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A telling statistic based on Phil Steels numbers

6,344 Views | 82 Replies | Last: 19 yr ago by bringbackrobin
SpreadsheetAg
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quote:
Page 311 of Phil Steele's mag has his NCAA Team Experience Ratings

3 pts for every senior starter
2.5 pts for each additional senior in the 2 deep
2 pts junior starter
1.5 junior in 2 deep
1 pt soph starter
.5 soph in 2 deep
subtracts 1 pt for each freshman starter
subtract .5 pt for each fresh in the 2 deep

Preseason we were tied for 74th in the nation and it's only gotten worse since then.

National Rank

CU 16
TT 27
Kansas 34
Nebraska 34
Baylor 45
Texas 55
Iowa St 64
Miss 74
OSU 74
A&M 74
KSU 87
OU 96


quote:
Clemson 45
SMU 27


quote:
Conservatively we lose 5 points for the change in starters since the preseason(didn't even look at the 2 deep) and that puts us at last in the Big 12 and tied for 105th in the nation.
Agustus Caesar
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Ouch.
SpreadsheetAg
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I know...

That is a VERY telling statistic...

So much Youth... however, with this many youngsters filling in key roles and building experience this year, we should be able to redshirt another whole incoming class (with the exception of a STUD running back or a STUD linebacker)
JDL 96
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Didn't Phil Steele predict us to have a much better season despite the low "experience" ranking?

That looks like another goofy excuse to me ...
Agustus Caesar
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it's not really goofy.

Look at miami's qb against FSU, or OU all year long.

or OSU.





[This message has been edited by toothag03 (edited 10/12/2005 10:16p).]
SpreadsheetAg
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Yes, it is... it's not really an excuse though...

I didn't say we are losing BECAUSE of the inexperience...

I just said that this statistic is there... and its telling
SpreadsheetAg
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There is a difference between a REASON and an EXCUSE
AgRyan04
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do you know if that includes specialists?

PLK, P, SNP, HOLD, KOR, & PR?

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Check out "Texas A&M & Baseball In No Particular Order"
at tamu-and-baseball.com
PJYoung
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no specialists.

Interesting to note that TT has ALL 22 starting spots filled with upperclassmen.
PJYoung
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I also added this line at the end:

quote:
Conservatively we lose 5 points for the change in starters since the preseason(didn't even look at the 2 deep) and that puts us at last in the Big 12 and tied for 105th in the nation. I'm sure with injuries other teams total points have gone down also but I'm also sure our drop is more than the average.

AgRyan04
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thanks PJ.

Sorry to keep asking Qs but I don't have a copy and I'm interested in this....what about guys who are listed as a starter at one position and a backup at another do they count twice (ex. Chris Alexander is listed as our starting FB and our 2-deep RB)....thanks

basically, I'm trying to calc us right now....how would you do it? 1 TE or 2 TEs? 2, 3 or 4 WRs? 1 back or 2?

1 TE, 1 back, 3 WRs (just using our top 3 WRs regardless of X, Y, Z, H)?

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Check out "Texas A&M & Baseball In No Particular Order"
at tamu-and-baseball.com

[This message has been edited by AgRyan04 (edited 10/12/2005 11:14p).]
SpreadsheetAg
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Probably only their higher point total would count
OrygunAg
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Doesnt matter...I'll just ride this thing into the ground if it happens that way. You can never tell when a team will begin performing and hanging your hat on success with experienced players is risky.
DB Coach
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That much youth will definitely translate into a very rocky road for the first half of a season. As the young pups become more accustomed to the game and their roles/responsibilities, they will really begin to click assuming that the coaching staff is handling their transistion well.
AW 1880
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quote:
There is a difference between a REASON and an EXCUSE


Wow. Someone else understands there is a difference between a reason and an excuse.
AgRyan04
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http://tamu-and-baseball.com/experiencerating.html

Here's what I came up with....anything I need to change?

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Check out "Texas A&M & Baseball In No Particular Order"
at tamu-and-baseball.com
Ag_EE_88
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Of course if you run our 2003 numbers, I'd bet they would come out pretty high....we started a couple of walkon juniors/seniors. Doesn't appear this thing takes into account how good the players actually are...
Keegan99
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Key Question:

What was our score and rating for 2004?
Austin_Aggie_13
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Good info.
big_wood
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quote:
Doesn't appear this thing takes into account how good the players actually are...

You don't think? lol
PJYoung
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quote:
Key Question:

What was our score and rating for 2004?


If anyone has a 2004 Phil Steele I'd like to know this also.

And I'll check your numbers later today when I have a chance.
Mr. Randy Watson
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Many of your sophomores and freshmen had a redshirt year. Does anyone really think a redshirt sophomore, with 3 years in the program, is young?
RPatrick
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Yes, game experience and practice are two different things.
GeorgiAg
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very interesting.

agree - not excuse but reason why we suck. I think a lot of ags felt we were getting more seniors.

I would love to see the breakdown on the defensive unit.
RPatrick
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Good thread.

Lack of team experience and a senior QB who still makes freshman mistakes and innacurate throws are likely the two biggest reasons for our problems.
GeorgiAg
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that was an inaccurate throw to mobley that caused him to drop it.
DayDuck91
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Goes a long way towards explaining the success at CU and the problems at OU.
Last_One_2_Shine_Sully
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Good stuff...Thanks

_______________________________________________________

TexAgs.com...WHERE PERCEPTION EQUALS REALITY...
PJYoung
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62 points overall

sn st 9
sn 2d 7
jn st 3
jn 2d 3 (junior & senior starters 12 is last in big 12 by 3 to OU & Missouri who had 15)
so st 8
so 2d 7
fr st 2 (Martellus & Gorrer)
fr 2d 5 (Martellus, Gorrer, Chambless, Samson Taylor, Heard (replace him with Yemi)

Defensive unit preseason:

Listed as starters
Jack SO
Jolly SR
Bryant SO
Harrington SO
Warren JR
McDaniel SR
Greene SR
Mayes SO
Gorrer FR
Brown SO
Appel SR

2nd string
Adams SO
Ross SR
Morrisey FR
Obiozor FR
Foliaki SR
Manning SR
Hodge SO
Jones SR
Newton SO
Bullitt JR
Singleton SR

Again, this was preseason so some things have changed with dismissals and injuries.
PJYoung
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Colorado 76 pts
TT 72
Kansas 70
Nebraska 70
Baylor 69
Texas 67
ISU 64
Missouri 62
OSU 62
A&M 62
KSU 60
OU 58
PJYoung
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Junior & Senior starters preseason:

TT 22
Baylor 19
Kansas 18
Nebraska 18
Texas 18
ISU 18
KSU 18
Colorado 17
OSU 16
Missouri 15
OU 15
A&M 12
houstontexan
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we've got to hit on LB for next year or things aren't going to get much better.
PJYoung
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Nice job.

http://tamu-and-baseball.com/experiencerating.html

I'm sure there's a couple of spots up for debate as I'm not sure how closely that depth chart was followed last week during the actual game.
SpreadsheetAg
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PJ did yu ever get last years numbers?
PJYoung
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Nope, I don't have a 2004 Phil Steele mag anymore. They tend to disintegrate from heavy use.
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