*** Preparing for the Fantasy Playoffs - DST Targets ***

1,932 Views | 9 Replies | Last: 2 yr ago by W
Goose06
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AG
Week 16 and 17 are the weeks that matter for me so those are the weeks I am highlighting here. For some people, you have clinched your spot and week 14 doesn't mean anything so you can focus on setting up your team for the playoffs. That is exactly what I plan to do this week.

So who are the offenses to target to face?
  • Houston (11.0 points allowed average this season, worse recently)
  • Indianapolis (11.6 avg points allowed)
  • LA Rams (11.1 avg points allowed)
  • Denver (8.3 avg points allowed)
  • New Orleans (8.6 avg points allowed)
  • Chicago (9.1 avg points allowed)

The next tier down of offenses to target include the following teams who are all over 7 points allowed on average:
  • New England
  • Pittsburgh
  • Washington
  • Carolina (6.9)

So who plays these teams during the fantasy playoffs (week 16 / 17)?
  • Houston: @Tenn / vs Jacksonville
  • Indy: vs LAC / @NYG
  • LAR: vs Den / @LAC
  • Denver: @LAR / @KC
  • New Orleans: @Cle / @Phi
  • Chicago: vs Buff / @Det
  • New England: vs Cin / vs Mia
  • Pitt: vs LV / @Bal
  • Washington: @SF / vs Cle
  • Carolina: vs Det / @TB

Narrowing down teams that show up both weeks with the above opponents:
  • LAC: @Indy / vs LAR
  • Cleveland: vs New Orleans / @Wash
  • Detroit: @Car / vs Chicago

So the one problem with these 3 defenses being the ones you are now set to target, they have not scored many points this season. They are ranked 2nd, 4th, and 6th to last having scored just 49, 50, and 58 points on the season. That being said, the Browns put up 30 against Houston this week and LAC put up 12 against LV. Detroit recently had a 3 week stretch of 10+ points and last time they played Chicago they put up 10.

If you wanted to load up 2 defenses, maybe target these groups:
  • Week 16: Tennessee or Denver / Week 17: NYG or Jacksonville

I have my own conundrum in one league where I have Dallas who has been great but they have a tough schedule. They get Philly in Dallas in week 16 and then play @ Tennessee in week 17. Tennessee is an ok matchup, but Philly is pretty rough so I am probably going to try and target one of the week 16 defenses to add for precautionary purposes. In my other league I am carrying Cleveland, I will probably hold onto them and target adding a 2nd defense, probably the Chargers.

Here is the link where I am referencing my data from: https://www.fantasypros.com/nfl/points-allowed.php
W
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AG
I'm attempting to scoop up the Tennessee D/ST in every league.

the Eagles-Cowboys week 16 matchup is problematic on both sides
W
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AG
would also keep an eye on the Jets D/ST.

might get dropped this week or next (at Buffalo)

but then NYJ has home games vs. Detroit and Jax in weeks 15 & 16
An L of an Ag
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AG
Interesting - thanks for starting this thread. Our playoffs start week 14, and I have a bye after clinching top seed (whoop!). I have the Packers defense and was gonna drop them in favor of one of the defenses mentioned in the OP, but Green Bay gets the Rams in Lambeau on week 15.
AgEng06
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AG
I have the Philly defense, so I think I'll roll them in Week 17 vs NO.

Thanks to this thread, I'm contemplating picking up Tennessee for week 16 vs Houston.
The Porkchop Express
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AG
Having Dallas's defense vs. the Texans this weekend is really exciting to start the playoffs.
boy09
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AG
W said:

would also keep an eye on the Jets D/ST.

might get dropped this week or next (at Buffalo)

but then NYJ has home games vs. Detroit and Jax in weeks 15 & 16
Is DET really a good matchup though? They're a top 10 offense.
toucan82
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I was looking ahead to week 15.... 3 Saturday games?

This old man sitting on his porch does not like that
Coppell97
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AG
I've got KC and TEN ready to go. Playoffs are weeks 15, 16 and 17.
W
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AG
Lions offense on the road...Jets defense at home...plus mother nature

would not recommend NYJ if the game were in Detroit
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