I was debating with someone about betting on the Alabama football team beating Rice if they played a each other. It's easy money to use the moneyline and pick Alabama to win. The dude I was debating with talked about upsets. To me that risk is negligible. If they played a hundred games, I would say Alabama will win all 100 unless Alabama has food poisoning or something bizarre like that. The Rice 2 and 3 star players can't hang with the Alabama 4 and 5 stars. What are your thoughts on an upset if they played 100 games?

Let's say for reasons unknown Rice is able to win 2 games out of 100, I can still make money.