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Housing Market Impact

1,385 Views | 4 Replies | Last: 4 yr ago by nukeaggie2000
The Lurker
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AG
What is everyone's thoughts on the housing market? I know several here invest in rental properties and the recent trend of doing the Airbnb type rentals. I'm sure a lot are responsible investors who are not over leveraged but I'm sure there are plenty that probably are.

Hopefully the renters can still make their rent but I would think the Airbnb types are not having any income right now. What are the chances of these type of investors having to do a fire sell/foreclose and flood the residential housing market?

spongeboob_squaresharts
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AG
I mean, if you buy a place preparing to solely pay for it using Airbnb income, then that's just a bad business decision on your part.
Cyp0111
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What can go wrong with 5x leverage on a property dependent on complete discretionary income. Now bundle multiple ones that most could not float on person.
bones75
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AG
Can generally switch from short term to long term rentals (of course, you likely will have lost the costs of having furnished the house). So, wouldn't be a total loss. I'm guessing there will be plenty of demand for rentals, but at lower rates, due to lower incomes.
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CS78
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Going to be highly dependent how long this goes on. So far, all of my tenants look to be paying April rent on time. I also still seem to be having decent luck signing new leases for summer move in. I feel that I may be a little shielded by having some smaller/cheaper houses in pretty good areas. If people need to move out of their $1500 a month house, they'll be looking to save money by moving in to my $1100 a month house without having to move across town.

I don't own any short term rentals but would be worried if I did. Example, my family has a house reserved at a Florida beach this summer. We have to decide in the coming weeks if we would like to cancel and get a full refund. If the beaches continue to stay closed through the summer, those people will lose almost a years worth of income. $40k-$50k in lost rent per property. That's going to hurt! Hard to think it wont tank the market in the highly focused areas.

For B/CS, I do worry about what could happen if this ends up affecting the fall semester. If 80+% of the students don't show back up in August, it will cripple us for a decade or more.

Both of these scenarios wont just be housing though. Itll bring a cloud across the entire local economy.
nukeaggie2000
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AG
i have a short term rental in crystal beach. each of our renters are slowing canceling. just got one this morning cancelling in august.
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