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This is setting up for us to lose vs Auburn....

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gunan01
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2:10p, 11/22/24
AG
Call it BAS if you want but.....

-Team seems to be plateauing instead of improving over the last two games

-Elko mis-speaks and gives Auburn bulletin board material

-Night game with a raucous crowd at Jordan-Hare

-Line is only A&M -2.5 despite us having an 8-2 record vs a an inferior 4-6 Auburn. Vegas sees what I see.

-our history of playing down to the level of the inferior opponent in highly important games



I would LOVE to see instead from a new coaching regime and a first year starting QB.....

-continued improvement of the team due to better coaching including development of the QB

-no turnovers on the road

-playing UP to our level, instead of playing DOWN to Auburn's level

-
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Magpie
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2:14p, 11/22/24
Go away and seek reassurance elsewhere. The negativity on this board is overwhelming rational thought, e.g., this whole thing of "playing down to an inferior opponent." Who's inferior? Screw that. Auburn is a good team.
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gunan01
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2:16p, 11/22/24
AG
Auburn is 4-6. They likely will not make a bowl game. They are not at our level this year.

Losing to them would be a monumental failure, esp with what's potentially at stake with SEC title game appearance (we have never been) and the playoff.
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Iraq2xVeteran
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2:17p, 11/22/24
AG
There are several trends that indicate we should win this road game by double digits.

1. Dating back to a 27-24 home loss to Alabama on 11/25/23, Auburn has lost 8 of their last 9 Power 4 games, including 5 consecutive home losses to Power 4 teams. Auburn's only Power 4 win in that span is a 24-10 road win at Kentucky on 10/26.

2. Hugh Freeze is an atrocious 1-7 (1-6 SEC) in Power 4 home games, and his only Power 4 home win was a 27-13 win over Mississippi State on 10/28/2023.

3. Auburn has not scored more than 24 points in their last 9 games against Power 4 teams.

4. We have scored 33+ points in 4 of our 7 games against Power 4 teams, including twice on the road.

5. Besides allowing 44 points to South Carolina, we had not allowed more than 24 points in any other game.

6. While Auburn has a -11 turnover margin (19 giveaways to 8 takeaways), we have a +4 turnover margin (14 takeaways to 11 giveaways) in turnover margin.

However, the spread between 8-2 (5-1 SEC) Texas A&M and 4-6 (1-5 SEC) Auburn is just 2.5 points for several reasons.

1. We lost 13-10 in our last road game at Auburn on 11/12/2022. That was a sold-out night game between two teams with identical 3-6 overall records, 1-5 SEC records, and 5-game losing streaks. Auburn had fired head coach Bryan Harsin 12 days earlier on 10/31/2022. Yet, Jimbo Fisher managed to lose to Cadillac Williams, who was only on his second game as Auburn interim head coach.

2. We got smoked by South Carolina 44-20 in our last night road game.

3. Auburn is playing their final home game at night and needs to win out to reach bowl eligibility.

4. Auburn has not allowed more than 31 points all season, and that was in a road game at Georgia.

5. Auburn has not allowed more than 27 points at home. Oklahoma needed a pick-six to reach 27 points. Cal and Arkansas each forced 5 Auburn turnovers, but neither team managed to score more than 24 points against Auburn.

Hopefully, we come out prepared and focused to play Auburn from the start. If we minimize penalties and turnovers, we should overcome the crowd noise to win this night road game. I am predicting a close 24-17 road win.
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SA-AG72
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In reply to gunan01 • 2:19p, 11/22/24
AG
Change your tampon!
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83Aggie
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2:20p, 11/22/24
AG
I expect us to put a lot of pressure on their QB, who has thrown 7 picks. He has been sacked 23 times. I imagine a lot of blitz packages they have not seen this year will cause them troubles.

27-13 Ags
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maroongoon95
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In reply to Magpie • 2:20p, 11/22/24
AG
4-6 record is a good team? Am I missing something
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maroongoon95
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2:22p, 11/22/24
AG
I agree with OP.... typical curse game. See Aggie football 1940 to current. BAS is real
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sandman25
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2:23p, 11/22/24
Get a dog!
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TMF
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2:23p, 11/22/24
AG
We probably do lose, history says we are rarely up for the big task. We don't have a Johnny type player to carry a team. We don't have elite coaching to out game plan someone. Enjoy the ride.
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BCEDAg
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2:25p, 11/22/24
AG
Give it a rest OP.
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greg.w.h
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2:26p, 11/22/24
AG
May the best team win. And may Aggies be gracious in triumph or loss.
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HeyAbbott
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In reply to gunan01 • 2:29p, 11/22/24
AG
Terrible post and go to bed
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gunan01
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In reply to Iraq2xVeteran • 2:31p, 11/22/24
AG
Iraq2xVeteran said:
There are several trends that indicate we should win this road game by double digits.

1. Dating back to a 27-24 home loss to Alabama on 11/25/23, Auburn has lost 8 of their last 9 Power 4 games, including 5 consecutive home losses to Power 4 teams. Auburn's only Power 4 win in that span is a 24-10 road win at Kentucky on 10/26.

