Predict the rankings this week.

3,348 Views | 27 Replies | Last: 8 yr ago by bobinator
GE
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Quite a bit of movement in the top 15 - here is how I think it shakes out.

1. (+3) Villanova - 9-0, beat Gonzaga this week which should be enough to pass Michigan State.
2. (+1) Michigan State - 9-1, previous #3 and didn't lose.
3. (+3) Wichita State - 8-1, previous #6 and won @ Oklahoma State
4. (+4) Kentucky - 8-1, previous #8 and didn't lose
5. (-4) Duke - 11-1, previous #1 and lost at Boston College
6. (-4) Kansas - 8-1, previous #2 and lost at home to Washington but beat undefeated ASU
7. (+3) Miami - 8-0, previous #10 and didn't lose
8. (+3) North Carolina - 9-1, previous #11 and beat Colorado at home
9. (+4) Xavier - 9-1, previous #13 and didn't lose
10. (-3) Texas A&M - 7-1, previous #7 and lost at Arizona
11. (+7) West Virginia - 9-1, previous #18 and beat #15 Virginia
12. (+7) Seton Hall - 8-1, previous #19 and won @ #17 Louisville
13. (+7) TCU - 10-0, previous #20 and beat #22 Nevada
14. (-5) Notre Dame - 8-2, previous #9 and lost at home to Ball State
15. (-3) Gonzaga - 7-2, previous #12 and lost at home to #4 Villanova
16. (+5) Purdue - 8-2, previous #21 and didn't lose
17. (-2) Virginia - 8-1, previous #15 and lost @West VIrginia
18. (-2) Arizona State - 8-1, previous #16 and lost @ Kansas
19. (+6) Florida State - 8-0, won @#5 Florida
20. (+3) Baylor - 8-2, previous #23 and didn't lose
21. (-15) Florida - 6-3, previous #5 and lost at home vs. FSU and L-IL and beat #17 Cincinnati
22. (-5) Cincinnati - 7-2, lost at home to Florida
23. (+1) Tennessee - 7-1, previous #24 and won @ Georgia Tech
24. (+2) Texas Tech - 7-1, lost to Seton Hall and beat #22 Nevada
25. (+1) Texas - 6-2, won @ VCU


Dropped out of rankings:
#14 Minnesota - 8-3 lost @ Nebraska and @ Arkansas
#22 Nevada - 8-2, lost @ Texas Tech and at home to TCU
#25 USC - 4-3, lost at home to Oklahoma

That was way more difficult than I thought. Especially 15-25. Ton of movement this week.
McInnis
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CBS Sports RPI

This RPI has four SEC teams in the top 10. Missouri at no. 2, A&M at 6, UT at 7 and Arkansas at 10. One of Missouri's two losses is to WVU (no. 13), which is really looking like a good win for the Aggies. Bad news is that USCw is now 4-3 and has dropped out of the top 50.
bobinator
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RPI is worthless right now.
BenFiasco14
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Kansas is losing to Arizona State right now at home by 9 with 11 minutes left
Serious Lee
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bobinator said:

RPI is worthless right now.
unless you think its only worth something on selection sunday, i disagree. theres enough body of work for it to be relevant at this point
expresswrittenconsent
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BenFiasco14 said:

Kansas is losing to Arizona State right now at home by 9 with 11 minutes left

Down 11 with 2 min left.
MB19
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Kansas beaten 95-85
expresswrittenconsent
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When is the last time kansas lost 2 home games in a week?
mallen
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Loss to Washington was in Kansas City, not Lawrence.
expresswrittenconsent
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It had the jayhawk on center court and counted as a home game. Similar to arky football playing home games in little rock and fayetteville
mallen
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Lawrence (Phog) does not equal Kansas City.
bingram1230
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I could see ASU possibly jump us now. My guess is somewhere in the 9-11 range.
CapCityAg89
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bingram1230 said:

I could see ASU possibly jump us now. My guess is somewhere in the 9-11 range.

I think that's a definite. But KU May drop to the 10-15 range below us so might be a wash.
GE
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GE said:

Quite a bit of movement in the top 15 - here is how I think it shakes out.

