Thoughts? Predictions?

I think it will have no real effect.

Unless there is some miraculous huge turn around with the economy, it's going to be big gains for Republicans

Not at all

The people that want to kill babies & pedo up children are already gonna vote how they vote

The thing to watch for is a fresh new hoax virus variant so they can flood fake mail-in & drop off ballots

No real effects. Lots of bluster and maybe some violence.

Dem lies, as usual, will be supported and amplified by their minions in MSM...to the point where the Senate will solidly remain (D)

My Name Is Judge said:

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Not at all

The people that want to kill babies & pedo up children are already gonna vote how they vote

The thing to watch for is a fresh new hoax virus variant so they can flood fake mail-in & drop off ballots

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Yep. There may be a slight change in turn-out, but over the summer the reality that abortion is a STATES issue should sink in and the #currentthing cycle will have moved on several times and the left's hope will reside in the perversion of voting mechanics on swing states (again) and promises of free stuff.

I believe when the court decision comes down in the summer of 22, it will invigorate leftists to do any and everything to secure victory, just like George Floyd's death in summer 2020.

In their mind, there is no greater "sin" than overturning RvW and the ends will justify the means to lie, cheat and steal the midterms. No one has bothered to correct the issues with 2020 election cycle so they will exploit the same vulnerabilities, and be emboldened to push even further.

I think it will hurt the Republicans.

Conservatives are going to go all in on eliminating all abortions which will alienate a lot of independents who currently disapprove of Biden. It's also going to energize liberal college students.

Republicans will still take the House but won't take the Senate.

Little if any

The availability is not going to change much

Which senate race will this make go dem instead of Republican?

I think republicans lose a few races because of this. To believe otherwise would be naive. Just imagine how conservatives would act if things were reversed and SCOTUS said a state could ban guns. Liberals care about killing babies as much as conservatives care about the 2nd amendment.

You guys are WAY more optimistic than I.


I think the crazies use this as a rallying cry. What would have been an absolute clean sweep will now be much more hotly contested.


Just my .02

SA68AG said:

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I think it will hurt the Republicans.

Conservatives are going to go all in on eliminating all abortions which will alienate a lot of independents who currently disapprove of Biden. It's also going to energize liberal college students.

Republicans will still take the House but won't take the Senate.

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Agree with this. It has reenergized the left.

Getting energy and being passionate about being able to do abortions is bizarre, insane behavior but Democrats are freak shows so guess that's par for the course.

The war in Ukraine will be more impactful, if Russia ends up losing and does not crater the European economy Biden will get a huge bump and the price of oil will come down quickly

Too far away from midterms for this to make much difference. Everyone is upset now, so there won't be any new outrage when the opinion is released. The new current thing will come and that's what we will hear about. The bigger risk is that Biden will take credit for any drop in gas prices from their highs and the left will try to spin any economic stagnation as a good thing over what could have happened. Rs can't let their guard down.

Clob94 said:

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You guys are WAY more optimistic than I.


I think the crazies use this as a rallying cry. What would have been an absolute clean sweep will now be much more hotly contested.


Just my .02

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it's an extremist issue. It won't rally the troops so to speak.

I hope the optimists are right. The problem is, votes have to be clear-cut and the margin of victory must be huge for a Republican to win in these shady states. So when the Dems cheat and everyone is in disbelief, the MSM will say, "see it was because of abortion". Gives them a semi-plausable scenario to explain how the Dems could win (but we'll all know it was cheating).

It's May. This will change nothing. Inflation and the economy will drive what happens in November and it is still on pace to be a red wave. Maslow's hierarchy.

Fore Left! said:

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It's May. This will change nothing. Inflation and the economy will drive what happens in November and it is still on pace to be a red wave. Maslow's hierarchy.

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Agreed. The economic pain that's coming will be what people focus on.

I think this is spot on. Louisiana on deck with an extreme law that makes abortion a homicide won't help. Dems will rally around the idea of a federal law legalizing abortion. Biden wasn't motivating anyone to vote. This will.

For the record, not a fan of abortion based on my religious beliefs. But extreme positions, even at the state level, will motivate voters on a national level.

Little to no impact

Don't care. Let them actually follow the constitution for once then let the people handle it at the state or federal legislature level.

dmart90 said:

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I think this is spot on. Louisiana on deck with an extreme law that makes abortion a homicide won't help. Dems will rally around the idea of a federal law legalizing abortion. Biden wasn't motivating anyone to vote. This will.

