ChipFTAC01 said:
I've seen the comparison made but the Saudis have real F-You money to throw around. Not pretend money.
(Accidentally posted before writing anything.)
I was on a self-imposed ban when this was originally posted, but I do want to chime in because I find it fascinating. To me the Saudi-Chinese analogy doesn't hold water.
Beyond money - there are multiple other reasons to think this could succeed where the Chinese failed. Two big ones are:
1) The Arab & Muslim world loves soccer and a successful Saudi league would become a beacon for them. That helps in terms of both recruiting players and having a baked-in fanbase. The Chinese give two craps about soccer, and the "if you build it they will come" mantra didn't really help build one there.
2) Timezone... Saudi games can easily make primetime slots around Europe, so they can get a massive TV audience well beyond their borders. China absolutely could not do this (or at least, not without sacrificing their domestic viewers' primetime).
What's more fascinating to me from a geopolitical standpoint is that this choice of their crown prince to invest $10B in the league defies what authoritarian regimes ought to want to do. They're voluntarily opening themselves up to the world. Couple this with the NEOM "Line" project and it's clear that the powers-that-be there want to join the global community... which is exactly the opposite of what hardline Islamists want. And it's the opposite of what any authoritarian regime ought to want, regardless of religion. There may be a turbulent couple decades for them if this backfires politically.
If this fails, I think it will fail for political reasons. I think as a football league on its own merit, it has plenty of reasons it could succeed.