Snow Friday?

8,020 Views | 119 Replies | Last: 16 yr ago by Jackal99
Houston_Ag
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quote:
Friday
Cloudy. A 30 percent chance of rain in the morning... then a 30 percent chance of rain and snow in the afternoon. Colder. Highs in the lower 40s.
nt_snow
Friday Night
Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain and snow. Lows in the lower 30s.
jetch17
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everyone will get excited that little stuff is dustin the Tine.... until they realize its just Shiela Jackson Lee's overflowing Pedegg shavings filing off her ashy feet.
Jack Klompus
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I can hardly wait to see the morons drive to work.
Green Fairy
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Damn Jetch, I gagged a little bit reading that.
jetch17
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strohag
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Hot hand in a game of dice baby girl...
Jackal99
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quote:
everyone will get excited that little stuff is dustin the Tine.... until they realize its just Shiela Jackson Lee's overflowing Pedegg shavings filing off her ashy feet.


I hate you so much for that. At least, I want to hate you. But really, it's so disgusting that it's actually funny. So in the end, I guess I don't hate you. But I hate that I read that first thing in the morning.
jetch17
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stop the hate, child.
RK
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we goin from ashy to classy!
BrazosDog02
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From Jeff Lindner:

quote:
Thursday night-Friday night:



Forecasting nightmare at hand for this period as GFS and now other models show a significant short wave moving across the region with the cold air in place producing widespread and at times heavy frozen precipitation. The potential comes from a strong short wave that drops out of the central Rockies and then deep into TX Friday with rapid moisture advection pouring into the cold air mass. Cross sections support all snow by early Friday morning as strong cold air advection in all levels is noted. The pattern reminds me more of a polar clipper system in the Midwest than a true winter storm by TX standards..I believe if my memory is correct we had something similar in February of the late 1990’s that produced trace amounts of snow at KIAH and around an inch over our NW counties. Main issue I have is not the cold air, but the amount of available moisture…the upper air pattern is a dry one…but then it does not take much moisture in such a cold air mass to produce precipitation and lots of it. Given 00Z ECMWF now trending toward slightly more moisture and 00Z NAM/GFS nearly identical cannot deny the fact that snow is possible…this is the 3rd run in a row for the GFS showing significant snow and the other drier models are starting to trend in that direction!



Profiles support all snow nearly all counties Friday morning with the exception being our SW counties where profiles and critical thickness support a rain/snow mix and then change over to all snow by mid morning. GFS and NAM show 0C 850mb line reaching the Gulf waters on Friday which would help bring the frozen precipitation to the coast and offshore. NWSFO at Austin/San Antonio and Houston/Galveston along with the section for Victoria have all reluctantly placed 30-40% snow chances in for Friday. If the GFS is correct chances will be closer to 80% with some areas of significant accumulation.



Hate to even attempt to tackle any kind of accumulations this far out and with so much uncertainty and the fact that I do not know if I believe it will snow two years in a row in Houston and so early in the season…would be a record! Given a 10-1 ratio would suggest anywhere from 1-10 inches with the 5-1 ratio showing about 1-8 inches. Do not foresee surface temperatures below freezing Friday morning, but the onset of snow could/will result in evaporative cooling and wet bulb cooling as cold air advection continues…allowing temperatures to fall toward freezing where snow will be falling. This wet bulb cooling effect would be very similar to the historical Christmas Eve 2004 snowstorm where temperatures started in the lower 40’s and cooled to near or just below freezing in the snowfall area allowing those historical accumulations.

As one can image with any kind of winter weather event this far south…the uncertainty is very high and forecast confidence extremely low…we could end up cold and cloudy or we could have some significant snow.


[This message has been edited by jed1154 (edited 12/1/2009 8:47a).]
redag06
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A snow day would be nice. Because I sure won't be driving with the rest of the morons.
highwayman
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Snow would make this Friday afternoon's drive thru Conroe extra craptacular
David_Puddy
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Why are you driving through Conroe Buscemi?
randy828
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If the snow happens Friday morning, I will be watching Jennifer Reyna to get all the details!

(ok..even if it is not snowing, I will be watching)
highwayman
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I'm headed to Dallas for the Big XII championship game


The D
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Concordia grads supporting, traveling, and going to Texas games
David_Puddy
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Here is to hoping that the admissions counselor that took a giant sh-t on your application when you sent it there sees you at the game decked out head to toe in burnt orange and laughs at you one more time.

Oh, and don't rip off my sig, you creepy bast-rd.

gougler08
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Snow would be nice, definitely would be working from home if thats the case
Morbo the Annihilator
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quote:
everyone will get excited that little stuff is dustin the Tine.... until they realize its just Shiela Jackson Lee's overflowing Pedegg shavings filing off her ashy feet.


Dude.
flipper
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I think I'm going to be sick
highwayman
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because of SLJ's foot snow or different reasons all together?
sts7049
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awesome. can't wait for the friday clusterfck.



OH wait, it's my 9/80 day off suckers.
Mailinator1892
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metrag06
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Can't even begin to tell you how sorry I am that I opened this thread first at lunch.

Thanks Jetch.
jetch17
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WOO!
texag89
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LOL... "extra craptacular"... I HATE I-45 north of 1488...
Jock 07
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Just got done shuveling my driveway for 30 mins; Thank God it's only ~25 here right now
ak09
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exciting i tell you... houston will be insane because people already do not know how to drive.

ie. on 610 a couple of weeks ago some lady in a lexus was trying to talk on her iphone, put lipstick on [eat] and drive... she swerved into my lane.. UGH --> which then turned into me giving a look and a louud honk
highwayman
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guys, its looking eminent. Buy some bleach on the way home. Evacuate Katy
FincAg
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I live on the 3rd floor, I hope the snow doesn't get that high. I'm preparing for major power outages by chopping down every tree in sight and hoarding firewood.
cab595
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Concordia University Texas is an award-winning institution of higher education, offering undergraduate, graduate and an Accelerated Degree Program for adult students with satellite campuses in Fort Worth, Houston and San Antonio. A privately-held, accredited, liberal arts university, Concordia is owned by The Lutheran Church—Missouri Synod. It is a member of the highly respected Concordia University System in which more than 19,000 students are enrolled nationwide.
cab595
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dp-

[This message has been edited by cab595 (edited 12/1/2009 5:56p).]
flipper
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quote:
because of SLJ's foot snow or different reasons all together?

because even talking about feet grosses me the **** out and jetch had to get all vulgar
wessimo
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the fact that they are forecasting it this early (or at all, for that matter) means it is not going to happen.

highwayman
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Username: cab595
Number of Posts: 7
Account Created: 11/25/2009 10:53:40 AM
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