2. Hugh Freeze is an atrocious 1-7 (1-6 SEC) in Power 4 home games, and his only Power 4 home win was a 27-13 win over Mississippi State on 10/28/2023.

3. Auburn has not scored more than 24 points in their last 9 games against Power 4 teams.

4. We have scored 33+ points in 4 of our 7 games against Power 4 teams, including twice on the road.

5. Besides allowing 44 points to South Carolina, we had not allowed more than 24 points in any other game.

6. While Auburn has a -11 turnover margin (19 giveaways to 8 takeaways), we have a +4 turnover margin (14 takeaways to 11 giveaways) in turnover margin.

However, the spread between 8-2 (5-1 SEC) Texas A&M and 4-6 (1-5 SEC) Auburn is just 2.5 points for several reasons.

1. We lost 13-10 in our last road game at Auburn on 11/12/2022. That was a sold-out night game between two teams with identical 3-6 overall records, 1-5 SEC records, and 5-game losing streaks. Auburn had fired head coach Bryan Harsin 12 days earlier on 10/31/2022. Yet, Jimbo Fisher managed to lose to Cadillac Williams, who was only on his second game as Auburn interim head coach.

2. We got smoked by South Carolina 44-20 in our last night road game.

3. Auburn is playing their final home game at night and needs to win out to reach bowl eligibility.

4. Auburn has not allowed more than 31 points all season, and that was in a road game at Georgia.

5. Auburn has not allowed more than 27 points at home. Oklahoma needed a pick-six to reach 27 points. Cal and Arkansas each forced 5 Auburn turnovers, but neither team managed to score more than 24 points against Auburn.

Hopefully, we come out prepared and focused to play Auburn from the start. If we minimize penalties and turnovers, we should overcome the crowd noise to win this night road game. I am predicting a close 24-17 road win.
Great post
We SHOULD win this game. For all the reasons you listed, I think we either lose a close one, or Elko/Reed are as advertised and we blow them out.
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Logos Stick
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2:35p, 11/22/24
Quote:
Line is only A&M -2.5 despite us having an 8-2 record vs a an inferior 4-6 Auburn

They are not inferior, thus the line.

eta: look at some stats and see.
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jeepdriver54
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2:36p, 11/22/24
AG
On December 1st our record will be 8-4. Another November crash.
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Wearetheaggies
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2:38p, 11/22/24
AG
For all you tin hat folks...

SEC would rather have three teams have a shot at the playoffs (A&M, tu and Alabama) than two or, worst case, one. Much more money than Auburn getting a bowl game. If you believe SEC manipulates the officiating (I'm skeptical but some calls have to make you wonder) then Auburn's ticket is already punched and they ain't bowling.
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Logos Stick
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2:38p, 11/22/24
Normally I fall on the negative side, but I'm hopefully optimistic this game. That speaks volumes!
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Magpie
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In reply to gunan01 • 2:39p, 11/22/24
gunan01 said:
Auburn is 4-6. They likely will not make a bowl game. They are not at our level this year.

Losing to them would be a monumental failure, esp with what's potentially at stake with SEC title game appearance (we have never been) and the playoff.


Just stop. The air is so thick with this stench. Just trying to keep it real for us, as so many BAS-istas are wont to do? Your spewing provides no insight or analysis, just hyperbolic stressing about the enormity of this clearly inevitable loss to an inferior team. I'm gonna throw myself off the nearest 6-inch curb and root for the Ags.
You may be through with the past, but the past may not be through with you...
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gunan01
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In reply to TMF • 2:39p, 11/22/24
AG
TMF said:
We probably do lose, history says we are rarely up for the big task. We don't have a Johnny type player to carry a team. We don't have elite coaching to out game plan someone. Enjoy the ride.
The Aggie teams that I felt more reassured about, meaning I knew we would crush an inferior team, were QB'd by Johnny.

I think the jury is out regarding "elite coaching". If we crush Auburn, I think Elko is an elite coach. I want to see continued improvement as the season progresses, especially against inferior teams. Not sure I saw that vs NMSU.

I am hoping Reed reaches that Johnny level.
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texag101
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2:40p, 11/22/24
We're on our second string QB, third string RB, thin at receiver, and questionable OL. Somehow our defense got gashed at USCe. It doesn't look good, but if we can't beat lowly Auburn it doesn't really matter anyway.
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gunan01
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In reply to jeepdriver54 • 2:40p, 11/22/24
AG
jeepdriver54 said:
On December 1st our record will be 8-4. Another November crash.
The narrative around Elko and Reed will change dramatically if this happens.

And all that crowing Elko did after the LSU game in the postgame will look incredibly stupid.
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Wearetheaggies
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In reply to gunan01 • 2:41p, 11/22/24
AG
gunan01 said:
jeepdriver54 said:
On December 1st our record will be 8-4. Another November crash.
The narrative around Elko and Reed will change dramatically if this happens.

And all that crowing Elko did after the LSU game in the postgame will look incredibly stupid.


Guano, you're a whiny little *****.
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usmcbrooks
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2:43p, 11/22/24
Such a miserable fan base.

