Even if the conference was better last year, maybe 2 games better than this year?
Luke The Drifter
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Ag1188 said:

Sips made the tournament last year with a 6-12 SEC record and 19-16 record overall. How? Even if the conference was better last year, maybe 2 games better than this year?


How? C'mon…you know how…
But those who hope in the LORD will renew their strength. They will soar on wings like eagles; they will run and not grow weary, they will walk and not be faint. Isaiah 40:31 (NIV)
bobinator
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Because this year's SEC is good, but last year's was the best conference in the history of college basketball. Also because they beat a certain top 25 NET team twice…

And last year the ACC was an absolute dumpster fire. That league is much better this year which means more competition on the bubble.
CapCityAg89
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It cracks me up when people post fairly limited, paranoid or BAS crap and Bob pops in with completely logical, truth bombs.
Ag1188
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bobinator said:

Because this year's SEC is good, but last year's was the best conference in the history of college basketball. Also because they beat a certain top 25 NET team twice…

And last year the ACC was an absolute dumpster fire. That league is much better this year which means more competition on the bubble.
So, a 6-12 SEC record last year is better than 10-8 this year?

We lost to SMU in OT, who has a 10-8 record. Ok State was a bad loss but 3 months ago. Beyond that, no bad losses unless Missouri counts.
bobinator
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That's kind of an oversimplification but yes, a 10-8 record this year could easily be worse than a 6-12 record last year.

By Torvik (which isn't exactly the NET but it's close enough and easier to look up) of their 12 losses last year, 6 were to teams in the top 25. (Also their two non conference losses were both tournament teams.) And then they beat teams ranked 35, 23 (twice), 20 and 17.

We lost two non-conference games to teams that aren't going to make the tournament, one of them by 24 points, and our best win is #37.

But that said there is still a decent chance we make the tournament at 10-8. Texas was one of the very last teams in the field last year and played in the First Four. Nobody is saying we don't make it at 10-8, we just probably won't be breathing easy until we see our name on the screen.

You're too focused on the lack of bad losses thing, the committee has fairly consistently been willing to overlook one or two bad losses if you have several good wins.

Our situation this year is a lot less about who we've lost to than it is who we haven't beaten. Like we were a FOUR seed last year and went 11-7 in league play.
Matsui
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Im enjoying the ride.
Muy
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Hill08 said:

Emilio Fantastico said:

Knowing the committee's hate for A&M, I would say either 3-1 with the loss to Arky or 2-2 with a win over Arky is the only way we are a 'lock'


Don't people get tired of thinking everyone hates us? Such a boring, weak and dumb narrative


I don't think "hate" is the appropriate word, but there is enough evidence to say these old fart committees don't actually watch games or know Jack, and merely still live in the old way of blue blood names always getting the benefit of a doubt.
Ag In A Small Town
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For me at least, regardless of what happens and really even if we don't make the dance, this season has been considerably better than I had originally thought. I really thought this would be a below average team this year given the new system and entirely new roster. Hats off to Bucky for one hell of a job!
Method Man
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I thought it would be good and we'd be rounding into form during conference. We were better than I thought quicker and now we are still are. Proof of concept is there.
2nd Generation Ag
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I do t think people realize that the SEC will submit the teams they think deserves a spot in the tourney. This came out during Buzz''s first or second year. . The year with Quinton Jackson. The league submitted the teams they thought deserved it. And then we went on the crazy run at the end no one was expecting. . Do the SEC is part of the decision making process
EO718
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