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2024 StatSim: Texas A&M vs Arkansas

7,334 Views | 39 Replies | Last: 1 yr ago by W
SpreadsheetAg
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beerad12man
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From what I remember, this gets more and more accurate as the season goes on, right? Would make sense if that were the case.
SpreadsheetAg
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Yes, the formula at the bottom does get more accurate as the season goes on; but the side-by-side stats are the real guts of the sheet.

Note: Arkansas pasted ARK Pine Bluff 70-0 with nearly 700 yards in their opener... those stats are impregnated above; I could run the numbers with just FBS schools, but I don't feel like re-linking all my web-queries to the right sheets for that
SpreadsheetAg
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Note: vs Auburn, Arkansas only at 334 yards despite forcing 5 turnovers.
Aggie Dad 26
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Please be right
90ags
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Think we are 8-4 at Jerryworld, but 3 of those 4 losses where when Petrino was Pigs coach. Wonder if Petrino holds any kind of grudge against A&M or Jimbo (hopefully the latter), but no idea if he tried to interview for Elko's staff or not and told to pack his bags regardless.
______________________________________________________ Play for the name on the front of your jersey, not the back...
NoahAg
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SpreadsheetAg said:

Yes, the formula at the bottom does get more accurate as the season goes on; but the side-by-side stats are the real guts of the sheet.

Note: Arkansas pasted ARK Pine Bluff 70-0 with nearly 700 yards in their opener... those stats are impregnated above; I could run the numbers with just FBS schools, but I don't feel like re-linking all my web-queries to the right sheets for that
At the same time, our stats should have been inflated by our games against bad McNeese and Florida teams.

I assume Petrino has full freedom with Arky's offense, unlike his brief stint here. That does not bode well for our defense.
SpreadsheetAg
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I decided F- it... went back and re-linked all the web-queries to Div 1 FBS only statistics; so for the TEAM STATS, and the Quarter by Quarter SCORING (not the player stats); the FCS teams are removed... paints a more accurate picture, IMO...

Bonus:
GarryowenAg
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Now that we have SpreadsheetAg back in full force, things seem right in the world. Now if only Raptor started posting again…
tk for tu juan
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I sense 4th quarter panic in the future
BQ1981
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Yep.
redjalapeno-87
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I predict the usual game for this series, with Ags winning a close one. Maybe with another oink doink. Just win, baby.
Aggie Dad 26
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redjalapeno-87 said:

I predict the usual game for this series, with Ags winning a close one. Maybe with another oink doink. Just win, baby.

They were so bitter
"We gave that game to you"
No you didn't. You weren't good enough to make a FG or was that on purpose?

They're an insufferable bunch
infinity ag
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SpreadsheetAg! Yay! Good to see your stat post again!
redjalapeno-87
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I find that the closer the loss, the louder the pig squeals!
Ag Tag
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GarryowenAg said:

Now that we have SpreadsheetAg back in full force, things seem right in the world. Now if only Raptor started posting again…
What happened to Raptor? Is he still around?
OKC~Ag
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thank you

strong work...this is the kind of stuff that makes the zoo amazing.
MaroonStain
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tk for tu juan said:

I sense 4th quarter panic in the future


Yep. Gonna be another down to the wire game. Game thread should be a hoot. #eyeroll
Matsui
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Thanks for doing this!
SpreadsheetAg
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I think we force 1-2 more turnovers than they do; and that seals the game.

I see it being fairly close Aggie lead at half 14-10 or 16-13; and then we pull away in the 4th to make it 30-17 or 30-20, and they get a late score like BGSU and have to go for an onside kick which we recover to win the game.

We pound the run game for 225+ and pass for 200+ or so against their soft secondary.

They attempt to do the same to us, but our DL stuffs the run, except for 1-2 explosive plays by their QB10 and our secondary probably has a bust or 2, but also pick off Green 2 or 3 times as well.
TxAg76
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Even simpler, our 1 and only loss was the 1 week no one started a hotties thread.
Spreadsheet that!
W
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we'll see if the Ags can score 30 vs. the Hogs

might need the D/ST to find the endzone
W
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tk for tu juan said:

I sense 4th quarter panic in the future
yes, the second half scoring -- A&M vs. its FBS opponents -- is concerning

Ags appear to play better in the 1st half
Emilio Fantastico
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90ags said:

Think we are 8-4 at Jerryworld, but 3 of those 4 losses where when Petrino was Pigs coach. Wonder if Petrino holds any kind of grudge against A&M or Jimbo (hopefully the latter), but no idea if he tried to interview for Elko's staff or not and told to pack his bags regardless.
We were 0-3 vs Arky at JerruhWorld before we joined the SEC while Petrino was coach.
We are 11-1 vs Arky since joining the SEC but we played at least one at Kyle in 2012 due to the conference realignment. Can't remember if we went to Fayetteville for a game or not.
So we are either 9-4 or 10-4 at JerruhWorld
TecRecAg
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We played in Fayetteville in 2013.
agracer
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Have you ever looked at what your predictions are vs the actual game results?
wangus12
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Emilio Fantastico said:

90ags said:

Think we are 8-4 at Jerryworld, but 3 of those 4 losses where when Petrino was Pigs coach. Wonder if Petrino holds any kind of grudge against A&M or Jimbo (hopefully the latter), but no idea if he tried to interview for Elko's staff or not and told to pack his bags regardless.
We were 0-3 vs Arky at JerruhWorld before we joined the SEC while Petrino was coach.
We are 11-1 vs Arky since joining the SEC but we played at least one at Kyle in 2012 due to the conference realignment. Can't remember if we went to Fayetteville for a game or not.
So we are either 9-4 or 10-4 at JerruhWorld
11-1 since we joined the SEC with 2 of the games being at Kyle (2012 & 2020) and 1 in Fayetteville (2013)
SpreadsheetAg
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agracer said:

Have you ever looked at what your predictions are vs the actual game results?
Yes
W
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one thing to give Sumlin credit for...

he turned around the Ags' fortunes in Jerry's palace

including the Cotton Bowl vs. LSU...A&M (under Sherman) started 0-4 at Cowboys Stadium

but then the wins began with the 1/4/13 Cotton Bowl vs. OU (under Sumlin)...

and they haven't stopped other than the 2021 loss
SpreadsheetAg
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Bump for tomorrow
OMB100GAS
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I was there for that game, visiting my gf at the time- wanted to break up but also wanted a ticket to the game and a place to crash lol

Surreal experience in Fayetteville for my first time. Had no idea how beautiful it was, the bridges and valleys coming in amazed me. As the game went into the night dense clouds rolled in, enshrouding the stadium. It felt so quiet and isolated. Like a snowglobe but no snow, just a misty drizzle. Great memory, fun game watching Johnny do his thang
rab79
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W said:

tk for tu juan said:

I sense 4th quarter panic in the future
yes, the second half scoring -- A&M vs. its FBS opponents -- is concerning

Ags appear to play better in the 1st half


Sherman says hello... Listening to those games was quite the emotional rollercoaster.
LuoJi
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Line at -5.5 and ags -260. ****ty bet imo
LuoJi
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SpreadsheetAg said:

agracer said:

Have you ever looked at what your predictions are vs the actual game results?
Yes


What's your record over the last few years?
SECTAMU#1
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My guess is we will see what a Bobby Petrino offense could have looked like at A&M last year if weren't for Jimbo.

I think Arkansas tops us 28 -24.
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