For the record, not a fan of abortion based on my religious beliefs. But extreme positions, even at the state level, will motivate voters on a national level.

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Homicide is the correct legal definition for a human intentionally killing another human.

There are times when killing can and is justified. There are times where evidence doesn't support charges / conviction. There are times where jury nullification may be appropriate. Louisiana is simply positioning to use the appropriate terminology which will put everything else into the proper context.

dmart90 said:

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I think this is spot on. Louisiana on deck with an extreme law that makes abortion a homicide won't help. Dems will rally around the idea of a federal law legalizing abortion. Biden wasn't motivating anyone to vote. This will.

For the record, not a fan of abortion based on my religious beliefs. But extreme positions, even at the state level, will motivate voters on a national level.

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If Republicans get tied to extreme anti abortion laws that say getting an abortion is a homicide or getting an IUD is banned…that's going to be a problem nationally.

Maybe not in Longview but certainly in the big metro burbs.

None...
The ones that are the most passionate about this are already concentrated in areas that have favorable laws on the books.

For the overwhelming majority... NOTHING in their daily lives will change because of this. You'll hear a few anecdotal stories, but they'll be the exception, and truly far between.

The soul crushing price of life due to inflation and the ever rising cost of fuel will be the drivers at the polls.

Gas 4.00 a gallon in Houston that's what matters

Kenneth_2003 said:

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None...
The ones that are the most passionate about this are already concentrated in areas that have favorable laws on the books.

For the overwhelming majority... NOTHING in their daily lives will change because of this. You'll hear a few anecdotal stories, but they'll be the exception, and truly far between.

The soul crushing price of life due to inflation and the ever rising cost of fuel will be the drivers at the polls.

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Until states start banning birth control (like IUD) or not make exceptions for rape, life of the mother, or incest and Dems start tying Republicans to those positions.

Yea…that's going to cause the center to collapse.

SpeedyNoilBurner said:

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Thoughts? Predictions?

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the leftist activist law clerk to SCOTUS who leaked this last week will be proven to hurt their own side...

in the end, this would have been more effective coming out in late summer a few months before the midterms.

now- both sides mobilize.

and 19 year olds on college campuses are going to forget about it in another 180 days.

BMX Bandit said:

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Which senate race will this make go dem instead of Republican?

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Which seats do you think the Republicans will flip ?

BMX Bandit said:

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Which senate race will this make go dem instead of Republican?

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I'll focus on the Senate…

North Carolina
Pennsylvania
Ohio
Wisconsin

The issue that will have the biggest impact on the midterms is how much voter fraud the Democrats are allowed to get away with.

FWIW, GOP is -360 to control the Senate after midterms. GOP was -320 two weeks ago. They're -900 to control the House. That's up from -650.

Keegan99 said:

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FWIW, GOP is -360 to control the Senate after midterms. GOP was -320 two weeks ago. They're -900 to control the House. That's up from -650.

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And yet the National Republican Senate Committee is telling candidates not to talk about abortion.

Odd.

K2-HMFIC said:

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Keegan99 said:

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FWIW, GOP is -360 to control the Senate after midterms. GOP was -320 two weeks ago. They're -900 to control the House. That's up from -650.

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And yet the National Republican Senate Committee is telling candidates not to talk about abortion.

Odd.

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Why would they talk about an issue where the GOP just got a big win, and that doesn't affect voters' day-to-day lives?

GOP messaging should be on the failures of the Dems on the economic front.

That's not being scared. That's just good politics.


The Dems are probably telling their candidates to not talk about climate change. Why? It's not something voters give a crap about when inflation is running rampant.

Keegan99 said:

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K2-HMFIC said:

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Keegan99 said:

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FWIW, GOP is -360 to control the Senate after midterms. GOP was -320 two weeks ago. They're -900 to control the House. That's up from -650.

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And yet the National Republican Senate Committee is telling candidates not to talk about abortion.

Odd.

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Why would they talk about an issue where the GOP just got a big win, and that doesn't affect voters' day-to-day lives?

GOP messaging should be on the failures of the Dems on the economic front.

That's not being scared. That's just good politics.


The Dems are probably telling their candidates to not talk about climate change. Why? It's not something voters give a crap about when inflation is running rampant.

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When states start banning IUDs (see Louisiana) then it becomes an albatross.