Even plenty of reports lately about Minor possibly being moved, so he's probably next. Hopefully at least one of the prospects we got for Profar is major league ready.
This could not be more accurate. Literally spent six years developing this kid and right when he turns the corner we ship him off to the A's. He's gonna turn into an All-Star on the A's and then become the next big Yankees infielder once he hits free agencyTMACsDaMan said:
Profar is gonna go in raw against the Rangers to stick it to JD. Beane will just stick him in one position and watch him be an MVP candidate. It's just the Rangers luck that it will go that way.
PWestAg18 said:This could not be more accurate. Literally spent six years developing this kid and right when he turns the corner we ship him off to the A's. He's gonna turn into an All-Star on the A's and then become the next big Yankees infielder once he hits free agencyTMACsDaMan said:
Profar is gonna go in raw against the Rangers to stick it to JD. Beane will just stick him in one position and watch him be an MVP candidate. It's just the Rangers luck that it will go that way.
PWestAg18 said:
I just felt like we had a core of position players that could turn into a playoff team given a pitching staff. Plus it's just frustrating after all these years of hearing "Profar is the next big Ranger" and finally after seeing signs of that last year we turn around and trade him. I get the reasoning behind the trade, just frustrated at the reality of the rebuild we're undertaking.
This. I really thought Profar turned the corner, and is going to be a solid player. However, he will be a free agent soon. We aren't contending in 2019. Hopefully the prospects we got pan out.free_mhayden said:PWestAg18 said:This could not be more accurate. Literally spent six years developing this kid and right when he turns the corner we ship him off to the A's. He's gonna turn into an All-Star on the A's and then become the next big Yankees infielder once he hits free agencyTMACsDaMan said:
Profar is gonna go in raw against the Rangers to stick it to JD. Beane will just stick him in one position and watch him be an MVP candidate. It's just the Rangers luck that it will go that way.
The problem with spending six years developing the kid is that when he turns the corner the club doesn't have control over him anymore.
Assuming you don't extend him a multi-year contract right now (which Texas would be gunshy about offering, and Profar would be gunshy about passing up free agency), then you have two scenarios:
1) Keep him and benefit from his production
or
2) Trade him
I think we can all agree that this year isn't/wasn't going to amount to much... So is what we traded him for worth more than what you think the 2020 season of Jurickson Profar will be to the Rangers?
No one in the Rangers front office is for trading Profar because they think he won't be good.
Schall 02 said:
Had to do it, I think. If memory serves, Profar is a Boras client. He'll be in pinstripes or Dodger blue by 2021, just when our rebuild may be getting interesting.
free_mhayden said:
Profar already didn't like they way he was handled the last 2-3 years as a super utility guy -- I think that that point the chances of him singing an extension before testing the free agent waters (with a SS and a 2B still on the roster) was slim.
Quote:
The Texas Rangers have finally traded Jurickson Profar. After holding onto him and refusing to include him in deals for the likes of Justin Upton and Zack Greinke, after trading Ian Kinsler to open up a spot for him only to see him miss two seasons, after continuing to hold onto him as he made his way back to the majors in a utility role, and then finally seeming him perform, in 2018, like the player they thought he could be, the Rangers finally pulled the trigger and have dealt the one-time top prospect in MLB, sending him to the Oakland A's, along with A-ball pitcher Rollie Lacy.
(Take a moment and think how different Rangers history would have been if, in 2012, the Rangers had bitten the bullet and dealt Profar to the Brewers for Zack Greinke. They wouldn't have traded Kyle Hendricks that year for Ryan Dempster. They would have held off the A's in the A.L. West, giving them three division titles in a row with a team that was positioned to go deep into the playoffs. They wouldn't have felt pressured to make the Matt Garza deal in 2013. Without Profarwaiting in the wings, they wouldn't have dumped Ian Kinsler for Prince Fielder after the 2013 season.
Okay, maybe you shouldn't take a moment and think about it.)
So why, now that Profar has seemingly shown you that he was worth the wait, deal Profar? Why not keep him and make him part of your core going forward?
There are two potential reasons, both of which I think factor into this decision. One is the belief that you are unlikely to extend Profar before he hits free agency. Profar is a Scott Boras client, and Boras clients are more likely to hit the free agent market, though they don't always. That said, Jon Daniels said today that they had engaged with Profar in extension talks, but those talks didn't really advance. If you can't extend Profar now, when he's two years from free agency, it makes sense to see what the market is for him.
The other factor, which probably played into what the Rangers were willing to offer Profar to extend, is that I'm not sure the team sees Profar as a great fit at third base long term. Profar's throwing arm hasn't been the same since his shoulder surgery, and throws from third last year were...an adventure. And in a small sample size, both DRS and UZR saw Profar as well below average defensively at third base. Profar's best position long-term is probably second base, where the Rangers are committed to Rougned Odor. And the A's, of course, will be playing him there.