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Magpie
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In reply to maroongoon95 • 2:44p, 11/22/24
maroongoon95 said:
4-6 record is a good team? Am I missing something


They are an erstwhile SEC West team and can beat anyone on any day. Great RB. Good WRs. Big fast guys. Freeze is borderline personality syndrome but can rise up. Yes, a good team.
You may be through with the past, but the past may not be through with you...
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vander54
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In reply to maroongoon95 • 2:47p, 11/22/24
S
maroongoon95 said:
4-6 record is a good team? Am I missing something


Yes and no.

They are a bad team thats dangerous.

They can move the ball and they can shut you down on defense. They just struggle to score and turn it over too much.

If they play clean football they would be a very good team.
World's worst proofreader
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Onionman
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In reply to gunan01 • 2:58p, 11/22/24
gunan01 said:
Call it BAS if you want but.....

-Team seems to be plateauing instead of improving over the last two games
I really don't understand when people are complaining about the last game.

We got up very quickly and then it was a glorified scrimmage.

Give me a break with all of you whining about the last game.
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aggiebrad94
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3:09p, 11/22/24
AG
Are you sure about the raucous crowd?
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Aggie Dad 26
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In reply to Magpie • 3:14p, 11/22/24
Magpie said:
Go away and seek reassurance elsewhere. The negativity on this board is overwhelming rational thought, e.g., this whole thing of "playing down to an inferior opponent." Who's inferior? Screw that. Auburn is a good team.


But they're not. Their record indicates who they are. They turn the ball over a lot. They blow leads even more. If the roles were reversed the Zoo would let anyone with 2 ears to believe we're trash.

Oh, and Auburn's coaching staff isn't very good. Definitely not better than ours
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Heineken-Ashi
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In reply to jeepdriver54 • 3:19p, 11/22/24
jeepdriver54 said:
On December 1st our record will be 8-4. Another November crash.
Bookmarked.
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Heineken-Ashi
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In reply to texag101 • 3:20p, 11/22/24
texag101 said:
We're on our second string QB, third string RB, thin at receiver, and questionable OL. Somehow our defense got gashed at USCe. It doesn't look good, but if we can't beat lowly Auburn it doesn't really matter anyway.
We're on the QB that would have us with only 1 loss had he started the year.
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Onionman
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3:21p, 11/22/24
On any given week anything can happen in the SEC.

I mean Auburn recently beat UK by 14 and Ole Miss, who is arguably playing the best football in the SEC right now, lost at UK.

It will be a tough game.

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fastgreens
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3:23p, 11/22/24
AG
True definition of a trap game… gonna have to play hard tomorrow night
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TexanJeff
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3:26p, 11/22/24
AG
Ummm

This the same team that scored 7 points against Vandy?

7
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Rectitude
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In reply to Iraq2xVeteran • 3:30p, 11/22/24
AG
Iraq2xVeteran said:
There are several trends that indicate we should win this road game by double digits.

1. Dating back to a 27-24 home loss to Alabama on 11/25/23, Auburn has lost 8 of their last 9 Power 4 games, including 5 consecutive home losses to Power 4 teams. Auburn's only Power 4 win in that span is a 24-10 road win at Kentucky on 10/26.

2. Hugh Freeze is an atrocious 1-7 (1-6 SEC) in Power 4 home games, and his only Power 4 home win was a 27-13 win over Mississippi State on 10/28/2023.

3. Auburn has not scored more than 24 points in their last 9 games against Power 4 teams.

4. We have scored 33+ points in 4 of our 7 games against Power 4 teams, including twice on the road.

5. Besides allowing 44 points to South Carolina, we had not allowed more than 24 points in any other game.

6. While Auburn has a -11 turnover margin (19 giveaways to 8 takeaways), we have a +4 turnover margin (14 takeaways to 11 giveaways) in turnover margin.

However, the spread between 8-2 (5-1 SEC) Texas A&M and 4-6 (1-5 SEC) Auburn is just 2.5 points for several reasons.

1. We lost 13-10 in our last road game at Auburn on 11/12/2022. That was a sold-out night game between two teams with identical 3-6 overall records, 1-5 SEC records, and 5-game losing streaks. Auburn had fired head coach Bryan Harsin 12 days earlier on 10/31/2022. Yet, Jimbo Fisher managed to lose to Cadillac Williams, who was only on his second game as Auburn interim head coach.

2. We got smoked by South Carolina 44-20 in our last night road game.

3. Auburn is playing their final home game at night and needs to win out to reach bowl eligibility.

4. Auburn has not allowed more than 31 points all season, and that was in a road game at Georgia.

5. Auburn has not allowed more than 27 points at home. Oklahoma needed a pick-six to reach 27 points. Cal and Arkansas each forced 5 Auburn turnovers, but neither team managed to score more than 24 points against Auburn.

Hopefully, we come out prepared and focused to play Auburn from the start. If we minimize penalties and turnovers, we should overcome the crowd noise to win this night road game. I am predicting a close 24-17 road win.
This is a trap game for Auburn. They will be looking past us to Alabama.
And this is a trap game for A&M.
(is this even possible?)
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