Haven't the Rangers led the league in one-run wins several times in years they made the postseason? I can't remember but it seems like that was a thing.
quote:Right...
Good teams win more one run games. One run games aren't some coin flip where you get lucky or not.
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So, all of this is to confirm what we already knew the Orioles, despite being a decent team with a decent bullpen last year, played WAY above their heads in one-run games. It's not even remotely sustainable.
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It appears from the Orioles example, it can be sustained for a full season.
quote:This was funny
The trouble with statistics is that they don't explain the 1987 Twins (-20 run differential) or the 1970 Orioles (40-15 in 1-run games) - both teams won the WS.
And now back to the trash talking...
quote:Did you really expect them to???
Any idiot could look at what injuries have done to the pitching staff and understand why the run differemtial is what it is. Lots of starts over the past couple of months by spare fill-in starters that have gotten absolutely shelled. It negatively skews the run differential by a significant amount.
Well, maybe not any idiot. Some of these houston idiots can't seem to figure that out.
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Any idiot could look at what injuries have done to the pitching staff and understand why the run differemtial is what it is. Lots of starts over the past couple of months by spare fill-in starters that have gotten absolutely shelled. It negatively skews the run differential by a significant amount.
Well, maybe not any idiot. Some of these houston idiots can't seem to figure that out.
quote:
Any idiot could look at what injuries have done to the pitching staff and understand why the run differemtial is what it is. Lots of starts over the past couple of months by spare fill-in starters that have gotten absolutely shelled. It negatively skews the run differential by a significant amount.
Well, maybe not any idiot. Some of these houston idiots can't seem to figure that out.
quote:quote:
It appears from the Orioles example, it can be sustained for a full season.
Yes, they did. And if you would read my posts, I have not argued that it can't be sustained for a season. Reading comprehension is tough.
quote:Considering from that same post I compared the Orioles over 2 seasons. And have repeatedly said that you better hope that this playing above the head continues over the rest of the season.quote:quote:
It appears from the Orioles example, it can be sustained for a full season.
Yes, they did. And if you would read my posts, I have not argued that it can't be sustained for a season. Reading comprehension is tough.
Your last post above this one says "completely unsustainable "....
quote:Duberstein... Always loves throwing the logic out the window and going right to the fellatio jokes.
Their system is one of the deepest in baseball, which unlike Houston, didn't require sucking **** in volumes that baseball has never seen to get high picks. Houston sucked more **** than a middle aged route 66 truck stop hoar.
quote:http://www.minorleagueball.com/2016/4/2/11333890/minor-league-baseball-farm-system-rankings-for-2016
7) Texas Rangers: Thinned slightly due to trades and graduations but still one of the strongest in the game, particularly with high-upside position players like Lewis Brinson, Nomar Mazara, and Joey Gallo. More pitching would be helpful. Click here for overview. 2015 Rank: 5th
quote:You're taking a single statistical data point that fits the argument that you want to be true and that has had significant movement towards said argument within the last few weeks and you think that Rangers fans are the ones that are ignoring the anomaly?
And gigem1223, what's amazing is that yal can't see what everyone else can. I'm not saying you haven't won 60 games because you have. What I'm saying is that the way the Rangers are doing it is completely unsustainable... now, when the regression to the mean happens is yet to be seen.
quote:You are so far out on the bell curve that the correction needs to be much bigger than that stretch of bad games.quote:You're taking a single statistical data point that fits the argument that you want to be true and that has had significant movement towards said argument within the last few weeks and you think that Rangers fans are the ones that are ignoring the anomaly?
And gigem1223, what's amazing is that yal can't see what everyone else can. I'm not saying you haven't won 60 games because you have. What I'm saying is that the way the Rangers are doing it is completely unsustainable... now, when the regression to the mean happens is yet to be seen.
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The Pirates went 33-12 and 33-13 in consecutive seasons. Combined, that's 66-25, or .725. Looks like it is sustainable over 2 years.
quote:I'll put it in the suggestion boxquote:
The Pirates went 33-12 and 33-13 in consecutive seasons. Combined, that's 66-25, or .725. Looks like it is sustainable over 2 years.
Cool. You found one. Congrats. I hope the Rangers front office takes that approach.
quote:OK. Statistically, the Rangers own the Astros 9-1 in head to head competition. Statistically, the Rangers are in first place in the division with a 5 game lead. Statistically, the Rangers are tied for 1st place in the American league having 17 more wins than losses.
Now, go ahead and make a logical argument against it using statistics if you can wrap your head around it, but I'm sure it'll be the usual illogical emotional smack. Or bring up the record against the Astros, but nothing will refute what I've said above.
quote:Holy sheet, you mean to tell me all that matters in the end are those Ws??
Rangers fans reactions when they don't give a **** what fangraphs says because this is all that matters
quote:quote:OK. Statistically, the Rangers own the Astros 9-1 in head to head competition. Statistically, the Rangers are in first place in the division with a 5 game lead. Statistically, the Rangers are tied for 1st place in the American league having 17 more wins than losses.
Now, go ahead and make a logical argument against it using statistics if you can wrap your head around it, but I'm sure it'll be the usual illogical emotional smack. Or bring up the record against the Astros, but nothing will refute what I've said above.
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Statistically, based on the Astros previous 3 games and extrapolated out for the rest of the season, their run differential will be -382 after rounding down. Who knew, statistics is fun.
Edit to say this is for games that haven't been played .
quote:quote:
Statistically, based on the Astros previous 3 games and extrapolated out for the rest of the season, their run differential will be -382 after rounding down. Who knew, statistics is fun.
Edit to say this is for games that haven't been played .
How nice of you!