I'd take that with a YUGE grain of salt, but never doubt the GOPs penchant and ability for snatching defeat from the jaws of victory .

Doubt it.

Hopefully.

In this case, the blame can fall on Trump for pushing Walker and Oz.

538 is wrong a lot more than they are right, and they are wrong A LOT

Over 100 days till the election. This means jack squat.

Dems got a boost today with Manchin deal regardless of what's in it.

52% chance. Still a toss up.

Oz and Walker...

Dems will gain seats in the senate. I have always thought they would. Retiring republicans and terrible candidates will doom the GOP

GOP will take the house

Yeah and newt things it will be a red tsunami. Opinions are like…

Captain Pablo said:

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Dems will gain seats in the senate. I have always thought they would. Retiring republicans and terrible candidates will doom the GOP

GOP will take the house

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2024 the Democrats will have a hard time keeping it because they have to defend 21 seats, the Republicans only 10.

Really none of the Republican seats are highly threatened, even though Texas and Florida were won by narrow margins, that was in the middle of Russia, Russia, Russia and endless Trump Derangement Syndrome.

Democrats will have about 8-10 seats which could be vulnerable including Manchin.

Predictit still saying 57% GOP, and it has a dem bias.

https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6874/Which-party-will-control-the-Senate-after-2022-election

June 30 really hurt, of course.

only reason I believe this poll is because Dems already know there are zero consequences for them for "fortifying" elections and taking them out of the hands of the people.

Quote:

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Democrats Favored to Win Senate for First Time as Polling Improves: 538

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I think the margin of error is 3%.

No room for ****ery

have we learned nothing?

the narrative has to be out there that democrats have a chance to win so when they Cheat it's not questioned.

FJB

Depends on who's counting...amirite?

The last few adjustments must be finished on the voting machines and the tests they performed came back positive.

Taking the Senate has always been a tough proposition this cycle. The numbers aren't favorable to the Republicans.

It's a 50/50 shot

That may be accounting for cheating

The Republicans have been really bad at making people remember about the absolute unforgivable crap the Dems have put people through. It's so ridiculous.

Dems just aren't defending that many seats. Some of the only competitive seats are being challenged by Oz and Walker. Who could easily both lose. So the GOP had a narrow window this year and likely screwed it up with bad candidates. House was absolutely flip regardless.

SouthTex99 said:

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They are not wrong. House will be a bloodbath but no guarantees in Senate.

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This.

It's a lot easier to cheat on the state level than it is on the local level. Houston/Detroit/Baltimore/Atlanta/etc can crank out an extra 1,000,000 votes for the democrat with no questions asked.

Rapier108 said:

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Captain Pablo said:

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Dems will gain seats in the senate. I have always thought they would. Retiring republicans and terrible candidates will doom the GOP

GOP will take the house

---

2024 the Democrats will have a hard time keeping it because they have to defend 21 seats, the Republicans only 10.

Really none of the Republican seats are highly threatened, even though Texas and Florida were won by narrow margins, that was in the middle of Russia, Russia, Russia and endless Trump Derangement Syndrome.

Democrats will have about 8-10 seats which could be vulnerable including Manchin.

---

Very much agree

2024 will be a very favorable year for GOP Senate hopes

2022 is not

The polls are improving just in time to make the fraudulent voting results seem somewhat believable. At least to the morons in our society and the propaganda media arm

Trump gonna Trump. Dude is a ****ing moron and needs to crash into a ditch somewhere.

Detmersdislocatedshoulder said:

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have we learned nothing?

the narrative has to be out there that democrats have a chance to win so when they Cheat it's not questioned.

FJB

---

Correct. You see it being done with Beto too.

But its almost certainly false. The guy ran as a gun grabber and anti O&G when going for the Presidency.

On the OP though ---- hasn't the Senate never been any kind of "likely" ??

This "for the first time" sounds wrong.

Its the House that is showing as all but lost --- haven't heard that about the Senate even earlier in the year?

BoydCrowder13 said:

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Dems just aren't defending that many seats. Some of the only competitive seats are being challenged by Oz and Walker. Who could easily both lose. So the GOP had a narrow window this year and likely screwed it up with bad candidates. House was absolutely flip regardless.

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The Oz race is an R seat current senator retiring

Waffledynamics said:

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The Republicans have been really bad at making people remember about the absolute unforgivable crap the Dems have put people through. It's so ridiculous.

---

Republicans don't want to win. Then they have to solve problems, which they don't want to do. The campaign message should be crappy economic news and illegal immigration on a loop. But they won't do it.

I was listening to Bret Bair's Special Report on the drive home, and he had on a Democratic consultant as one of the panelists. She was asked to predict the midterms as of today, and she was so confident that they will expand in both the senate and the house.

Trust me, the fix is in…again.

The R candidates need to ask their competitors how they define women, should men compete in women's sports, vaccine, domestic terrorist, etc. If they can tell you that a woman is a man, and you get penalized for not thinking that, then you have no freedom of thought and speech.

They need to hit democrats on no cash bail, uncontrolled crime in cities, GND and how it effects prices (gas and food), how democrats want to close schools and mask your kids, Biden enriching his family, Hunter getting special protection from the justice department, illegals and the free benefits their competitors want to shower on them, etc. Illegals get free welfare while you struggle to get gas and food. This isn't hard.