March Madness Bracketology

2,943 Views | 27 Replies | Last: 5 yr ago by LouisvilleAg
LouisvilleAg
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
Here are my final predictions on seeds:


1 Seeds:
Virginia
Villanova
Kansas
North Carolina

2 Seeds:
Duke
Xavier
Purdue
Cincinnati

3 Seeds:
West Virginia
Texas Tech
Tennessee
Michigan

4 Seeds:
Michigan St.
Kentucky
Witchita St.
Gonzaga

5 Seeds:
Arizona
Auburn
Clemson
Florida

6 Seeds:
Ohio State
Houston
TCU
Texas A&M

7 Seeds:
Arkansas
Seton Hall
Miami
Creighton

8 Seeds:
Butler
Nevada
Virginia Tech
Texas

9 Seeds:
Oklahoma
Kansas St.
Florida State
Louisville

10 Seeds:
Missouri
Alabama
Rhode Island
Baylor

Last 4 In (11 Seeds):
USC
North Carolina St.
Notre Dame
Saint Mary's

First 4 Out:
Oklahoma St.
UCLA
Providence
Marquette

Next 4 Out:
Arizona St.
Penn St.
Syracuse
Saint Bonaventure

11 Seeds:
Loyola-Chicago
San Diego St.

12 Seeds:
New Mexico St.
Davidson
Murray State
South Dakota St.

13 Seeds:
Buffalo
UNC-Greensboro
Montana
Bucknell

14 Seeds:
Charleston
Marshall
SFA
Penn

15 Seeds:
Georgia State
Wright St.
Iona
Lipscomb

16 Seeds:
Cal St. Fullerton
UMBC

Play In Games (16 Seeds):
Radford
Texas Southern
Long Island
NC Central
aginlakeway
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
Thank you for all of your work on this.
"I'm sure that won't make a bit of difference for those of you who enjoy a baseless rage over the decisions of a few teenagers."
BattlinB
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
Very generous seeding for the AGS. gotta be a homer .
bobinator
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
Interested to see how this compares to the bracket. I wonder if there will be consistent trends or if there will be some obvious favoritism for some specific teams.
SeattleAg05
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
Will be interesting to watch both a&m and Texas relative to these predictions.

Nice work
miller0926
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
Alright, gonna get mine in:

SOUTH
1. Virginia
2. Purdue
3. Tennessee
4. Wichita St.
5. Gonzaga
6. TCU
7. Texas A&M
8. Nevada
9. Creighton
10. Florida St.
11. Davidson
12. South Dakota St.
13. Murray St.
14. Lipscomb
15. Iona
16. Cal St. Fullerton/LIU Brooklyn

EAST
1. Villanova
2. Cincinnati
3. Michigan
4. Texas Tech
5. Clemson
6. Florida
7. Miami
8. Rhode Island
9. North Carolina St.
10. UCLA
11. Louisville/Oklahoma
12. San Diego St.
13. UNC Greensboro
14. Wright St.
15. Georgia St.
16. Texas Southern/North Carolina Central

MIDWEST
1. Kansas
2. Duke
3. Auburn
4. Arizona
5. Ohio St.
6. Houston
7. Seton Hall
8. Missouri
9. Butler
10. Kansas St.
11. St. Bonaventure/Texas
12. Buffalo
13. College of Charleston
14. Bucknell
15. Penn
16. Radford

WEST
1. Xavier
2. North Carolina
3. Michigan St.
4. West Virginia
5. Kentucky
6. Arkansas
7. Providence
8. Virginia Tech
9. Alabama
10. USC
11. Loyola Chicago
12. New Mexico St.
13. Marshall
14. Montana
15. SFA
16. UMBC
northeastag
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
All ya'll have us at 6 and 7. Must be drinking a lot of maroon cool aid, or something else.
aginlakeway
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
northeastag said:

All ya'll have us at 6 and 7. Must be drinking a lot of maroon cool aid, or something else.


