Texas A&M Football
Sponsored by

KFord Predictive Analytics Update

3,847 Views | 22 Replies | Last: 4 mo ago by Ginormus Ag
rwhitlock3
How long do you want to ignore this user?


We saw our power rating numbers decrease across the board (overall, offensive, defensive, and special teams all dropped) which makes sense when you consider the opponent and that horrific first half. However, what these models cannot properly value is the fortitude and fight that this team showed after halftime... that was unlike any comeback I have ever seen by our Aggies!

Chance to beat Texas in Austin now up to a season high 47% chance. I am not sure how much weight KFord gives to home field advantage but this tells me the model is now showing we are the superior team on a neutral field and I think Vegas might actually have us as a slight favorite (I couldn't find a decent line on that one).
SouthCollegeStation
How long do you want to ignore this user?
The Analytics are accurate on the t.u vs ATM matchup - it's a very close game.

Below statement is a repost by me:

The Texas vs ATM game will be in our Top 3 Toughest Games to win this season.

Way Too Many of our fans believe this will be a standard SEC game and we Win easily.
Your dreaming. This will be a very challenging game and won in the 4th quarter.

1. The t.u. roster is equal parts to our roster in most positions for both talent & abilities.
-- Don't just look at their record...

2. Sark knows what the next 9 month offseason will be like if he loses this game.
-- Both the horn fan base & the media will crush him....
greg.w.h
How long do you want to ignore this user?
So we sucked then won anyway and predictive models reflected that poorly? I'm shocked, shocked…keep in mind the SOR concept relies heavily on predictive models so will undervalue our team's wins…
Morbo the Annihilator
How long do you want to ignore this user?
My dreaming?
Pumpkinhead
How long do you want to ignore this user?
SouthCollegeStation said:

The Analytics are accurate on the t.u vs ATM matchup - it's a very close game.

Below statement is a repost by me:

The Texas vs ATM game will be in our Top 3 Toughest Games to win this season.

Way Too Many of our fans believe this will be a standard SEC game and we Win easily.
Your dreaming. This will be a very challenging game and won in the 4th quarter.

1. The t.u. roster is equal parts to our roster in most positions for both talent & abilities.
-- Don't just look at their record...

2. Sark knows what the next 9 month offseason will be like if he loses this game.
-- Both the horn fan base & the media will crush him....

It is a major rivalry game which means you can often throw analytics and typical prediction assumptions out the Window.

Miss State vs Ole Miss
Auburn vs Alabama
A&M vs Texas

No outcome in those games would surprise me.

I do feel A&M is the better team and on paper matches up pretty well with the horns (and Texas won't enjoy a talent advantage that they often rely on). But then again...see Rivalry Game.
SanDiegoAg12
How long do you want to ignore this user?
The image isn't loading.

Can you try again please?
Jawbreaker
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Img fail
cecil77
How long do you want to ignore this user?
I would think the Sark leaving rumors would negatively affect them.

This weeks game could show a lot. Won't be surprised at all if they lose.
Ghost of Bisbee
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Image says 47% chance for Ags to win vs whorn. Y'all can't see it?
Queso1
How long do you want to ignore this user?
No amount of analytics can gauge this team.
I will no longer discuss politics with you. I reject your premises and world view. I am finished trying to compromise with you.
Fatboy Thaddeus
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Jawbreaker said:

Img fail

This. What does "Date single older women in your area" have to do with predictive analytics? I don't mind that much, the dame in the picture is quite a looker.
Ag1985
How long do you want to ignore this user?
SouthCollegeStation said:

Way Too Many of our fans believe this will be a standard SEC game and we Win easily.
No standard SEC game Is easy. This will be a tough game but is winnable.
cecil77
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Queso1 said:

No amount of analytics can gauge this team.


Somewhat. But the visceral hate (and some angst) many of us feel about the sips isn't as prevalent now. Which is a good thing for us in the game. On an emotional level the game isn't the same as it was 20 or 30 or 40 or 50... years ago. The thread where someone asked if you'd rather beat the sips by 50 or win the natty is case in point. It's and absurd proposition, but the fact that anyone even thought of it is "how things used to be". It's not that way anymore.
The Zookeeper
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Ghost of Bisbee said:

Image says 47% chance for Ags to win vs whorn. Y'all can't see it?

That and -10.5 spread
winorgetadog
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Is the image coming up for anyone? I can't see it on phone or computer.
Mega Lops
How long do you want to ignore this user?
SouthCollegeStation said:


Way Too Many of our fans believe this will be a standard SEC game and we Win easily.
Your dreaming. This will be a very challenging game and won in the 4th quarter.
I think it is a pretty stupid assumption on your part that you are painting A&M fans in broad strokes.

Aggie fans who pay attention to SEC football outside of the fart sniffers here on Texags realize how valuable every sec win is.

So your premise is totally off and shows you don't come up for air much if you base your highly bolded and italicized post on the Texags football board.
rwhitlock3
How long do you want to ignore this user?


Does the image show up now? It shows up on my laptop but not on my phone
antman8504
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Yep we see it now
antman8504
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Looks like we are still going to be underdogs to tu
barnag
How long do you want to ignore this user?
SouthCollegeStation said:

The Analytics are accurate on the t.u vs ATM matchup - it's a very close game.

Below statement is a repost by me:

The Texas vs ATM game will be in our Top 3 Toughest Games to win this season.

Way Too Many of our fans believe this will be a standard SEC game and we Win easily.
Your dreaming. This will be a very challenging game and won in the 4th quarter.

1. The t.u. roster is equal parts to our roster in most positions for both talent & abilities.
-- Don't just look at their record...

2. Sark knows what the next 9 month offseason will be like if he loses this game.
-- Both the horn fan base & the media will crush him....


Who is ATM? Sounds trolly…
Pizza
How long do you want to ignore this user?
As much as I don't like sip, I'm capable of making an objective observation.

We're playing sip at home, and they have a talented roster.

That won't be an easy game, and I think the Team & Coaching staff are well aware of that.

If the Aggies do what they're truly capable of doing, they could walk out of Austin with a 2+ score victory...but rivalry games are a crap shoot, which is part of what makes them so exciting.

I'm looking forward to that game.

Jawbreaker
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Factor in this weekends games for the analytics and that % will change as well i would think. Arkie might push us over 50%
Ginormus Ag
How long do you want to ignore this user?
If we play like we did in the 1st half like we did against LSU and USC we have no chance of winning. If we play like we did in the 3rd qtr of those games, the whole game, we win easily. This team has yet to put together a whole game. Hopefully they will start putting it all together and peaking at tu. When they do it is going to be awesome.
Refresh
Page 1 of 1
 
×
subscribe Verify your student status
See Subscription Benefits
Trial only available to users who have never subscribed or participated in a previous trial.