YTD Stats for the sips:

t.u. averages 36.5 points a game.
t.u averages 169 rushing yards a game
t.u. averages 279 passing yards a game - Combined total per game = 448 yds

YTD Stats for the Aggies:

Ags. averages 32.5 points a game.
Ags averages 208.4 rushing yards a game
Ags averages 208.7 passing yards a game - Combined total per game = 417 yds

My Guess:

**** We must hold t.u. to 28 points or less for the Ags to Win...

There is a zebra deficit of at least 10 points hidden in there.

Can't let sip get up 2+ scores in the first quarter.

The sips will score a touchdown every quarter = Their 28 points

The Ags will be behind at halftime with a score of 14 to 10.

So What will we do in the 2nd half to Win the Game.....?

1 less than our offense scores

Cromagnum said:

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There is a zebra deficit of at least 10 points hidden in there.

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Not this time. Stay tuned.

Texas averages 30.14 points per SEC game, 32.5 points per SEC home game but just 23.5 points per SEC road game. They scored 34 against Oklahoma in a neutral site game at the Cotton Bowl. Texas has played only 2 true road SEC games so far and scored just 20 points in their last road game at Arkansas. In fact, Arkansas held Texas to their second-lowest scoring output behind only Georgia, who held Texas to 15 points at home.

Texas' road games this year
9/7: 31-12 win at 6-5 (4-4 Big 10) Michigan, 11:00 AM kickoff
10/26: 27-24 win at 6-5 (3-4 SEC) Vanderbilt, 3:15 PM kickoff
11/16: 20-10 win at 6-5 (3-4 SEC) Arkansas, 11:00 AM kickoff

Texas A&M averages 32.57 points per SEC game, 39.95 points per SEC home game and 32 points per SEC road game. We scored just 21 points against Arkansas in a neutral site game at Jerry World for our 3rd lowest output, and 2nd lowest in an SEC game.

https://storage.googleapis.com/secsports-prod/upload/2024/11/24/9fd41ff1-8902-416f-b9a7-660c1a806014.pdf

See Page 58 of 109.

Based on these stats, I think 27 points is the most we can give up and still win by scoring a touchdown every quarter. Our offense needs to find its rhythm early and be more consistent throughout the game against Texas. Starting slow is a recipe for disaster, especially against Texas. After trailing LSU 17-7 at halftime, we outscored LSU 31-6 in the 2nd half to crush LSU 38-23, but we can't trail by 10+ points at halftime and expect to beat Texas. We need to play well on both sides of the ball from start to finish.

SouthCollegeStation said:

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The sips will score a touchdown every quarter = Their 28 points

The Ags will be behind at halftime with a score of 14 to 10.

So What will we do in the 2nd half to Win the Game.....?

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They may score 28. Heck, they may score 38.

But I believe we will have a quarter or possibly even 2 where we shut them down pretty well. Our issue has been getting worked for a quarter or so at a time. Play great for a couple quarters, then rinse/repeat.

Also, road games are much harder. Look at texas stats. And their home includes Georgia. So without that game, they are averaging even more at home.

Look at A&Ms defense on the road versus at home. Night and day. Though we did struggle with LSU some in the first half.

In austin, and I expect them to score 31+. At home, I think we can find a way to keep them in the 20s and have a shot.

beerad12man said:

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Also, road games are much harder. Look at texas stats. And their home includes Georgia. So without that game, they are averaging even more at home.

Look at A&Ms defense on the road versus at home. Night and day. Though we did struggle with LSU some in the first half.

In austin, and I expect them to score 31+. At home, I think we can find a way to keep them in the 20s and have a shot.

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Yes, I broke down their stats in conference games only. Texas scores 30.14 points per SEC game. Texas scored 32.5 points per SEC home game, and that includes just 15 points against Georgia. Texas averaged 38.33 points in their other 3 SEC home games against Mississippi State, Florida, and Kentucky. However, Texas scored just 23.5 points per SEC road game. Texas has played only 2 true road SEC games so far and scored just 20 points in their last road game at Arkansas. That is the same Arkansas team that allowed 63 points to Ole Miss at home two weeks earlier on 11/2 before their bye week.

I agree with you. If this game was in Austin, they would score 30+ points. I think if our defense can hold Texas to under 30 points, we have a good chance. We have averaged 39.5 points per SEC home game against Missouri and LSU.

If they score more than 24, we lose. So say the stats.

If we score 1 more point than they score, we win. That's the only stat that matters.

Our defense will be better because of what happened last week. That is called coaching. I'll be surprised if they score more than 20. It really comes down to pass rush and not letting them get behind us in the secondary.

17, but the offense can't add a pick 6

SouthCollegeStation said:

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YTD Stats for the sips:

t.u. averages 36.5 points a game.
t.u averages 169 rushing yards a game
t.u. averages 279 passing yards a game - Combined total per game = 448 yds

YTD Stats for the Aggies:

Ags. averages 32.5 points a game.
Ags averages 208.4 rushing yards a game
Ags averages 208.7 passing yards a game - Combined total per game = 417 yds

My Guess:

**** We must hold t.u. to 28 points or less for the Ags to Win...

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Probably closer to 17-21 for a win.

I just don't see how this A&M offense can score much on the Texas Defense. They are pretty good.

Texas offense doesn't really throw downfield so you have to tackle, which is exactly what we do so poorly.

Home field makes a big difference, but I see us losing 28-10 or something along those lines.

knoxtom said:

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I just don't see how this A&M offense can score much on the Texas Defense. They are pretty good.

Texas offense doesn't really throw downfield so you have to tackle, which is exactly what we do so poorly.

Home field makes a big difference, but I see us losing 28-10 or something along those lines.

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You should think harder.

All I know is that if we go to OT I'm just going to jump off of the Section 343 concourse.