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2025 StatSim - Texas A&M vs South Carolina

7,682 Views | 47 Replies | Last: 3 mo ago by Iraq2xVeteran
SpreadsheetAg
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They have sucked on offense, very bad. But fired their OC and who knows if they can improve any by making that move.

LaNorris sellers is a decent QB and can be electric running the ball.

They have a dangerous return man who has scored 3 TDs this year on punt returns.




Last ~ten meetings:
11/2/2024 @ *South Carolina (9-4) L 44 20
10/28/2023 vs. *South Carolina (5-7) W 30 17
10/22/2022 @ *South Carolina (8-5) L 24 30
10/23/2021 vs. *South Carolina (7-6) W 44 14
11/7/2020 @ *South Carolina (2-8) W 48 3
11/16/2019 vs. *South Carolina (4-8) W 30 6
10/13/2018 @ *South Carolina (7-6) W 26 23
9/30/2017 vs. *South Carolina (9-4) W 24 17
10/1/2016 @ *South Carolina (6-7) W 24 13
10/31/2015 vs. *South Carolina (3-9) W 35 28
8/28/2014 @ *South Carolina (7-6) W 52 28

Average score at home vs USCe => 33-17 Ags
Canyon99
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Holding any team below 250 total yard offense is huge. Hope the model holds up this week.
W
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blowout city on Saturday
sleepybeagle
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I'll take it!
sleepybeagle
Goat Man
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<fingers crossed SSA's model is correct>
cavscout96
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42-14
TombstoneTex
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HELL YES!!!
A is A
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SpreadsheetAg said:



They have a dangerous return man who has scored 3 TDs this year on punt returns.




I don't see us punting too many times
A is A
akm91
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Goat Man said:

<fingers crossed SSA's model is correct>

SSA's model was wrong last game.


Underestimated Aggie's offense and defensive prowess.
Phatbob
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akm91 said:

Goat Man said:

<fingers crossed SSA's model is correct>

SSA's model was wrong last game.


Underestimated Aggie's offense and defensive prowess.

So I would say it would be safe to estimate the following offensive production:

A&M: 800yds
SCe: fetal position

A&M 93 - 3
ABATTBQ87
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Aggie players need to protect themselves from low hits to the knees
BTKAG97
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Those numbers look about right.
waco_aggie05
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Now I'm worried. Mizzou and LSU were predicted to be close and we blew them out.

Expecting a nail biter now.
SpreadsheetAg
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My gut says 38-23.

I agree that our guys need to play hard enough to win but watch for chippy bull**** with these SC players.
TylerAg98
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41-13 Ags
AgOutsideAustin
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Sleepy Ags scrape by……..

No chants

34-24
DTX_12
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New OC really throws a wrinkle in things I think. Look at Auburn last week. If I was betting I'd probably bet SC to cover 19 (that's quite a lot of points)
Matsui
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Boom I hope so!
wangus12
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Really want to see us get more turnovers going forward. Feels like the biggest thing missing for our defense
redjalapeno-87
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Aggies 38 - 16 over Gamecocks
Hank the Grifter
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Spreadsheet,
For the lazy (me), can you post a season long recap of the scores your two models predicted vs. actual score? I'd love to see that.
Thanks for doing these. Look forward to them every week.
Detmersdislocatedshoulder
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41-17 ags

game will be competitive for a bit but eventually we pull away and win. could see a 27-17 ags starting 4th and we put two tds on the board to make it lopsided.
Pulloutgregg!!!
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Any chance you can post last years for the USCe game. Just curious.
Bob Knights Liver
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Sellers makes a lot of risky throws and takes a lot of sacks trying to out-athlete the pass rusher. Their defense makes some big plays, but breaks down in gap assignments and staying home against misdirection.

Overall a very high volatility team - if they get lucky they have a chance to beat you but if they don't they'll lose worse than they should. That drives the statistics saying on average we win 40-13. Hopefully we outperform that and hang a nice 42-0 type of butt whipping with Reed and other starters getting some rest in the 2nd half.
SpreadsheetAg
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Pulloutgregg!!! said:

Any chance you can post last years for the USCe game. Just curious.

It was supposed to be a 25-23 win
AgOutsideAustin
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AgOutsideAustin
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Just tackle the QB and I can live with the rest
OKC~Ag
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than you, sir
txaggies07
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Hank the Grifter said:

Spreadsheet,
For the lazy (me), can you post a season long recap of the scores your two models predicted vs. actual score? I'd love to see that.
Thanks for doing these. Look forward to them every week.


I dont feel like spending time getting texags to let me format this. First score is model 1, second is model 2, third is actual.

Miss St
37-22
37-21
31-9

Florida
29-15
31-15
34-17

Arkansas
43-18
40-22
45-42

LSU
25-20
24-21
49-25

Mizzou
28-24
27-26
38-17

South Carolina
40-13
39-14
rab79
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48-13 Ags
TheDecadeSapling
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Spreadsheet's model is ridiculously good
Iraq2xVeteran
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Texas A&M
Passing yards: 260
Rushing yards: 220
Total yards: 480
Turnovers: 1
Points: 38

South Carolina
Passing yards: 170
Rushing yards: 50
Total yards: 220
Turnovers: 2
Points: 10
Jeeper79
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Subscribe
DTX_12
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You're a real one for this
winorgetadog
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Gonna give em the ole Fetty Wap treatment.
17-38
Ags win
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