Next to last Saturday of conference ball for most teams.
Currently Bracket Matrix has the bubble as: (meaning anyone that appears in less than 100% of brackets)
Wichita State
Michigan State
Kansas State
Cal
Seton Hall
Marquette
Syracuse
Middle Tennessee
TCU
Illinois State
---- cut line ----
Providence
Georgia Tech
Wake Forest
Vanderbilt
Clemson
Tennessee
Rhose Island
Houston
Notes/thoughts:
When you list teams like this, it can create a few false impressions. For example, 107 bracketologists have Cal and Seton Hall in the field, but as a group they have them seeded lower than Kansas State. Kansas State has a higher average seed, but only appears in 97 brackets.
It can also create a sense of closeness that may not actually exist. For example, there's a pretty big jump in the number of brackets that Kansas State appears in (97) and the number TCU and Illinois State appear in (73 and 74.) There's another big jump between those two teams, and the teams below the cut off. Right now, that line is pretty clear for most bracketology people. Providence and Georgia Tech only appear in 41 brackets.
As long as Wichita doesn't lose to Missouri State tomorrow you'd have to think they're in even if they don't win Arch Madness, but Middle Tennessee is a lot closer to the cut line if they don't win the C-USA Tournament. Illinois State might be in a position where they need to win Arch Madness, which could create some drama in that tournament. I think if they reach the final and play Wichita, they'll both probably end up in the field.
TCU has a good chance to play themselves up off the cut line if they can beat WVU at home on Saturday. They also have a crucial game at home next Wednesday against Kansas State.
Georgia Tech is one of the few teams that's currently out that has a decent chance to play their win without getting any help. They have games at Syracuse and Notre Dame left on the schedule.
Wake Forest might be another, but they're off this weekend, which is weird.
Another one, believe it or not, is Vandy. They still play both @Kentucky and at home against Florida.
Clemson and Tennessee probably can't play in without other teams playing their way out, and the bubble probably realistically ends there unless some weird stuff happens over the next couple of weeks.
Currently Bracket Matrix has the bubble as: (meaning anyone that appears in less than 100% of brackets)
Wichita State
Michigan State
Kansas State
Cal
Seton Hall
Marquette
Syracuse
Middle Tennessee
TCU
Illinois State
---- cut line ----
Providence
Georgia Tech
Wake Forest
Vanderbilt
Clemson
Tennessee
Rhose Island
Houston
Notes/thoughts:
When you list teams like this, it can create a few false impressions. For example, 107 bracketologists have Cal and Seton Hall in the field, but as a group they have them seeded lower than Kansas State. Kansas State has a higher average seed, but only appears in 97 brackets.
It can also create a sense of closeness that may not actually exist. For example, there's a pretty big jump in the number of brackets that Kansas State appears in (97) and the number TCU and Illinois State appear in (73 and 74.) There's another big jump between those two teams, and the teams below the cut off. Right now, that line is pretty clear for most bracketology people. Providence and Georgia Tech only appear in 41 brackets.
As long as Wichita doesn't lose to Missouri State tomorrow you'd have to think they're in even if they don't win Arch Madness, but Middle Tennessee is a lot closer to the cut line if they don't win the C-USA Tournament. Illinois State might be in a position where they need to win Arch Madness, which could create some drama in that tournament. I think if they reach the final and play Wichita, they'll both probably end up in the field.
TCU has a good chance to play themselves up off the cut line if they can beat WVU at home on Saturday. They also have a crucial game at home next Wednesday against Kansas State.
Georgia Tech is one of the few teams that's currently out that has a decent chance to play their win without getting any help. They have games at Syracuse and Notre Dame left on the schedule.
Wake Forest might be another, but they're off this weekend, which is weird.
Another one, believe it or not, is Vandy. They still play both @Kentucky and at home against Florida.
Clemson and Tennessee probably can't play in without other teams playing their way out, and the bubble probably realistically ends there unless some weird stuff happens over the next couple of weeks.
