Daryl Morey on Reddit

992 Views | 3 Replies | Last: 13 yr ago by HotardAg07
Andy07
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http://www.reddit.com/r/IAmA/comments/10mrkx/iam_the_houston_rockets_gm_ama/

Some pretty candid answers on what he's trying to do with the rockets.

quote:
Being an extremely crappy team is definitely a well worn path to success in the NBA. Each year, the NBA hands the most valuable asset in the game (a scale wage top 5 pick) and hands it to the most mismanaged teams.
We could go with this approach (in fact the Rockets invented it long ago) but we think our approach can succeed as well and can succeed faster even though it is more difficult.


On Lin
quote:
He is definitely has a large off the court footprint but it did not factor into the investment I recommended to the owner we make on him.
Diet Cokehead
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quote:
Our current strategy is to compile as many PFs as we can. The rest of the league will soon realize that PFs are as good as gold. We hope to have at least 10PFs on our roster each year.
Token
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just read the entire reddit thread. Man i love that guy when it comes to honesty. Still am unsure about him as a GM
Mr.Bond
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Billy Beane still doesn't have a ring and DM never will either.
HotardAg07
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[–]dmorey[S] 231 points 2 days agoI think analytics can help improve the quality of nearly all decisions to some extent but as you mention the potential efficacy will vary. The utility of analytics on a decision will also vary but I will just discuss efficacy since you brought it up.Yes, I agree, what I am stating about acquiring an all-star level player every NBA GM in 1965 could have also stated with confidence. It is just a fact that the structure of our sport requires this. No other major professional team sport comes remotely close to having a player like Lebron James who can single handedly shift a team from winning 3 out of 4 games (09-10 Cavs) to 1 out of 4 games (10-11 Cavs).The reason for this is numerous with two off the top of my head being fewer players on the court and a near asymptotic distribution function of high end talent. One way I describe it is imagine in baseball when Barry Bonds was at the height of his powers he could have kept calling himself to the plate over and over, ignoring the lineup card. This is essentially what the top players in basketball can do each time down the floor -- they can "call their own number" and make sure the team gets a great possession each time.I do think analytics can improve the process to getting a top player but as you state, it has not created a new path to winning like has opened up in baseball with analytics where numerous small smart decisions and great roster management on player 2-25 can lead to a championship. No amount of work and good decisions on our players 2-15 could overcome not having an all-star level player.
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