(Insert obligatory "Nolan Arenado will be a free agent at the end of 2019" comment here)
The Rangers are in rebuilding mode, and you can argue that they should have held onto Profar at least through 2020, when the new ballpark is opening and when, it appears, the Rangers are planning on spending more in free agency and being more aggressive in seeking to contend. If you're planning on being a contender in 2020 which I think the Rangers would like to be Profar has value to your team then.
That said, the players the Rangers got back in this deal also fit that time frame. Brock Burke, considered the top prospect the Rangers got in this trade, is a lefthanded starter will likely start the 2019 season in AA Frisco, and could be in the majors in September. He's one of four quality starting pitching prospects along with Taylor Hearn, Jonathan Hernandez and Joe Palumbo who the Rangers now have who ended the 2018 season in AA, and who could potentially be contributing to a major league rotation at some point in the 2020 season. The consensus seems to be that Burke will be ranked in the Rangers' farm system somewhere in the 5-10 range, in the same tier as those three.
Burke also has talked about the Driveline Baseball program he and other Rays prospects used as helping him significantly, and the Rangers were reported over the summer to be entering into a consulting agreement with Driveline.
Eli White, the infielder the Rangers acquired in this deal, spent all of 2018 at AA, and will probably start the 2019 in Nashville. He had a breakout year with the bat in 2018, can play a variety of positions, and was named the best defensive second baseman in the Texas League in 2018. He's someone who we could see in the majors in 2019 or 2020. He's also not exactly a throw-in...he was 8th on the A's top 10 list per Baseball America, who compared him to Chris Taylor.
Burke and White also make the MLB Pipeline Rangers top 30 list, with MLB Pipeline slotting Burke at #6 and White at #12.
Kyle Bird, the lefty reliever the Rangers got in this deal from Tampa, is likely going to be in the mix for a bullpen job to start 2019 after spending most of the 2018 season in AAA. He strikes out a bunch and walks a bunch, but doesn't appear to be a one inning or LOOGY guy. And he also, according to Eric Longenhagen, is a "big spin guy." Yoel Espinal, meanwhile, is someone the Rangers considered taking in the Rule 5 draft, per Jared Sandler. Neither of them are going to make the pulse race, but Bird, in particular, could be filling a major league role fairly soon.
The Rangers also got $750,000 in international slot money in this deal, and that's not insignificant, but for the most part, this deal adds pieces that, if they work out, should be in the majors in the next year or two. This is the Rangers dealing Profar for pieces that can help supplement the young position players Joey Gallo, Rougned Odor, Nomar Mazara, Ronald Guzman, Willie Calhoun, Isiah Kiner-Falefa that are in the majors now.
Ultimately, how this deal is judged likely comes down to Brock Burke's development. The Rangers have prioritized improving their starting pitching in the minors, and even if Bird becomes a solid reliever and White a nice versatile bench piece, if Burke doesn't become a useful major league starting pitcher, this will likely be chalked up as a disappointing trade. The positive aspect of this, though, is that the Rangers are continuing to accumulate interesting starting pitching arms. If the Rangers just hit on a couple of the guys who will start 2019 in AA or AAA, that would be a huge win, and they are gathering enough in both talent and numbers to make that a more realistic possibility.
TXAggie2011 said:
He shouldn't have played like dog**** if he didn't want to get sent down.
It wasn't going to work out and it's been a matter of time, for a long time.
He finally had a somewhat decent season and had some trade value.
Hope he enjoys trying to hit his way to a big contract out in Oakland.
Bird should be in the bullpen as a solid LH option as soon as Opening Day 2019.DallasAg 94 said:
None of those 4 guys will contribute in 2019, in any measureable way.
I don't think that is a given.Rossko said:Bird should be in the bullpen as a solid LH option as soon as Opening Day 2019.DallasAg 94 said:
None of those 4 guys will contribute in 2019, in any measureable way.
DallasAg 94 said:
Considering Dallas Keuchel?
On the backside of 30... wants 4-6 years and likely gets $20M per?! We'd give up $500K in Int'l and our 2nd overall pick.
We've just dismantled 2019, and likely 2020.
IMO, there is more to the discussion than how he did in 2018 at AAA. It will be more than if the Rangers think he can get outs in 2019, at the MLB level.Rossko said:
He just ended 2018 with 55.2 IP in AAA Durham with a 1.94 ERA & 10.5 K/9. He walks more than we'd like but it would be a disappointment in my opinion if he doesn't make the opening day 25 barring injury.