1. (+3) Villanova - 9-0, beat Gonzaga this week which should be enough to pass Michigan State.
2. (+1) Michigan State - 9-1, previous #3 and didn't lose.
3. (+3) Wichita State - 8-1, previous #6 and won @ Oklahoma State
4. (+4) Kentucky - 8-1, previous #8 and didn't lose
5. (-4) Duke - 11-1, previous #1 and lost at Boston College
6. (-4) Kansas - 8-1, previous #2 and lost at home to Washington but beat undefeated ASU
7. (+3) Miami - 8-0, previous #10 and didn't lose
8. (+3) North Carolina - 9-1, previous #11 and beat Colorado at home
9. (+4) Xavier - 9-1, previous #13 and didn't lose
10. (-3) Texas A&M - 7-1, previous #7 and lost at Arizona
11. (+7) West Virginia - 9-1, previous #18 and beat #15 Virginia
12. (+7) Seton Hall - 8-1, previous #19 and won @ #17 Louisville
13. (+7) TCU - 10-0, previous #20 and beat #22 Nevada
14. (-5) Notre Dame - 8-2, previous #9 and lost at home to Ball State
15. (-3) Gonzaga - 7-2, previous #12 and lost at home to #4 Villanova
16. (+5) Purdue - 8-2, previous #21 and didn't lose
17. (-2) Virginia - 8-1, previous #15 and lost @West VIrginia
18. (-2) Arizona State - 8-1, previous #16 and lost @ Kansas
19. (+6) Florida State - 8-0, won @#5 Florida
20. (+3) Baylor - 8-2, previous #23 and didn't lose
21. (-15) Florida - 6-3, previous #5 and lost at home vs. FSU and L-IL and beat #17 Cincinnati
22. (-5) Cincinnati - 7-2, lost at home to Florida
23. (+1) Tennessee - 7-1, previous #24 and won @ Georgia Tech
24. (+2) Texas Tech - 7-1, lost to Seton Hall and beat #22 Nevada
25. (+1) Texas - 6-2, won @ VCU


Dropped out of rankings:
#14 Minnesota - 8-3 lost @ Nebraska and @ Arkansas
#22 Nevada - 8-2, lost @ Texas Tech and at home to TCU
#25 USC - 4-3, lost at home to Oklahoma

That was way more difficult than I thought. Especially 15-25. Ton of movement this week.
ASU probably goes to 9 and Kansas probably goes to 14.
Pumpkinhead
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I think we will be ranked about #8 or #9. Definitely still in Top-10 and will be a Top-10 ranked team when go on the road to Bama.
GE
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Pumpkinhead said:

I think we will be ranked about #8 or #9. Definitely still in Top-10 and will be a Top-10 ranked team when go on the road to Bama.
I think 9 or 10.
BenFiasco14
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Pumpkinhead said:

I think we will be ranked about #8 or #9. Definitely still in Top-10 and will be a Top-10 ranked team when go on the road to Bama.
Unless we lose one at home to Southern </Aggie basketball in 2013>


Kidding. Realize we don't even play them...
Pumpkinhead
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Gary Parrish has just released his updated rankings and actually moved Texas A&M up 1 spot from #8 to #7.

https://www.cbssports.com/college-basketball/news/college-basketball-rankings-sunday-brings-a-mea-culpa-reshuffle-and-no-1-villanova/
bobinator
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The fact that it currently has Missouri near the top shows how bad it is. At the end of the season it's at least a little better. Early in the season though it's pretty bad.
jml2621
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bobinator said:

RPI is worthless
jml2621
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agfan1030
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Think the Ags will at least hold their spot or possibly up one.
GE
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My prediction for this week:

1 Villanova
2 Michigan State
3 Duke
4 Arizona State
5 Miami
6 North Carolina
7 Kentucky
8 Texas A&M
9 Xavier
10 West Virginia
11 Wichita State
12 Gonzaga
13 Kansas
14 TCU
15 Oklahoma
16 Virginia
17 Purdue
18 Baylor
19 Oklahoma
20 Florida State
21 Arizona
22 Texas Tech
23 Cincinnati
24 Creighton
25 Arkansas
bobinator
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Man, I know winning against Wichita is hard, but not sure it was good enough to warrant Oklahoma being ranked twice
GE
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bobinator said:

Man, I know winning against Wichita is hard, but not sure it was good enough to warrant Oklahoma being ranked twice
yes. yes it was.

I was going back to change it but think I'll just leave it. Meant to have OU at 15. Anyone's guess is as good as mine regarding who pops in at 25. Louisville Maybe.
bobinator
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I'm not sure Tennessee is going to fall out with a close loss to North Carolina, but maybe.

Pollsters do weird stuff this time of year, so I wouldn't be surprised to see Oklahoma State jump into the Top 25.
Pumpkinhead
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Florida State loses to Okie State and you have them dropping just 1 spot from #19 to #20?

FSU's best win now is versus a 4-loss Florida Gator's team. Still a decent win, but has been diluted a bit since by the Gator's struggles.
GE
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Pumpkinhead said:

Florida State loses to Okie State and you have them dropping just 1 spot from #19 to #20?

FSU's best win now is versus a 4-loss Florida Gator's team. Still a decent win, but has been diluted a bit since by the Gator's struggles.
I have multiple teams jumping over FSU but also have FSU jumping three loss Notre Dame and two loss Seton Hall. If I had to do over again I would have Tech jump them though.
bobinator
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Yeah, it's too simple to say they "only drop one spot," but frankly the back end of the top 25 is kind of a roll of the dice right now. I don't think there's a big difference in the resumes of really everyone from Seton Hall on back to Virginia Tech or so.
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