***** Official Houston Astros 2019 Season Thread *****

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mathguy86
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Cant hit. Can't field. What good are you?
W
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thought that one might be gone, but it's a big ballpark. Just a sac fly
Kashchei
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Peacock has been playing with fire the whole game
irish pete ag06
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Beat40 said:

Ag_07 said:

Bobcat-Ag said:

astros4545 said:

Bregman's BABIP
Does that mean he will get better when the BABIP averages out?

Typically 30% of balls in play result in hits (or a BABIP of .300)

Anything too far under .300 is considered running into bad luck while anything way over .300 is considered getting lucky.

**At least that's how I've always looked at BABIP. Someone else who knows more may elaborate but I think that's the jist of it


BABIP isn't solely an indicator of luck. It Is a metric to sort good hitter from bad hitters. It's also used for pitchers to show how well the defense is turning balls in play into outs.

Luck is one of a few different factors into BABIP. The most proper way to look at it is by looking at a players career BABIP first, and then what they are doing in the current season.

Bearkat provided Bregman's: His BABIP in his first 3 seasons have been .317, .311 and .289. To this point in his career, he's shown to be an above average hitter.

Now you look a this year and his BABIP is .252. It's obviously an outlier in his career so far. It could be that much lower because of how defenses are playing him in combination with bad luck. So you could absolutely say he's had some bad luck this year, which he probably has. We also see defenses shifting him more as well.

The thought is Bregman might not get back to his career BABIP this year, but should trend to his career BABIP this year for the remainder of he season of being an above average hitter.

Farmer or Irish Pete can add more or correct me if I am wrong. That's just my understanding of the metric.


That's a good breakdown! We don't have access to all the goods but if we could break it down, we could look up every launch angle and exit velocity and there's an associated BABIP with all of those. If we could see that we could really get a good look at how lucky or unlucky a guy has been.

Speed is another factor with BABIP. It's reasonable to deduce that Jos is going to beat out way more slow choppers than Carlos Lee would have.

But to circle back... Career BABIP is a great place to start once a guy has been in the bigs for a while.
W
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Peacock escapes the 4th. Probably one more inning, then the bullpen
bobinator
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I was cooking and couldn't hear the TV, what was up with Peacock in the dugout a while ago?
W
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well, Boyd did not give up more than 3 runs...but only lasted 4 frames
W
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I missed that. The upset Tiger may bat again in the 5th
W
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uh-oh, possible message pitch to George. He hit the deck
dshedd41
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Yikes!
http://houseofhouston.com/author/dshedd/
astros4545
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Kashchei said:

Peacock has been playing with fire the whole game


Dracarys
spadilly
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That's a great play by Diaz!
W
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here's Hector
Miles Finch
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W said:

uh-oh, possible message pitch to George. He hit the deck
Nah. Just common pitch sequencing. 0-2/1-2 come up and in, followed by a curve ball. The 1-2 pitch just got away from him. I knew the 2-2 pitch would be a curve and so did George. I'm sure that's why he was upset he missed it.
mathguy86
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Whites swing is just a mess. He can't keep his top hand on the bat and every swing looks like he's either late or trying to go to RF. Either way he's nowhere close to the ball.
W
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Jake...adios amigo.

bottom of the order killin' it tonight
Bregxit
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Jake from Rake Farm!!!
bearkatag15
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Jake!!!
shano0603
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Jake from Rake Farm!
mathguy86
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Jake from Rake Farm!!
CFTXAG10
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Uhhhh khakis
bullard21k
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Drilled
newsjunkie
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Jake from Rake Farm!!!
spadilly
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She sounds hideous
W
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Chirinos filling up the boxscore again.

could be headed to the all-star game
cap-n-jack
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Jake!
mathguy86
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Rangers will just say we are sucking off their players.
Harry Dunne
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It's too bad Brantley can't play 1b.
Ag_07
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W said:

Chirinos filling up the boxscore again.

could be headed to the all-star game

We're gonna have a shlt ton of All Stars
Harry Dunne
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W said:

Chirinos filling up the boxscore again.

could be headed to the all-star game
AL has a strangely high number of catchers playing out of their minds right now. Mitch Garver, James McCann, Omar Narvaez. I had only ever even heard of McCann before now.
mwm
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Do you think White knows he sucks?
bearkatag15
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mwm said:

Do you think White knows he sucks?


Better question is do you think he knows he needs a bigger jersey? XXL is his friend
dshedd41
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http://houseofhouston.com/author/dshedd/
mathguy86
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If White cared what anyone thought he wouldn't be carrying the extra tonnage in the first place.
W
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and another scoreless inning for Pressly