Yeah right.
Top number in a cell is the chance of winning THAT game (compare to opponents number for outcome).BohunkAg said:
I don't know what the f-ck any of that means.
You're telling me UTEP has like a 99.8% chance of winning 11 games? And Rice has a 100% chance of winning 10 games? This analysis seems all haywire.goodAg80 said:Top number in a cell is the chance of winning THAT game (compare to opponents number for outcome).BohunkAg said:
I don't know what the f-ck any of that means.
Bottom number in a cell is the chance of winning a certain number of games. (the 1st six cells for A&M are 100% which means A&M is predicted to win no less than 6 games).
Hmm. You are right. I don't get it either.BohunkAg said:You're telling me UTEP has like a 99.8% chance of winning 11 games? And Rice has a 100% chance of winning 10 games? This analysis seems all haywire.goodAg80 said:Top number in a cell is the chance of winning THAT game (compare to opponents number for outcome).BohunkAg said:
I don't know what the f-ck any of that means.
Bottom number in a cell is the chance of winning a certain number of games. (the 1st six cells for A&M are 100% which means A&M is predicted to win no less than 6 games).
https://www.reddit.com/r/CFB/comments/b1heez/win_expectation_graphs_preseason_edition/SchizoAg said:
You're going to need to post a link to the source so we can go read about it and find out what the numbers actually mean.
Txgunrnnr said:https://www.reddit.com/r/CFB/comments/b1heez/win_expectation_graphs_preseason_edition/SchizoAg said:
You're going to need to post a link to the source so we can go read about it and find out what the numbers actually mean.
Quote:
Strength of Schedule Graph
Every row in the graph represents a single team's schedule. The column furthest on the left shows that schedule's owner (i.e. which team has that schedule). The number in the upper left corner of the left column is the rank.
The body of the table shows every opponent on that team's schedule. The number in the upper left of each of these cells is the probability that an average top 25 team would win that game. The number in the bottom right of each of these cells is the probability that an average top 25 team would win at least that many games against that schedule.
The column furthest on the right is the expected number of wins for an average top 25 team against that schedule.
BohunkAg said:
I don't know what the f-ck any of that means.
I think it's saying a Top 5 team has no less than a 41% chance of winning each game.AgCat93 said:
If I'm reading this right, the Ags have no less than a 41% chance of winning each game. I'll take that.
goodAg80 said:Top number in a cell is the chance of winning THAT game (compare to opponents number for outcome).BohunkAg said:
I don't know what the f-ck any of that means.
Bottom number in a cell is the chance of winning a certain number of games. (the 1st six cells for A&M are 100% which means A&M is predicted to win no less than 6 games).
You might want to read the rest of the thread first....ABATTBQ11 said:goodAg80 said:Top number in a cell is the chance of winning THAT game (compare to opponents number for outcome).BohunkAg said:
I don't know what the f-ck any of that means.
Bottom number in a cell is the chance of winning a certain number of games. (the 1st six cells for A&M are 100% which means A&M is predicted to win no less than 6 games).
This makes no sense. Look at tu and tcu. They both have a greater than 85% chance of winning against each other. Your probabilities do not as up to 1.
ETA Both Rice and UTEP have a 99.9% chance of being each other. Every team is projected to win most of its games. You might want to rethink this.
No, it's saying that an average Top 25 team as a 41% or better chance of winning each game.Txgunrnnr said:I think it's saying a Top 5 team has no less than a 41% chance of winning each game.AgCat93 said:
If I'm reading this right, the Ags have no less than a 41% chance of winning each game. I'll take that.
ABATTBQ11 said:BohunkAg said:
I don't know what the f-ck any of that means.
I was going to post sobering snarky, but then I realized you have an excellent T&A posting history. Carry on...
Mrs. Bo and I have a thing. Bo always gets a little snarky with my posts.BohunkAg said:ABATTBQ11 said:BohunkAg said:
I don't know what the f-ck any of that means.
I was going to post sobering snarky, but then I realized you have an excellent T&A posting history. Carry on...
I do? You haven't seen many of my posts apparently.