And it is not particularly close, with LSU coming in at the second hardest game at a 64% win chance and the majority of our schedule at over an 80% win chance.

Prarie View A&M 99.8%
New Mexico 98.5%
Kent State 97.9%
South Carolina 93.2%
Colorado 88.2%
Mississippi State 83%
Arkansas 81.6%
Missouri 79.5%
Auburn 78.7%
Ole Miss 66.9%
LSU 64.3%
Alabama 34.4%

Obviously this can change a lot throughout the season (see last year's predictions that had us at about 6-4 preseason), but this is still the best prediction I have seen for A&M going into a season from FPI.

Excited for this season!

Kyle Field at night against Bama. Bump that up to 50%

We were projected to lose to Bama, LSU, Auburn, and Florida straight up, but expected by the formula to win 7 games.


Vandy - 96.2%
Ark - 86.5%
MSU - 85.2%
Miss - 82.8%
SCAR - 65.7%
LSU - 37.5%
Auburn - 29.5%
Bama - 13.9%


Can't find the pre season percentages for Tennessee or UF. The archives I have for us are either before the schedule reshuffle or after the Bama game (and the computers hated us after the Vandy game).

FPI is garbage

Those probabilities would mean we have about a 5% chance of going undefeated, and about a 25% chance of winning at least 11 games.

During the 2020 Arkansas game, when A&M was 3-1 with a win over Florida, FPI gave us the following odds for our remaining games:

South Carolina 55%
Tennessee 67%
Ole Miss 79%
LSU 43%
Auburn 39%

FPI is worthless.

FPI is better than all you guys at predicting the outcome of games.

Remember Kenny Hill's first game against S Carolina(first game post JFF) when USCe was a heavy favorite?

Well, if I'm still alive, I will be at Kyle Field on October 9th, watching the Ags beat the ever livin' hell outta Alabama!

Ugly said:

---

And it is not particularly close, with LSU coming in at the second hardest game at a 64% win chance and the majority of our schedule at over an 80% win chance.

Prarie View A&M 99.8%
New Mexico 98.5%
Kent State 97.9%
South Carolina 93.2%
Colorado 88.2%
Mississippi State 83%
Arkansas 81.6%
Missouri 79.5%
Auburn 78.7%
Ole Miss 66.9%
LSU 64.3%
Alabama 34.4%

Obviously this can change a lot throughout the season (see last year's predictions that had us at about 6-4 preseason), but this is still the best prediction I have seen for A&M going into a season from FPI.

---

When tu comes into the SEC forget about being an ESPN favorite. ESPN is in love with tu!

They may not have quite the financial incentive to prop them up going forward, though.