Every prediction our there has us at 7 at the lowest. Every one.
"I'm sure that won't make a bit of difference for those of you who enjoy a baseless rage over the decisions of a few teenagers."
gougler08
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
BattlinB said:

Very generous seeding for the AGS. gotta be a homer .


Computers must be homers because his formula is just calculations based off various different metrics
gougler08
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
aginlakeway said:

northeastag said:

All ya'll have us at 6 and 7. Must be drinking a lot of maroon cool aid, or something else.


Every prediction our there has us at 7 at the lowest. Every one.


Bracketmatrix does have some brackets with us at an 8, but majority are higher
Wearamaskaggie
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
Houston too low IMO
LouisvilleAg
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
miller0926 said:

Alright, gonna get mine in:

SOUTH
1. Virginia
2. Purdue
3. Tennessee
4. Wichita St.
5. Gonzaga
6. TCU
7. Texas A&M
8. Nevada
9. Creighton
10. Florida St.
11. Davidson
12. South Dakota St.
13. Murray St.
14. Lipscomb
15. Iona
16. Cal St. Fullerton/LIU Brooklyn

EAST
1. Villanova
2. Cincinnati
3. Michigan
4. Texas Tech
5. Clemson
6. Florida
7. Miami
8. Rhode Island
9. North Carolina St.
10. UCLA
11. Louisville/Oklahoma
12. San Diego St.
13. UNC Greensboro
14. Wright St.
15. Georgia St.
16. Texas Southern/North Carolina Central

MIDWEST
1. Kansas
2. Duke
3. Auburn
4. Arizona
5. Ohio St.
6. Houston
7. Seton Hall
8. Missouri
9. Butler
10. Kansas St.
11. St. Bonaventure/Texas
12. Buffalo
13. College of Charleston
14. Bucknell
15. Penn
16. Radford

WEST
1. Xavier
2. North Carolina
3. Michigan St.
4. West Virginia
5. Kentucky
6. Arkansas
7. Providence
8. Virginia Tech
9. Alabama
10. USC
11. Loyola Chicago
12. New Mexico St.
13. Marshall
14. Montana
15. SFA
16. UMBC


If i was choosing the play in games, I would select Oklahoma, Notre Dame, St. Mary's, and Middle Tennessee as my four. But us you guys know already, what is in the OP is just calculations based off result based and predictive metrics alongside G1 and G2 wins and such.
aginlakeway
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
How did you do?
"I'm sure that won't make a bit of difference for those of you who enjoy a baseless rage over the decisions of a few teenagers."
txag72
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
So we're playing against a team who didn't even make the tournament. Now that's a good draw.
LouisvilleAg
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
aginlakeway said:

How did you do?


Overall, pretty good. A couple of head scratchers. West Virginia as a 5 seed? Rhode island as a 7 seed? Louisville completely out where I had them in as a 9 seed?

I didn't get any of the last 4 in correct. 3 of the next 4 out are in the play in game.
bobinator
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
Any trends to how you were off?
LouisvilleAg
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
Not yet. I will start analyzing that starting tomorrow and Tuesday. My guess is that one particular metric is weighted more than others.
LouisvilleAg
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
Not yet. I will start analyzing that starting tomorrow and Tuesday. My guess is that one particular metric is weighted more than others.
Double Diamond
How long do you want to ignore this user?
WVU paid for going 0/3 vs Kansas. We're better than Tech but Tech went 1/2 vs Kansas.
bobinator
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
My guess was the predictive metrics weren't going to weigh as much in reality as in your formula but I dunno
Anchorhold
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Are we better than Tech?
Double Diamond
How long do you want to ignore this user?
No. Texas Tech would win.
Amarillo Slim
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
Its been fun following your predictions. Once you have reviewed your formula it would be interesting to know what you decided and then see your rerun based on the change.
"Real happiness comes not from getting what we desire; but celebrating what we have."
bobinator
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
You should also run your bracket through the point system for the BracketMatrix (bottom of the page) and see where you would have ranked.

