A chance to call your 2024 shot and see if your intuition is any good, or if next year you should stick to just ADP as your draft guide.
A player is a bust if he underperforms vs ADP/Salary cap $.
A player is a baller if he out performs or in the case of a CMC/Lamb/Hill finishes with a gap between them and the next tier at their position.
QB BUST: Anthony Richardson: I don't think he develops into a pocket passer like Kyler and his likelihood to get knocked out if he runs will either get him hurt or take away his value. Honorable mention: Dak. That offense has 1 weapon, Lamb. Is that enough?
QB Baller: Stafford if he stays healthy. I don't think he will have monster games but you will not lose because of his performance which for a double digit round pick is great value.
RB BUST: Bijan, I think he will be top 10 but I don't think he will be top 5. I think he will split with Allgier and that Cousins will want to spread the ball to his WR/TE options first.
RB BALLER: Ken Walker, I think he has a chance at a top 5 but top 10 for sure if healthy. If he gets more targets in a faster pace offense that would be money.
WR BUST: Waddle, just won't be healthy. When he is healthy, will be fighting Hill, Achane, Mostert & Jaylen Wright for touches. Just not the volume for a WR13 ADP.
WR BALLERS: Put aside Rice and Aiyuk because they were drafted lower over legal/contract issues. I'll go with Tee Higgins. He is going to want to ball and get that new contract. Chase is off being a diva and there is no option C like Tyler Boyd or a good RB to take the targets away from him.
TE BUST: Kelce, don't think he will deserve that late Round 2 ADP. If you got him late round 3 that is a different story.
TE BALLER: Bowers, Minshew loves TEs, targeted on 20% of pass attempts. Which for the IND TEs was trash because 3 of them split time. If he throws 30-40 pass attempts a game (let's face it Zamir white isn't going to run the ball that much) that is 6-8 attempts for Bowers.
Begin the roast...
A player is a bust if he underperforms vs ADP/Salary cap $.
A player is a baller if he out performs or in the case of a CMC/Lamb/Hill finishes with a gap between them and the next tier at their position.
QB BUST: Anthony Richardson: I don't think he develops into a pocket passer like Kyler and his likelihood to get knocked out if he runs will either get him hurt or take away his value. Honorable mention: Dak. That offense has 1 weapon, Lamb. Is that enough?
QB Baller: Stafford if he stays healthy. I don't think he will have monster games but you will not lose because of his performance which for a double digit round pick is great value.
RB BUST: Bijan, I think he will be top 10 but I don't think he will be top 5. I think he will split with Allgier and that Cousins will want to spread the ball to his WR/TE options first.
RB BALLER: Ken Walker, I think he has a chance at a top 5 but top 10 for sure if healthy. If he gets more targets in a faster pace offense that would be money.
WR BUST: Waddle, just won't be healthy. When he is healthy, will be fighting Hill, Achane, Mostert & Jaylen Wright for touches. Just not the volume for a WR13 ADP.
WR BALLERS: Put aside Rice and Aiyuk because they were drafted lower over legal/contract issues. I'll go with Tee Higgins. He is going to want to ball and get that new contract. Chase is off being a diva and there is no option C like Tyler Boyd or a good RB to take the targets away from him.
TE BUST: Kelce, don't think he will deserve that late Round 2 ADP. If you got him late round 3 that is a different story.
TE BALLER: Bowers, Minshew loves TEs, targeted on 20% of pass attempts. Which for the IND TEs was trash because 3 of them split time. If he throws 30-40 pass attempts a game (let's face it Zamir white isn't going to run the ball that much) that is 6-8 attempts for Bowers.
Begin the roast...