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Why we lose to South Carolina...

3,152 Views | 17 Replies | Last: 4 mo ago by Vepp
Raptor
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... in the ultimate cock block!

#3 A&M's Profile
Offense:
  • QB Marcel Reed has thrown 2,193 yards so far this season.
  • A&M averages roughly 459 yards per game offense.
  • Rushing attack lightened by injury to Le'Veon Moss; previously 389 rushing yards before ankle injury, as well as the graduation of Devone Achane and JaMar Toombs.
Defense & Other Weaknesses:
  • A&M allows about 22.8 points per game, placing them ~60th nationally, but this data is skewed based on the lousy offenses we've faced all year.
  • On third down (defense) they've allowed a conversion rate of ~24.11% through 2025.
  • Penalties and turnovers remain a persistent issue despite overall high ranking.
#60ish South Carolina's Profile & Upset Potential

Offense:
  • QB LaNorris Sellers has thrown for 1,536 yards this season to his receivers.
  • WR Nyck Harbor: 401 receiving yards at slightly better than 19.1 yards per catch.
  • South Carolina is ranked near the bottom of the SEC in offense, meaning they can play loose and Cocky.
Defense/Special Teams:
  • South Carolina's passing defense: 259 attempts, 152 completions (58.7%), 1,715 yards allowed through 9 games, but they've allowed ZERO yards to any Texas A&M player this year.
  • Their defense may be flawed, but they're a lively bunch, and a competent kicker (William Joyce) and a willingness to attempt to force turnovers give them an upside.
How the Game Breaks for the Gamecocks
  • Explosive plays: Harbor catches 2-3 deep passes, flips field position. Reed misses one in red zone due to penalties, his aim, and the EA Sports raters telling him he needs to improve his "long ball".
  • Run-game mismatch: With Moss out or limited, A&M's ground game falters. SC brings pressure via disguised fronts, forces Reed to beat them via passing; one INT happens due to this.
  • Third-down grind: A&M's defense holding ~24% on 3rd down is good, but in a tighter game the Gamecocks exploit odd-man rush/quick game and convert some big ones. They also get a 4th down on most of their offensive series.
  • Special teams edge: Joyce boots two FGs and pins an A&M drive deep with a booming punt. Field position tilts, and crowd noise have ever caused a punt to be altered.
  • Turnover + penalty cocktail: A&M commits 2 costly penalties in one drive; fumbles or miscues add another 7-10 pts for SC.
  • Clock/game-management scenario: With SC leading late (say 16-13), A&M drives into SC territory, but sacks, penalty, or sack-fumble ends it.
Upset Score Prediction
South Carolina 19, Texas A&M 17.


SportsCenter runs a non-stop loop of the "highlights" as well as Steven A. Smith telling no one in particular that he was right all along.

This post is for Cretaceous Level Subscribers only.

Sharpshooter
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Keep that record of yours going Raptor.
tk111
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Clever girl
Athanasius
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Sadly, Raptor has never been wrong.
Saltgap
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Vegas disagrees.
ABATTBQ11
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Raptor threads
bert harbinson
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I like a defense with a willingness to attempt to force turnovers.
Bob Knights Liver
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I agree with this one. Without Toombs, I'm not sure how our ground game gets it done.
jrgypsum
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My Man!

Keep workin' your mojo.
Raptor
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Athanasius said:

Sadly, Raptor has never been wrong.

Well...about that. I did tell everyone about 65 million or so years ago that we weren't going to get hit by an asteroid.
This post is for Cretaceous Level Subscribers only.

NuclearAggie05
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Classic...... Just curious how we go from 16-13 to 19-17? Dominant defensive performance to get two safeties in such a short span. Ha. Great job as always.
SouthLlano
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Well, now I'm not watching…
South Llano
Sparkie
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MikeyElko
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My week is complete now that Raptor has posted his weekly soothsayers knowledge!

Gig'em
AgCat93
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And that's the bottom line 'cuz Raptor said so.
JOHN2010
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Raptor
APHIS AG
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That's it. Raptor has jinxed us. Now we will be so disheartened that we lose to Samford as well.

The November hex continues.
Vepp
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Spoilers.
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