About 2010 or so I did basically a speed bracketology in a chat room with posters on here and we would have finished as the #18 bracket on the web that year.
BenFiasco14
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
LouisvilleAg said:

aginlakeway said:

How did you do?


Overall, pretty good. A couple of head scratchers. West Virginia as a 5 seed? Rhode island as a 7 seed? Louisville completely out where I had them in as a 9 seed?

I didn't get any of the last 4 in correct. 3 of the next 4 out are in the play in game.
I wonder if Louisville was just snubbed out of principle
CNN is an enemy of the state and should be treated as such.
PJYoung
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
bobinator said:

You should also run your bracket through the point system for the BracketMatrix (bottom of the page) and see where you would have ranked.

About 2010 or so I did basically a speed bracketology in a chat room with posters on here and we would have finished as the #18 bracket on the web that year.

This rubric awards 3 points for each team correctly picked, 3 points for each team correctly seeded, and 1 point for each team not seeded correctly but within one seed line. With 68 teams, a perfect score is 408.
LouisvilleAg
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
Quote:

1 Seeds:
Virginia - 6
Villanova - 6
Kansas - 6
North Carolina - 4

2 Seeds:
Duke - 6
Xavier - 4
Purdue - 6
Cincinnati - 6

3 Seeds:
West Virginia - 3
Texas Tech - 6
Tennessee - 6
Michigan - 6

4 Seeds:
Michigan St. - 4
Kentucky - 4
Witchita St. - 6
Gonzaga - 6

5 Seeds:
Arizona - 4
Auburn - 6
Clemson - 6
Florida - 4

6 Seeds:
Ohio State - 4
Houston - 6
TCU - 6
Texas A&M - 4

7 Seeds:
Arkansas - 6
Seton Hall - 4
Miami - 4
Creighton - 4

8 Seeds:
Butler - 3
Nevada - 4
Virginia Tech - 6
Texas - 3

9 Seeds:
Oklahoma - 4
Kansas St. - 6
Florida State - 6
Louisville - 0

10 Seeds:
Missouri - 3
Alabama - 4
Rhode Island - 3
Baylor - 0

Last 4 In (11 Seeds):
USC - 0
North Carolina St. - 3
Notre Dame - 0
Saint Mary's - 0

First 4 Out:
Oklahoma St.
UCLA
Providence
Marquette

Next 4 Out:
Arizona St.
Penn St.
Syracuse
Saint Bonaventure

11 Seeds:
Loyola-Chicago - 6
San Diego St. - 6

12 Seeds:
New Mexico St. - 6
Davidson - 6
Murray State - 6
South Dakota St. - 6

13 Seeds:
Buffalo - 6
UNC-Greensboro - 6
Montana - 4
Bucknell - 4

14 Seeds:
Charleston - 4
Marshall - 4
SFA - 6
Penn - 3

15 Seeds:
Georgia State - 6
Wright St. - 4
Iona - 6
Lipscomb - 6

16 Seeds:
Cal St. Fullerton - 4
UMBC - 6

Play In Games (16 Seeds):
Radford - 6
Texas Southern - 6
Long Island - 6
NC Central - 6


Total of 317. meh.
miller0926
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
Finally got around to grading mine. I would've gotten 345, which would've been tied for 65th. Lunardi got 344 and Palm got 343. I think next year if I have time I will start one to update throughout the year.
LouisvilleAg
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
miller0926 said:

Finally got around to grading mine. I would've gotten 345, which would've been tied for 65th. Lunardi got 344 and Palm got 343. I think next year if I have time I will start one to update throughout the year.


Awesome job. I certainly didn't take into account how the committee would view the scandal. Almost all of those teams were left out unless they were easily in.
Refresh
Page 1 of 1
 
×
subscribe Verify your student status
See Subscription Benefits
Trial only available to users who have never subscribed or participated in a previous trial.