On defense

If our defense can get pressure with 5, we win comfortably

If tu can run on our front and we have to add a hat to the box, it will be a one possession game.

On offense
Can we run on their base front. If we can, lights out.

If we are forced to pass to open the run, we need Marcel to be accurate and not force throws for turnovers.

I hope we have a comfortable win, but I think tu plays their best game of the year and we sneak out with a late score to cover.

We have (3) mega studs on the DL and some pretty amazing DE's that will set the entire tone of this game...

Penetrate, penetrate, penetrate... that will back everything up.

Doesn't matter how many we get pressure with to be honest. Need a couple hurries or a sack in the first two drives to rattle him.

That rarely results in everything "backing up".

Gonna have to guess which direction Ouch is scrambling to, as he's no longer that much of a pocket passer with that OL.

If they try to stack the box we'll rip them to shreds in the seams between their backers and secondary. We'll probably do that even if they don't try to stack the box . They are vulnerable there. They don't play much man to man coverage and it's squishy in the seams

My biggest concern is not if we'll be able to move the ball and score points, it's do we give up too many big plays which has been the Achilles heel for us . Special teams another concern… particularly punts. We've given up 2 blocked punts and one could easily have cost us a W and their punt returner is also damned good.

If we bring our A game they won't beat us .

score more points than they do....

kevmiller said:

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score more points than they do....

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Most TexAgs posters can't figure that out.

Thanks OP, where can I subscribe to your newsletter?

If the Ags play to their potential the entire game, its a win. Any less and its a toss up unless tu stumbles.

If the they run on our front 7, we will be the first team they've done that too

Special teams. Miss a couple FGs, we might be ok.

Miss a couple FGs and give up a TD on a punt return or blocked kick, then we have a tight game.

I think scoring more points would be good.

Don't try to run up the middle inside the five...

No PI's on deep throws to extend their drives

Run the Damn Ball

I said in another post but it's all going to hinge on how Dezz Ricks plays on third and long.

NWE said:

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I said in another post but it's all going to hinge on how Dezz Ricks plays on third and long.

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troof.
and Chappell too.

beyond that, Sark's not an idiot, and he schemes misdirection and he times his screen game about as well as anyone.

AgOutsideAustin said:

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No PI's on deep throws to extend their drives

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It's a given that there will be some ticky-tack pass interference and unnecessary roughness calls. It's in Austin after all.

Throw in some phantom holding to bring back a score or a big gain.

Main keys

1 No turnovers
2 Tackle well in open field

Secondary keys

1 Edge discipline (Sip runs lotsa misdirection, jet sweeps, QB keepers wide)

2 Do not flub special teams. No Niblet return for TD, no punt blocks, limit missed FGs

3 Get Texas into 3rd and 5 or more a lot

4 Texas will w out a doubt bring pressure up the middle on Reed. How will we account for it? If its picked up then chances are our WRs have gotten well behind the defense. Will Reed hit em? He has to.