Farmer1906 said:
Harry Dunne said:
Farmer1906 said:
Anyone who finds the Tucker nomination "interesting" (like 3 or 4 of y'all now) has not been paying attention. I've been trying to tell y'all since last year.
It IS interesting though.
If you look up his sprint times, he's below average for a LF...slower than George. I can't remember the term for how good of a break guys get on balls in the outfield, but they have stat on baseball savant and he's just slightly above average. He has a good arm and only made one error, but definitely not the stuff gold gloves are made of until...
his defensive outs above average are off the charts, which is obviously what they were looking at.
I don't want to discredit him, but the only explanation I could think of was excellent defensive positioning and a lack of league adjustment for the small left field at MMP.
I think you may have read the data wrong.
The league avg is 27.0. I exported the qualified LFers and took the avg. It comes to 27.4. Tucker checks in at 27.6. While not elite, have still above avg.
They don't show a leaderboard for "Jump", but he's well above average in reaction (the feet he covers in the first 1.5 seconds) & burst (feet covered in 1.6-3.0 seconds). He does have room to improve on his route (feet covered in the direction toward to ball in 0-3.0 seconds).
Defensive positioning doesn't help you with catch probability from a fielder's perspective. It's more so measured by the distanced covered vs the hang time. For example, if Correa is shifted up the middle and they hit a routine ball to where the SS traditionally plays. Correa lays out and throws out the runner, he gets full credit for a brilliant 3-4 * play when it could have been an easy 0-1 * play if he wasn't shifted.
Sorry for the slow response...
Like you said, average speed among full-time LF, here you see that his OF jump is just above average, and that's considering RF, which is by far the slowest OF position. On the other hand Tucker is faster than the other two GG finalists, and Gordon is actually the slowest LF in baseball. Makes me think this award is still a little bit of a hitting/reputation award.
Then again, the Fielding Bible award is 100% analytics driven and Uncle Mike is tied for 1st last year with David Peralta, meaning that the advanced stats said he was the best left fielder in baseball while many on here are very critical of his lack of urgency. Brantley used to be elite and still has good hands and a good arm but never lays out for balls and he looks like his #1 goal is to not get hurt is what the eyeballs say.
I'm no more clear on anything than before I looked at these numbers. We are bad at judging defense and Tucker is an underratedly good defensive player, are the main takeaways IMO.