CypressAg09 said:
Ajm1114 said:
That's a good example, but it also brings up another point. Rabb fell 11 stops in a recent mock draft, he lost money with his decision, I want the best for our guys, so it that means leaving early to secure a big contract than so be it. The only benefit that might come from being drafted later is that he lands with a good team with a good coach in order to further his development, rather than he goes to a dumpster fire of a franchise.
I don't see that happening with Williams. I think he is still projected in the draft mostly off athleticism and potential, and one more year in college isn't going to hurt those.
Right now he's being projected based on potential. After one college season, there is nothing to indicate that potential might never materialize. If he does not improve next season (footwork, shooting, defense outside of blocks), or even worse regresses, then the book will be out that he's a great athlete without much skill potential. That will significantly hurt his draft stock, even if the class next year is projected to be weaker.
There's a ton of risk in turning down a draft position. Davonte Fitzgerald went from "athlete with real potential" to nothing with one freak untouched injury.
See also: Tyreke Evans, Stromile Swift, Tyrus Thomas, Anthony Randolph, Glenn Robinson III, Jordan McRae, the Harrison twins, Jared Sullinger, Fab Melo, Willie Warren, Taj Gibson, Chase Budinger,