I agree. Stubblefield on a short leash, then run through the bullpen 1 inning per guy.
quote:That is for sure...But I still would not do it.l
If RC does not go with Long on Friday and we were to lose this board would have to be shut down.
Throw long Friday then worry about Saturday after that.
quote:Kent is not a strikeout pitcher. He pitches to contact. If he has good defense behind him he pitches well and efficiently. If we make an error or two the. It can snowball a little because guys are going to put the ball in play against him. You just have to make those plays.
Kent can be really good or really bad.
quote:We won't.
We cannot afford to use Long or Kent on Wednesday period.
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I agree. Stubblefield on a short leash, then run through the bullpen 1 inning per guy.
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The Aggies were tabbed as the No. 1 seed in the College Station Regional where they will face No. 4 seed Texas Southern in the first day's action at 6 pm on Friday, May 29. On Saturday, Texas A&M will face the winner either No. 2 seed Coastal Carolina and No. 3 seed California
quote:Uh, this is correct. Whether we face them in the winner's or loser's bracket is the question. No jinx here. I think "the winner" was an unintentional insertion since the sentence doesn't make sense without the word "of" as in "the winner of either..."
It doesn't matter... we've already won according to 12thman.com
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The Aggies were tabbed as the No. 1 seed in the College Station Regional where they will face No. 4 seed Texas Southern in the first day's action at 6 pm on Friday, May 29. On Saturday, Texas A&M will face the winner either No. 2 seed Coastal Carolina and No. 3 seed California.
quote:quote:Uh, this is correct. Whether we face them in the winner's or loser's bracket is the question. No jinx here. I think "the winner" was an unintentional insertion since the sentence doesn't make sense without the word "of" as in "the winner of either..."
It doesn't matter... we've already won according to 12thman.com
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The Aggies were tabbed as the No. 1 seed in the College Station Regional where they will face No. 4 seed Texas Southern in the first day's action at 6 pm on Friday, May 29. On Saturday, Texas A&M will face the winner either No. 2 seed Coastal Carolina and No. 3 seed California.
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The goal is to win the regional. Not just your first game. Not just your first two games.
Odds of beating TSU with Long starting 99.5%
Odds of beating TSU with neither Grayson Long nor Kent starting 90% or better I believe most everyone believes and should be accurate.
Next assuming win probability to beat winner of game 2 with Grayson Long starting 70-80%. Odds of winning game 2 with Kent 60-65%. Odds of winning game 3 with Kent 70-75% and I believe below 50% with any other starter.
Looking at complete probability got to start number 3 on Friday to put yourself with best probability of winning the whole regional. Even though you have a slightly higher probability of losing to TSU.
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I suppose starting Grayson isn't the end of the world...provided that neither Vinson nor Hendrix are required to pitch
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I suppose starting Grayson isn't the end of the world...provided that neither Vinson nor Hendrix are required to pitch
That's the other thing. I could almost understand throwing your ace if he had a rep for complete games. Sure, you burn him for the weekend, but you save everyone else. But that's not what Grayson does. He's often lucky to get through six complete innings.
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I think the regional will be more difficult than a possible super regional match up.
The pitching injuries caught up with us at the end of the year and they won't get better during the post season.
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Gabe just said that Childress has NOT announced Long as the game 1 starter and is still going over the scouting reports to determine the best course of action
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Gabe just said that Childress has NOT announced Long as the game 1 starter and is still going over the scouting reports to determine the best course of action
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Then go with Kent in game 2 and Long in game 3. Simple.
It ain't rocket science coach!
quote:It might not be rocket science but you still got it wrong. If RC does not go with Long on Friday the stupid move would to hold him back to Game 3. Game 2 is the pivotal game of the winners bracket, win that game you only have to win one more to advance. Lose it, need three Ws to advance.
TSU runs.....a lot, and well.
Pitch whoever your best CONTROL guy is (not named Long or Kent). If you don't walk these guys (or commit errors ((uh oh)), they won't score much.
Who has our best walks/innings pitched ratio? Pitch him.
Then go with Kent in game 2 and Long in game 3. Simple.
Pitching your one solid starter against the worst team you will face is beyond STUPID. Trust your other guys and get the win. The fact that Childress has never done this before is the EXACT reason to do it now. His way has gotten us to one WS and an 0-2 knock out.
It ain't rocket science coach!